Giuliani's exit, and the role of endorsements
Giuliani's collapse from national front-runner to his swift exit after a disappointing showing in Florida is one for the record books, and the subject for another day, but where do his voters go?
Perhaps anticipating Giuliani's demise (pre-election polls nailed this one), exit pollsters in Florida asked GOP voters for their second choice. The data reveal that little would have changed in the Sunshine State if the former mayor had dropped his presidential bid earlier: both McCain and Romney were the second choices of 32 percent of Giuliani's voters. (Eight percent said Thompson, 4 percent Huckabee and 3 percent Paul; 4 percent said they would not have voted.)
Nationally, in fall Post-ABC polls, more Giuliani voters went for McCain on second choice than to any other candidate. And it's McCain who Giuliani endorsed tonight at the Reagan presidential library.
The endorsement may further lift McCain. Academic research (see G.W. professor John Sides's post in the Monkey Cage) and yesterday's exit poll show the right backing can make a crucial difference.
In Florida, McCain beat Romney by more than 2 to 1 among voters who decided how to vote within the last three days and said Gov. Crist's endorsement was "very important" to them. On the Democratic side, although Obama lost to Clinton by nearly 20 percentage points, 55 percent of those who decided late and called the "Kennedys" endorsement very important voted for Obama, 30 percent for Clinton.
By Jon Cohen |
January 30, 2008; 6:30 PM ET
Exit polls
Previous: BTN: John Edwards |
Next: Independents? In Florida?
Posted by: John Calkins | January 30, 2008 11:15 PM
Thanks for very interesting article. btw. I really enjoyed reading all of your posts. It's interesting to read ideas, and observations from someone else's point of view... makes you think more.
So please keep up the great work. Greetings.
Posted by: Natural Male Enhancement | March 7, 2008 12:13 AM
Thanks for very interesting article. btw. I really enjoyed reading all of your posts. It's interesting to read ideas, and observations from someone else's point of view... makes you think more.
So please keep up the great work. Greetings.
Posted by: Natural Male Enhancement | March 7, 2008 12:14 AM
The comments to this entry are closed.
The canidates need to try a better way to reach the voters. http://hotcookies.net is a company that is a marketing tool to make our customers more successful. Focus in the beginning is to create a package with direct mail that will get my customer noticed and remembered. With an efficient and creative manner that gives the impression that care and effort went into writing of every piece of mail. The web-site will build a data base for each company's to file their letter head, stationary, signatures and marketing literature. Their staff will go to the site click and build from a PC, laptop or phone anywhere with internet connection.