Is there still any chance for more than one inch of snow?

Oh the heartbreak

27 This morning in Rockville.
How now brown cow?

Sam:
There has not been any real chance for more than one inch of snow for most of us for the majority of this forecasted potential. There has been a lot of wishful thinking floating around that has perhaps been misinterpreted by snow starved snowlovers. This wishful thinking has to a great degree been propagated by the NAM,which has been notoriously unreliable recently. The GFS certainly has many faults but it has consistently forecasted surface temps. to be too warm to support snow for several days now. Media outlets, whether you refer to Accuweather, The Cap. Gang or many others who indicated a high side potential possibility generally gave a low to medium confidence level to their forecasts. I have repeatedly expressed caution for expectations for several days, because of a lack of cold air, and a necessary phasing at this latitude which usually fails us. Anything is still possible, but highly unlikely, as it has been for a long time now.

Regarding the many who seem depressed because winters are not what they used to be regarding snow in the tristate area, I plan to post some statistics sometime during the next several days that may be surprising.

I just returned from a trip and find this is now the "Capital Weather Gang." It's taking this old gal a little while to learn to navigate your new site, but you all are still here--with photos, even--and so my best wishes on this New Year with the Washington Post.

Okay so we're once again losing on this one. For the crazy addicts, when's the NEXT potential snow? I heard crazy rumors of no cold temperatures in sight. Anyone?

that last comment was mine...forgot the name blank

It will never snow again. We might as well call this the Atlanta suburbs.

It sure looks like snow outside.....*sigh*

They were mumbling something about snow at the end of the week. *sob* why tease us so?

LOL

Oh well...mother nature is a fickle woman.

The late week storm is going to be a large one. As usual, we're going to have precip type issues.

Yeah, I grew up in the Atlanta suburbs...the biggest excitement was a rare ice storm to coat the pines and take out multiple trees in our back yard. In my mind I can still hear the loud "crack" and huge thud as they snapped away and fell to the ground. When I moved up here I thought I'd have snowy winters. But the heat and humidity here is just as bad as in Atlanta and not so much on the snow.

Greg... you are correct. It will not snow in NoVA this winter season.

as i recall a lot of people here (probably not the capWX people) were uber-hyping /this/ weekends storm last weekend. and now that's happening with next weekends storm too (see jason's brief comment above). so my question is, what makes next weeks storm so different from this weeks storm this far out ??

I know we are a long way out, but can anyone elaborate on the storm at the end of the week? In other words, what are the snow potentials?

Thanks!

I assumed Jason wasn't suggesting that this weekend's storm was necessarily going to mean Big Snow for the DC area... just that it looks big PERIOD. For SOMEONE. (Probably not us, given how things are going... sigh...)

I find the CapWX guys are pretty cautious overall... But I admit: When they say 40% chance of snow, the snow lover in me still stays hopeful, even though they have flat-out said that the odds are better against than for. So sometimes it feels like hype, even though I pretty much hyped myself. I don't watch local news, though, so I at least don't compound this with bad wishcasting from TV meteorologists.

The storm slated for Thursday/Friday is a typical storm for this area. It is going to be a "depending on the exact track" type of storm.
Right now it looks to be starting as frozen precip and gradually mixing with or turning to liquid precip. As is usual, it is "too early to tell".

Stay tuned as I am sure the CWG is following this storm very closely and will keep us informed on their reliable commentary.

GFS has a nice looking storm for us Thursday night. As for precip type...

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/00/images/gfs_ten_120l.gif

The Thursday/Friday storm will mainly be rain, but what this storm will do is drag a powerful arctic front through the Mid Atlantic that will turn our weather much colder. Once this colder air is here, then we can start to talk about storms and rumors of potential winter weather makers.