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Posted at 2:55 PM ET, 02/21/2008

Alert: Winter Storm Warning Issued

By Ian Livingston

Clear commute; deteriorating conditions overnight

*Winter Storm Warning from 11 p.m. tonight to 10 p.m. Friday night*

A STORM MOVING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL BRING PRECIPITATION INTO THE COLD AIR ALREADY IN PLACE OVER THE REGION. THE RESULT WILL BE LIGHT SNOW OVERNIGHT...FOLLOWED BY FREEZING RAIN FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. -National Weather Service

CommuteCast: Temperatures today have risen to around freezing north and west of the District and into the mid 30s for the city as well as locations south and east. Earlier sunny skies are now giving way to increasing clouds and this will continue through the evening commute.

feb22-snow.gif
A first guess at accumulation potential for tonight through early Saturday. Black stripe indicates where we estimate surface temperatures will be at or below freezing (above the line) and at or above freezing (below the line) at about 6 p.m. tomorrow.

Tonight: Light snow is likely to move into the region around or before midnight and temperatures below freezing area wide will allow whatever falls to accumulate. By sunrise, 1-3 inches of snow may be on the ground across much of the area, with possibly a little more north of the city and a little less to the south and east. Lows will reach the mid 20s for most locations.

Tomorrow: Friday promises to be a wintry mess across the region as snow transitions to a mix of sleet and freezing rain from south to north during the morning. By late in the day, temperatures may nudge above freezing in DC and points south and east, but how far north the freezing line makes it is still uncertain at this time. Daytime highs are expected to be near or below freezing from DC north and west, while locations south and east may top out in the mid 30s. Precipitation is likely to continue into the night and early Saturday.

Check back for further updates. We plan an updated accumulation map, timeline and Schoolcast tonight.

See the Snow Lover's Crystal Ball contained within this morning's update for more information on the upcoming event and Josh's forecast through the weekend and into next week.

By Ian Livingston  | February 21, 2008; 2:55 PM ET
Categories:  Alerts, Forecasts  
Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   Del.icio.us   StumbleUpon   Technorati   Google Buzz   Previous: Photography: Monumental Eclipse
Next: Update: Snow Sliding North, Ice Still on Track

Comments

Yup....working from home tomorrow......

Wonder if the bread and water are flying off the shelves yet......LOL

Posted by: Kim in Manassas | February 21, 2008 3:12 PM | Report abuse

i guess federal workers will be ask to come in 4 late

Posted by: don | February 21, 2008 3:23 PM | Report abuse

Already told my office I will be working from home tomorrow. No way my daughter's school will be open.

Little worried about my wife's 8:30am flight out of Dulles tomorrow morning, but we'll deal with that tomorrow.

Posted by: Barnaby | February 21, 2008 3:26 PM | Report abuse

Howard Bernstein on the Don & Mike show just said that this is not a significant event and the main roads should be fine tomorrow since the precip will be off an on all day which will give the road crews plenty of time to treat them. He did say he thinks most schools will be closed.

Posted by: MoSno | February 21, 2008 3:37 PM | Report abuse

i give moco just under 3 apples. I just dont see how there will be school unless something crazy happens where the storm fizzles out or if its all rain.

Posted by: sam | February 21, 2008 3:42 PM | Report abuse

Considering how the last ice storm was worse than anyone expected (i.e., trapping people in their cars who expected a changeover to rain that never happened), I'm surprised that Howard Bernstein would go out on a limb and say that it won't be a significant event. Apparently the forecasters haven't learned their lesson.

Posted by: R | February 21, 2008 3:42 PM | Report abuse

Temps are almost 40 degrees - I have a feeling we might not see the low temps we are all hoping for :(

Posted by: Snowlover | February 21, 2008 3:44 PM | Report abuse

Thanks for listening to Don & Mike. I did say that I didn't think this would be significant, but it all depends on how you define it. Will we have some issues? Sure! Will it close schools? More than likely, but, I feel that the drawn out nature of the event, plus the possible split in the moisture, could leave us with a few lulls and lighter precip at times. That should allow road crews to generally stay on top of this. Will your neigborhhod streets and driveways be slick? Probably, but leave the snow on until it's over and that should make it easier to shovel away. Just my 2 cents.

