First post on the new board - congrats on the move, and thanks for understanding and trying to accomodate our nostalgia for the old one. :)

Can you give a quick primer for your new crowd (and forgetful members of your old one) on how to read models like you just posted? The greens and blues are expected precipitation, I know. The orange line is the +10 degree line, and the first blue line is the -10 degree line...but what's the 850MB thing all about?

850MB is a pressure level and equates to a height of about 5000 feet up in the atmosphere. The 0 C line at 850 is often a good approximation for the rain/snow line.

The 12z EURO and JMA have shifted too far east for a major winter storm for most of the tristate area.

The 2pm Hydrometeorological Prediction Center (HPC) extended forecast discussion speaks of higher odds that a storm system will affect the region. There is still much uncertainty though, the often reliable Euro has jumped from a big storm solution to one that slides out to sea leaving many dry.

Snippet of HPC discussion below:

MODELS GENERALLY TRENDING TOWARDS INCREASING CONFIDENCE ON A SIG EAST COAST WINTER STORM SUNDAY THRU TUESDAY.
...
NEW 12Z ECMWF AND CMC ONLY ADDS TO THE UNCERTAINTY. PREFER TO FOLLOW A MORE PRUDENT COURSE OF CONTINUITY OF A CLOSER THREAT OF A COASTAL STORM.

"Details remain foggy..." Now that's punny!

I do recall the 84hr WRF runs before the Dec 15-16 storm were out to sea, then they quickly coverged toward a more inland solution. Something to keep in mind...

Accuweather calling for rain.

http://www.accuweather.com/news-story.asp?partner=accuweather&traveler=0&article=5

NWS still sticking with a mostly rain event on Sunday/Monday.

Highs in the mid 40's on Sunday, rain/snow mix overnight. No mention of any changeover to all snow.

If highs on Sunday really make mid 40's there's almost no chance that they'll fall below freezing overnight with the cloudcover.

Nowadays I just assume that every winter will be another 1997-98.

Well, anything can happen.....still a few days out.

Bummer!!! This "winter storm event is predicted as occurring maily from "PA/NJ to the Northeast" (!) We're either "plain ole rain" or nothing at all!!! Darn those "boring forties" anyway!

This user at Dabenchmark.com states that it will be stormy tonight. Is this the case?

I don't know about DC, but this looks like a blizzard for my back yard in NYC, don't you agree?

I can't believe it!!! I am sorely disappointed about the move to the post. I really enjoyed the old site - the layout, the ease of use and the independence of it. Now it's all tied to the post. How do i know you all won't sensationalize your predictions now that you've moved? That seems like a far fetched notion for such a great weather team here but it could happen.

If the old website went back I'd be immensely happy. ON a more positive note, I do want to say how much I've relied on your predictions and enjoyed reading them over the past year or so. And I will still read them here regardless of the move.

Mr. G: Thanks for the feedback. All we ask is that you give this a chance. We're not going to over-hype events and will still tell it as we see it. We plan to phase in some of the features you remember from the old site as well as some new ones.

I agree with Mr. G, the old site was better. To be frank, this is an eye sore. The previous layout was much easier to read, look at, and comprehend.

Don't know why the change.