Alert: Wintry Weather Risk Fading

Latest DC area radar loop, courtesy National Weather Service. Refresh page to update, or click here to expand.

The National Weather Service has cancelled the Winter Weather Advisory for the region as temperatures have now risen above freezing throughout. Radar currently shows a broken line of activity to the west that has lost strength crossing the mountains and models are now showing very little precipitation over the area. Any rain or wintry mix that does fall in the region should be very light and spotty even west of the city. It is possible that some slick spots may form on roadways in areas still near freezing that do receive precipitation, but this risk will be isolated.

See Matt's post for the forecast through the weekend.

By Ian Livingston |  January 22, 2008; 11:45 AM ET Alerts
Previous: Forecast: Light Wintry Mix Today | Next: CommuteCast: Mostly Dry and Continued Chilly

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Teeny tiny snow pellets falling. plus some gusts of frozen rainy stuff. But the sun is trying to make it's way out. I think this about all we'll see out here .... near New Baltimore ...

Posted by: weathergrrl | January 22, 2008 12:16 PM

Definitely a mix coming down in chevy chase. Some rain a few minutes ago, but now whatever it is is bouncing off my car. Raindrops dont bounce!

Posted by: SoMoCo | January 22, 2008 12:20 PM

Of course.....I take the bus this a.m. instead of driving because I don't want to drive in the ice again like last Friday a.m.

And now it's a non-event. Dulles is even above freezing at 35.

I guess now I know the sure-fire way to make sure it doesn't snow/ice.

Posted by: Ivan | January 22, 2008 12:26 PM

Chalk up another bust in 2007-08, the winter that wasn't. Sure don't envy you CapWxGang guys trying to forecast in THIS area. Hoping for at least a bit of snow in 2 days...

Posted by: VAStateOfMind | January 22, 2008 12:47 PM

Just rain in Clarendon about an hour ago.

Posted by: Anne | January 22, 2008 1:16 PM

VAStateofMind -- Be careful with your use of the word "bust" ... Yes, for snowlovers it's another potential threat gone by the wayside. But in terms of our forecast I think we were pretty much spot-on. We predicted a light accumulation at the most, and mentioned there was the potential some areas would get nothing. All in all we downplayed this threat about as much as anyone could.

Posted by: Dan, Capital Weather Gang | January 22, 2008 1:41 PM

it's doing something in capitol hill right now, not sure what.. it's like very cold rain/sleet...

Posted by: madison | January 22, 2008 1:50 PM

Nothing here hardly, just some sprinkles. Looks like the mountains ripped apart the precip. Where have we heard that refrain before? :)

Posted by: Jim in Blacksburg | January 22, 2008 1:54 PM

A snowflake came down in front of my face just now... and it looks like that's about it. Any new threats coming over the horizon sometime soon? Looks like it will get warmer next week.

Posted by: Model Monkey | January 22, 2008 2:12 PM

It has been sleeting in Rosslyn since 9am this morning and the roads are all sheets of ice! Cars and buses are sliding into the Potomac. It is advised to avoid I395 to I95 south this evening and stay where you are.

Posted by: Bob Burman | January 22, 2008 3:09 PM

Listen to Bob Burman. I've seen what he's talking about. It's horrible out there!

Posted by: Bill Munson | January 22, 2008 3:11 PM

Yet another forecast bust, but this time it wasn't CapitalWX's fault. I think CWX did a great job forecasting this, and the nowcasting helped a ton.
NWS missed this one by a mile and a turkey sandwich.

Posted by: Havoc | January 22, 2008 4:04 PM

Easy, Dan -- the bust reference was a slap in the face to "Ol' Man Winter" and was not meant to impugn the CapWx team's forecasting. Havoc's right. I'm not implying that you guys hyped this, and quite frankly, I don't think any of the local TV/radio mets did either. This system simply didn't come together as forecasted, at least in my part of FfxCo. I'm just tired of this anemic winter...

Posted by: VAStateOfMind | January 22, 2008 4:22 PM

Compared to last year this winter is NOT a "bust" temperature-wise. Remember,the first half of "meteorological winter" 2006-07 was little more than extended autumn. This year we're getting good cold spells. The only thing that has "busted" is the potential for major snowstorms, a common feature during Mid Atlantic winters.

Posted by: El Bombo | January 22, 2008 4:25 PM


My perfect storm: Days before this storm, we have a unusual stretch of mild sunny weather. However Everyone is excited,talking, and posting in their t-shirts online cause they cannot believe the model runs show such a big storm comming when it is so warm The models keep looking better until it almost looks scary. GFS is filled with deep shades of purple,reds all over Mid Atlntic & Northeast. Only now, the storm looks like it might slow and stall off the Carolina Coast turning it into a bomb. Meteorologists are fascinted by its unusual size and intensity. Meteorologists begin forecasting the 100 year storm days out...:) Daily posts reach 300 non stop. The day before the storm hits posts hit 1000..Sky watchers begin to notice high cirrucs clouds move in followed by layers after layer filling the skky. Around 7 a.m., temps have chilled and light snow begins to fall, throught the day it becomes steady, by evening it becomes heavy. Winds begin to pick up and it looks like a nice 10 inches has lready fallen. Snowlovers are satisfied. But this is only the beginning. By 10 p.m. late night daredevels finally turn in with their SUV's. Kids knowing schools called off head inside as the winds begin to relly pick up. Higher gusts begin creking the walls. What was fun turn a bit frightening as snow nd wind pound the house. At this point you cannot see outside, it is completely white. You want to go out but are a little afraid you will loose sight of your surroundings, you don't know quite how deep it really is out there. Temps are well in the low 20's by now and it is offically a howling blizzard. Trees begin to fall down with sounds like gunfire. Folks in their homes slowly loose power one by one. Adults contimplate shoveling snow to keep weight off thier homes in event of collapse. Sounds of the raging storm keep us up all night but we really cant see how much has fallen with candlelight. 18th Century says hello again. Morning light finally peaks through but bearly because the stom is still in force. Finlly, we go the windows to try and see outside. First story windows are submerged in white. Folks dont wants to open the front door in case a drift. As the storm looses some of its punch by afternoon. People begin digging their way out of their homes,only to see a sea of white with little mounds where vehicles are hiding under. Getting out of the house is a challnge but after some labor and digging we are halfway down sidewalk we see that the snow drifts are so high they look like slides from the roofs of homes. FINALLY sidewalks are cleared. We get the measuring sticks out but of course their too short. so we compare snow depth by human height. Looks like 4 feet, maybe more. Drifts well over 13 feet. Everything is at a standstill, no commuinciation, except for a fuzzy radio running low on battery power. Fires keep the family warm. Good stories are told and stronger bonds are made with family ties. As the snow stops everyone gets to work shoveling, kids want to play but its too deep to go sledding & too cold to stay out for very long. Kids dig tunnels and dogs are jelous by doorsteps cause we are in the deep end. Schools gets called out for 1 week on radio says most likely a secound week. Cabin Fever is gonna be in full swing. Neighbors we never talked to before finally say hello, as we dig our way over to check on everyone. Nobody is in peril except for big business losses but it really doesnt matter. History was just made.

The End. Sorry for long post. It's the dreams that keep hope alive.

Posted by: StormChaser (Pefrect Storm) | January 22, 2008 4:39 PM

Of course I didn't spell check it. Sorry..was on a roll.

Posted by: StormChaser | January 22, 2008 4:43 PM

dream on!! :) I'd like to be part of that history!

Posted by: missy | January 23, 2008 7:35 AM

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