Posted by: Howard B | February 21, 2008 3:50 PM | Report abuse

One more thing, this is a lot different than the last ice storm....a coating of snow initially and the lack of "surprise" should make it a far different event....also, you gotta believe that the road crews are going to be all over this especially because of the last event. Look how many trucks were out yesterday for our clipper.

Posted by: Howard B | February 21, 2008 3:52 PM | Report abuse

Thanks for the clarification, Howard.

Posted by: R | February 21, 2008 3:54 PM | Report abuse

Thanks for your comments Howard. I hope I somewhat paraphrased you correctly from the D&M show. Thanks for being cool with those guys - it makes for great radio (even though they give you a hard time). lo

Posted by: MoSno | February 21, 2008 3:56 PM | Report abuse

when will commute cast come out?

Posted by: sam | February 21, 2008 3:58 PM | Report abuse

Question: The accumulation map has the freezing rain line below Montgomery County, yet the forecast calls for ice above the freezing rain line. I don't see the connection?

Posted by: Peter | February 21, 2008 3:58 PM | Report abuse

Snowlover, where are you? The high for me today was about 34 and im at 31 right now

Posted by: JJ | February 21, 2008 3:59 PM | Report abuse

accuweather's forecast is pretty grim (.1-.3 inch of ice friday, with another .1 to follow friday nite? Also, starting out as a mix of sleet and snow instead of all snow?) but I am encouraged by howard b's take ... that the drawn-out nature of the event will keep the roads in shape. I hope and pray ....

Posted by: weathergrrl | February 21, 2008 4:01 PM | Report abuse

Just called the weather and they said DC was at 38 degrees as of 3:00 pm

Posted by: Snowlover | February 21, 2008 4:03 PM | Report abuse

Peter: The freezing line is supposed to be for 6pm Friday (per the caption]. Any ice falling south/east of the line would be happening PRIOR to the line passing those locations.

Sam: You are looking at the commutecast. Easy commute, no weather to worry about. But it's cold.

Howard, thanks for stopping by. I'm in an office with no radio, but i'm sure those 2 are in full storm mode by now (as was Tony K this morning).

Posted by: Jamie Jones, CapitalWeather Gang | February 21, 2008 4:03 PM | Report abuse

pardon me, i meant NWS, not accuweather. my bad

Posted by: weathergrrl | February 21, 2008 4:04 PM | Report abuse

Peter -- Hopefully the revised accumulation map caption now clarifies the meaning of the line (colder air above the line, warmer air below).

Posted by: Capital Weather Gang | February 21, 2008 4:07 PM | Report abuse

when will the next update be?

Posted by: sam | February 21, 2008 4:07 PM | Report abuse

Percipitation doesnt seem to be that far away from us, is it possible that it arrives afew hours early and beefs up snow accumulations before the change to ice?

Posted by: JJ | February 21, 2008 4:10 PM | Report abuse

Trail Goat - You would be a fool to try to head out tomorrow down I-81. CAD is 100% sure thing and the last thing you want to be doing is driving along with major elevations changes and multiple overpasses. You will find significant snow at best, and very likely run into crippling ice.

LEAVE ASAP tonight!

Posted by: rjm | February 21, 2008 4:11 PM | Report abuse

Metro is ready
**********************************
For immediate release: February 21, 2008

Metro outlines winter weather preparations for Thursday and Friday

With a forecast of snow, sleet and ice for the Washington region beginning late tonight (Feb. 21) and continuing into Friday, Metro is preparing to make sure trains and buses keep moving. The transit agency is preparing to operate its de-icing trains if necessary, "hardening" its fleet of rail cars to handle the snow and relying on heater tape to keep ice and snow off of the electrified third rail that provides electricity to power the trains.

