Report from Caribou (northern Maine) showing latest snow amount and seasonal total to date:
CARIBOU WFO 4.7 200 PM 3/20 ASOS 2007-2008 SF 176.6"

I had the pleasure of taking my kids to the Reston Town Center today to see a movie. Parking in the close quarters parking lot I said to myself, "I would not be shocked to come back out to my car to find a nice dent on the door." The reason I felt this was for a few reasons:

1) The wind - strong winds at the Reston Town Center.

2) Idiots who drive less expensive vechicles tend to not give a darn about other people who like to spend a bit of money on nice cars.

3) Construction Worker Vechicles - Where there is a contruction car there is a worker who for some reason does not pay attention to his surroundings.

I did indeed receive a nice dent in my passenger side door. I should have used my best judgement but was in a hurry.

To the person who did this...may you rest easy tonight. I guess I will be calling the "Dent Doctor" in the next few days.

NWS is forecasting a late week warm-up next week, with sustained highs in the 60s. probably too far out for high confidence, but does this sound likely?
Thanks!

Now, let's get in some really warm weather. Like a few sixties!

There have been some thoughts that the possible big storm early next week -- that currently looks more like a miss than a hit -- would break the "cool pattern" we've been in. I'm not sure that's still valid.. I don't see a ton of sustained warmth out there just yet on the models.

Yes, Rishi, looks like we may be turning the corner on some warmth. Based on the sun angle, the jet stream lifting north and ignoring the long-range models, I suspect that for the next 4 weeks we'll see more days at or above normal than those below.

Bob Ryan just mentioned the words "snow" and "Saturday" in the same sentence.

Probablilities of this actually happening anyone?

I cannot read the prior blog posts. I wanted to check to see if someone responded to my question earlier.

What would have to happen to keep the coastal storm near the coast instead of being pushed out to sea.

Thanks

Conman - I did respond and here is a truncated version of the full explanation from the late morning NWS Philadelphia office discussion:
THE GFS INITIALIZED THE SHORT
WAVE OF QUESTION PRETTY WELL SOUTH OF ALASKA, BUT THE DIFFERENCE
BETWEEN IT AND THE ECMWF (TU HPC) IS THAT THE ECMWF PHASES A SECOND
SHORT WAVE FROM CANADA WITH THAT SOUTH OF ALASKA SHORT WAVE OVER THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WHILE THE GFS DOES NOT. THE FORMER PHASING
PERMITS THE LONG WAVE TROF TO SHARPEN FASTER AND BRING THE FORMING
LOW CLOSER TO THE COAST. THE DIFFERENCE IS SUBTLE WITH RESPECT TO
THE SHORT WAVES, BUT ITS AMAZING THE DIFFERENCE THAT MAKES IN THE
SURFACE REFLECTION. THE ALASKAN SHORT WAVE COMES ASHORE IN TIME FOR
THE 12Z RUN ON FRIDAY AND BY THEN THE SECOND SHORT WAVE WILL ALSO BE
IN CANADA. SO HOPEFULLY BY THAT MODEL RUN WE WILL HAVE BETTER HANDLE
ON WHAT TO OR NOT TO EXPECT. THERE REMAINS PLENTY TO WATCH WITH THIS
LOW OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS SO STAY TUNED.

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU, ME
915 PM EDT THU MAR 20 2008

...PRELIMINARY RECORD SEASONAL SNOWFALL SET AT CARIBOU...

AS OF 900 PM EDT...181.8 INCHES OF SNOW HAS BEEN RECORDED AT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN CARIBOU. THIS BREAKS THE
PREVIOUS SEASONAL RECORD OF 181.1 INCHES SET BACK IN 1955.

ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL WILL ALLOW THE SEASONAL SNOWFALL TOTAL TO CLIMB
OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY.

That last sentence is perhaps the most sickening....if I only I lived in northern Maine.

DanceCast: Tomorrow's swing dance at the Clarendon Ballroom will get generally dry weather.

There is no dance April 1 (private event). Next dance is an Elks Lodge event 8PM-midnight on Apr. 4. Nothing this weekend though I might be at J.W.'s in Springfield some time this weekend. Saturday night at J.W.'s was good this past weekend.

Canadian lightning data (PM). Still some isolated strikes in the Atlantic off Delmarva extending south nearly to Cuba. No activity over the Continent thus far.