Riders are advised to build extra time into their travel plans. They should also watch their step as wet tiles and steps may get slippery in the Metrorail system.

Metro's plans for Friday, Feb. 22, are:

Metrorail

Metrorail will operate on a normal weekday schedule (5 a.m. to 3 a.m.). If necessary, up to 20 trains will be equipped with de-icing equipment to combat snow and ice on the third rail. Up to 12 trains would be available to operate in regular passenger service on all rail lines with the remaining eight trains in rail yards. If necessary, these trains will be placed in service and will be available to operate throughout the day if conditions warrant.

Passengers may see the de-icing equipment inside those 12 trains. (It is neither dangerous nor flammable, and passengers should not be concerned that it is aboard their train. If they prefer not to be in a rail car with the equipment, they can move to another rail car.) Those same trains also will have special scrapers to help keep ice off of the third rail. If the third rail has ice build-up on it, it does not allow for the free flow of electricity from the rail to power the train. Keeping the third rail ice-free is a continuous process.

Metro uses "heater tape," which has been installed on sections of track with significant grades/inclines and in critical areas in the rail yards. The heater tape, which has been in use throughout the winter, is a cable clipped onto the third rail that keeps the third rail warm enough to prevent snow and ice from building-up.

Metro railcar maintenance staff has also "hardened" its fleet of rail cars by protecting the undercarriage motors from snow ingestion and electrical short circuits that are caused by water/snow and debris. The traction motors have been coated with a protective material to help prevent the ingestion of snow and water.
Maintenance personnel will treat station entrances, platforms and parking facilities with salt and remove accumulated snow as needed.

Metrobus and MetroAccess

Metrobuses and MetroAccess vehicles will operate as road conditions dictate, so passengers should expect possible detours and delays due to road conditions. MetroAccess passengers with scheduled rides should call (301) 562-5360 for a status update of their ride.

Metro snow facts

? Metro has 2,200 tons of bulk rock salt to treat Metro roadways and parking lots. The salt is stored in seven salt domes and one storage building around the system. Each dome holds approximately 300 tons of rock salt.

? Metro has 18,000, 50-pound bags of de-icer (calcium chloride) for treating sidewalks and platforms.

? Metro has 71 tractors, 96 snow brooms, and 122 snow blowers to remove snow from Metro-owned facilities.

? Metro has two contractors to support efforts if snow accumulation reaches four inches or more. They are primarily used to clear parking lots.

? Metro has several hundred personnel to aid in support of the snow removal effort: day shift, evening shift and midnight shift.

Posted by: Tim, Alexandria, VA | February 21, 2008 4:12 PM | Report abuse

my final prediction...
3 inches of snow+ .3 inches of ice, no school tomarrow for moco

Posted by: sam | February 21, 2008 4:13 PM | Report abuse

I think in a normal snowy winter, this storm probably wouldn't be hyped as much. We haven't had a lot to talk about so it seems like a big deal. I don't think this storm has any suprises.

Posted by: TJ | February 21, 2008 4:14 PM | Report abuse

CWG -- I too have become a major fan of your blog. Thank you.

A question about this storm:

It appears, currently, there is a large dry slot in southern Kentucky and most of Tennessee, with moderate precipitation north and south of this region. What is causing this? And, how likely is it that this slot of dry weather continues into the Mid-Atlantic area and reduce our precipitation?

Posted by: rjm | February 21, 2008 4:21 PM | Report abuse

MoSno and all....

it's all good. We're all excited with the prospect of some wintry precip. It's been a somewhat sucky winter, IMHO, and any snow this year just seems like a gift.

Don & Mike are not only trying to get info, but they're also making radio. I'm glad for the forum they and CapitalWeather extend.

While most of you will be sleeping, I'll be on my way to a wintry location for the early morning news. So keep talking about the event and watching the models and I'm sure that we'll all learn something new in the next 24 hours.

Posted by: Howard B | February 21, 2008 4:21 PM | Report abuse

is there a realistic possibility for a snowstorm next wednesday?

Posted by: sam | February 21, 2008 4:25 PM | Report abuse

This is a great blog! Thanks for the wonderful info.

Posted by: Barbara | February 21, 2008 4:28 PM | Report abuse

Absolutely quiet outside right now. I was just out gathering up some firewood and there was almost no birds to be heard out there. The calm before the storm I suppose.

Posted by: Havoc | February 21, 2008 4:31 PM | Report abuse

I'm wondering if everyone knows who Howard B is? Old timers do as he stopped by quite often, I'd spell it out but not sure if there is any conflict, so I'll leave that to Howard and/or the gang, but good to see you back Howard!

Posted by: Mike from the Blue Ridge | February 21, 2008 4:33 PM | Report abuse

ps- down to 26 after a high of 28 out my way, DP of 9!

Posted by: Mike from the Blue Ridge | February 21, 2008 4:33 PM | Report abuse

Gotta laugh at that Metro advisory. You'd think they were running trains in Montreal instead of D.C. I thought they were able to handle above-ground service with as much as 8 inches on the ground. Now they're making a forecast for 1-3 inches sound like a major challenge.

Posted by: jmbethesda | February 21, 2008 4:33 PM | Report abuse

Thanks for tweaking the map CWG!

Posted by: Peter | February 21, 2008 4:34 PM | Report abuse

From what I see on radar, the bulk of the first wave of precip is moving towards the north east and may miss us completely. Hopefully the gap in between the two storm (batches of precip) will fill in.

Posted by: 1974 | February 21, 2008 4:34 PM | Report abuse

Wow, I had no idea that Howard would read the CWG. That shows how great this place is! Cool!

I'm still crossing everything hoping for that "Prince William County - CLOSED CODE GREEN/RED" tomorrow.

The code green/red doesn't affect me anymore. They use that to tell whether the 12 month employees (administrators, custodians, etc) go in or not. Green and Red also dictate whether the before and after school program (SAC) in the elementary schools is open or closed.

Posted by: weatherdudeVA | February 21, 2008 4:38 PM | Report abuse

Annapolis City Governmenthas already closed for tomorrow. Bring on the snow and ice!

Posted by: The Tooz | February 21, 2008 4:40 PM | Report abuse

Yeah.. looks like the one batch is moving due north-east - maybe clipping us, while the other batch is heading just south of us in a south east direction.. Bust??

Posted by: WZG | February 21, 2008 4:42 PM | Report abuse

WZG, I don't like the way the radar is looking either.. Will the precip fill in?

Posted by: mike | February 21, 2008 4:46 PM | Report abuse

yeah, um...now that you mention it, that's a horrible looking radar. I'm scared now. :(

Posted by: weatherdudeVA | February 21, 2008 4:49 PM | Report abuse

latest model guidance isnt as gung ho on the initial snow burst overnight..this event will have to be nowcast.....I'd say bust potential is high.....snow/ice lovers should keep expectations very low

Posted by: Matt Ross, Capital Weather Gang | February 21, 2008 4:50 PM | Report abuse

DOG GONE IT!

And I just got re-excited too:

THE OTHER PROBLEM...NAM/GFS SHOWS A DRY SLOT DEVELOPING AND PUSHING
ACROSS SOUTHERN ZONES FRIDAY. THIS WILL GREATLY REDUCE QPF
AMOUNTS SO THAT ONLY ADV CRITERIA...WINTER WX ADVISORY...WILL BE
REACHED FOR SOUTHERN 1/4 OF FCST/A. HOWEVER...FOR THE NORTHERN 3/4
OF FCST/A EXPECT AROUND .40 INCHES OF ICE ACCUMULATION AND 1-3
INCHES OF SNOW...MAINLY TONIGHT. THUS...A WINTER STORM WARNING
HAS BEEN ISSUED THROUGH 10 PM FRIDAY FOR NORTHERN 3/4 OF CWA.


Oh well. I hate DC.

Posted by: weatherdudeVA | February 21, 2008 4:52 PM | Report abuse

WHHHHHHAAAATTTTTT???!!!!

Aren't we supposed to NOT trust the models?

Posted by: Peter | February 21, 2008 4:53 PM | Report abuse

How can a winter Storm Warning = Bust?....I'm done with this disappointing winter. Bring on hurricane season.

Posted by: La NIna Sucks | February 21, 2008 4:57 PM | Report abuse

BIGGG gap in precip areas, located in Kentucky and Tennessee. I agree with WZG... not very good looking. What do you guys think?

Posted by: Model Monkey | February 21, 2008 4:57 PM | Report abuse

Here is what weather.com is saying:

"After an initial burst of snow and sleet, significant ice from freezing rain could develop across the mountains of West Virginia and all of Virginia away from the immediate coast. Temperatures will stay below freezing in the I-81 corridor through the whole storm. Several inches of snow and sleet will give way to freezing rain Friday morning across southern Pennsylvania (including Pittsburgh and Philadelphia), Maryland, Delaware and south Jersey, but away from the coast, temperatures will not make it above freezing. Parts of the Mid-Atlantic could be dealing with damaging ice coatings of a-quarter-to-a-half-inch or more by Friday night."

Posted by: R | February 21, 2008 4:58 PM | Report abuse

No need for models. Just look at the radar. Huge gap and it looks like its heading in our direction.

http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?animate=true

Posted by: WZG | February 21, 2008 4:58 PM | Report abuse

NOOOOO!!!!!!

Posted by: Snowlover2! | February 21, 2008 4:58 PM | Report abuse

I remember a few years back where we had a Heavy Snow Warning for a Saturday - and the next day it was clear - not a cloud in the sky.. No kidding.

Posted by: WZG | February 21, 2008 5:00 PM | Report abuse

Mike and WZG, you can't go by what's on the radar 12-18 hours out. The storm will be picking up moisture from the coast and lots of other dynamics come into play. No need to call bust this far out.

Posted by: Ana B | February 21, 2008 5:00 PM | Report abuse

I've said it once, and I'll say it again. D.C. is the worst place to live.

Posted by: Period | February 21, 2008 5:02 PM | Report abuse

Hope u are right Ana B.

My concern is that we won't get that heavy burst of snow though. That gap needs to close!!!

Posted by: Anonymous | February 21, 2008 5:03 PM | Report abuse

Every time I got my hopes up this winter. I't didn't pan out. Sad thing is, its hard not to get your hopes up when snow is in the forecast and everyone is pumped up. Then WHAM....we get dry slotting the puts an end to the final inning of a disappointing winter. Warm weather wackos can continue to dance around in their shorts...Next winter is our winter folks..

Posted by: StormChaser | February 21, 2008 5:03 PM | Report abuse

What?

We're still getting snow right? 1-3 inches. Dont tell me its fizzeling out, I've been looking forward to this all week. :(

Posted by: d | February 21, 2008 5:04 PM | Report abuse

Wanna drop the f-bomb, wanna drop the f-bomb!

Although looking at the radar, I don't see how that dry slot will get to us. In fact, the northern system looks like it's gonna come right through us.

Posted by: Peter | February 21, 2008 5:05 PM | Report abuse

Amen Period.

Posted by: Peter | February 21, 2008 5:06 PM | Report abuse

This does happen every single freaking time that we are supposed to get something vaguely reminiscent of winter... The Bush Bubble strikes again.

Posted by: Period | February 21, 2008 5:06 PM | Report abuse

AUGUSTA JIM....WE NEED YOUR TAKE PLEASE!!!

Posted by: Anonymous | February 21, 2008 5:06 PM | Report abuse

Any poss. of no school and 3 in of snow for MOCO. I'm just trying to be optimistic. :)

Posted by: d | February 21, 2008 5:07 PM | Report abuse

Hate to disappoint snow fans, but we're probably go to nudge snow amounts down in the next update (around 6pm). Dry slot is real on radar and in the models. The further north you are, the more snow though. Ice potential is still there for everyone during the day tomorrow

Posted by: Capital Weather Gang | February 21, 2008 5:07 PM | Report abuse

To echo Ana B's comments, we are 6 to 12 hours away from precip inception. While the radar isn't the prettiest thing you could be seeing (clearly not alot of phasing, but we already knew that). For those holding out hope for a 8 inch snowstorm, the radar should be ending that hope, but all else seems reasonable. Light to moderate snow bringing much of the metro area an inch or more before turning to ice, sleet and freezing rain for most of the area for most of the day. A bust it is not looking like

Posted by: Jamie Jones, CapitalWeather Gang | February 21, 2008 5:08 PM | Report abuse

When I look at that radar, to me it looks like the dry slot will mainly pass over VA, so DC & MD could still see a decent amount of snow overnight. Just a guess, though.

Posted by: R | February 21, 2008 5:10 PM | Report abuse

Jamie Jones: That's sounds fine to me!

Posted by: Peter | February 21, 2008 5:11 PM | Report abuse

Guys, I realize there is a dry slot. But if you look at animated runs on wunderground, it looks as if precip is trying to fill back in on western areas of TN line. I believe this "dry slot" will fill in as both batches of precip continue easterward movement

Posted by: skinsfn | February 21, 2008 5:12 PM | Report abuse

Jamie is right. DC and especially MD have better chance at accumulating snow than VA. It's a very close call as our area is right on the southern edge.

Posted by: Capital Weather Gang | February 21, 2008 5:13 PM | Report abuse

moco schoolcast plz

Posted by: sam | February 21, 2008 5:15 PM | Report abuse

Hahahah Sam, that's all that matter eh? ;)

Posted by: Period | February 21, 2008 5:17 PM | Report abuse

For everyone constantly bothering the CWG for a schoolcast, read the post:

Check back for further updates. We plan an updated accumulation map, timeline and Schoolcast tonight.

Operative word: TONIGHT.

Posted by: weatherdudeVA | February 21, 2008 5:18 PM | Report abuse

Don't get me wrong, that's pretty much 80% of what I'm concerned about, but they said it in the dang post. LMAO!

Posted by: weatherdudeVA | February 21, 2008 5:19 PM | Report abuse

no school for moco? 2 inches?

Posted by: d | February 21, 2008 5:20 PM | Report abuse

All of my teachers were like, "Oh there's definitely going to be no school tomorrow." And I'm thinking if they actually know a damn thing...

Posted by: Period | February 21, 2008 5:26 PM | Report abuse

Period, some of us teachers do know a thing or two, believe it or not :)

Posted by: Snowlover2! | February 21, 2008 5:27 PM | Report abuse

Thanks for the weather update; now can anyone help me find my T.V. remote? I've misplaced it.

Posted by: The Slightly-Abominable Snow Guy | February 21, 2008 5:32 PM | Report abuse

If you've got comcast digital cable: channel 101 says it all. HOW MUCH SNOW????

Posted by: d | February 21, 2008 5:36 PM | Report abuse

Snowlover2!,

Or so I had thought...

Posted by: Period | February 21, 2008 5:37 PM | Report abuse

If nothing else, at least we get some entertainment from these posts! Relax folks...it is what it is.

Posted by: Kalorama Park | February 21, 2008 5:37 PM | Report abuse

Well, as long as this dry slot doesn't affect ice tomorrow, I still think no one will have school tomorrow. What county would be crazy enough to send kids to school when it's going to ice on and off ALL DAY? Which means 2 hr delay and early dismissal don't make sense.

Posted by: Peter | February 21, 2008 5:45 PM | Report abuse

FFX might just be crazy enough.

Posted by: Period | February 21, 2008 5:48 PM | Report abuse

agree with peter, moco hasn't had one snow day all year.

Posted by: sam | February 21, 2008 5:49 PM | Report abuse

Was waiting for you to say that Period.

Posted by: Peter | February 21, 2008 5:52 PM | Report abuse

Satellite imagery shows the potential for the dry slot to fill back in (as opposed to no water vapor in the upper levels). From the looks of the radar, the northern part of the precip looks like our best hope... any chance of it building back in? NAM showed it build back in somewhat, GFS... not so much. Any thoughts?

Posted by: Model Monkey | February 21, 2008 5:53 PM | Report abuse

Ahh..Ana B (Good to SEE YOU!) and good ol' KP...makes it all worth it! :)

Posted by: Mike from the Blue Ridge | February 21, 2008 5:54 PM | Report abuse

I think we will be fine. The radar will fill back in. You kids won't have school,

Posted by: Big Goob | February 21, 2008 6:01 PM | Report abuse

Fox 5 says the slug of moisture that's smashing the south right now will be the storm that hits us around midnight. Not the one out in the ohio valley.

Posted by: weatherdudeVA | February 21, 2008 6:02 PM | Report abuse

While you're waiting for the snow/sleet/clouds to come, take a look at this:

http://wktv.linkjam.com/weather/blog_entry.php?blog=3&id=669
It's like Capital Weather, but in a place that's buried in snow. We can always dream...

Posted by: mcleaNed | February 21, 2008 6:09 PM | Report abuse

mcleanNed, thanks for the links. I liked how they all included their location in (). Might be something to try here [everyone take note]

Posted by: Jamie Jones, CapitalWeather Gang (Alexandria) | February 21, 2008 6:14 PM | Report abuse

mcleaNed,
that snow map is AWESOME! i once heard of a weatherman who retired to someplace near buffalo (probably right in that red circle). most people retire to florida or something boring like that - he picked the place in the country with the most snow.

Posted by: walter (falls church) | February 21, 2008 6:18 PM | Report abuse

Hate to bust everyones bubble but I predict the WSW will be downgraded to a Weather Advisory before midnight. I do expect that we will see a dusting and some freezing drizzle but this is taking the shape of a major dud storm. The dry air followed by the split in the storm are going to make this a near miss. Maryland and PA look to have the fun with this one.

Posted by: Greg | February 21, 2008 6:22 PM | Report abuse

Doesnt look like that to me... I guess it depends how far South You Are

Posted by: To Greg | February 21, 2008 6:24 PM | Report abuse

Greg,

You're much worse than me.

Posted by: Period | February 21, 2008 6:25 PM | Report abuse

As usual, this is my favorite place to check for information when a storm warning is sent out. I haven't visited regularly since long before the move to Washington Post, but I'm happy to see the comment section is still as useful as ever when I drop in for a quick forecast update. Kudos!

Posted by: Jen (Silver Spring) | February 21, 2008 6:29 PM | Report abuse

I like the location format as well. Will be supporting the idea.

Posted by: Havoc (Rockville) | February 21, 2008 6:30 PM | Report abuse

Greg is the original!

Posted by: Mike from the Blue Ridge | February 21, 2008 6:31 PM | Report abuse

LALALALALLA I'm not listening to you greg...lalalallalalalala

Well I'm not in the WSW so :P to you.

Does anybody that's lurking in the shadows of the blog that lives in/near Lake Ridge know what the HUGE black plume of smoke came from? It filled up the entire sky for about 5-10 minutes then disappeared. Thick black smoke. Scary crap. I didn't hear any sirens though. What's up with that? But yeah, I'm not expecting anyone to know anything, but if you do please tell. I'm nosey, lol.

Posted by: weatherdudeVA (Lake Ridge) | February 21, 2008 6:38 PM | Report abuse

If yesterday was the "Moses Effect," what do you call THIS dry hole? The "Civil War Effect"?

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