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Posted at 5:00 AM ET, 03/17/2008

Forecast: Weather to Deliver March Madness

By Jason Samenow

The weather will try to do its own "Big Dance" this week but will lack any rhythm. Tranquil and cool weather to start the week will shuffle towards a warm and wet Wednesday. Then the weather will jump step back to cooler conditions Thursday and, stuck in place, will stay cool through the weekend.

TODAY

Sunny. 52-56. Freezing temperatures to start the day will rise about 20 degrees by early afternoon under a brightly shining sun. Most of the metro area should reach the low to mid 50s. Overnight, clear skies early will become mostly cloudy by dawn, with lows from the mid 30s in the colder suburbs to near 40 downtown.

TOMORROW

Slight chance of morning showers then partly sunny. 54-58. Clouds will likely fill the skies during the first half of the day, with a 20% chance of some light showers as a warm front moves through the area. During the afternoon, we should see a bit of sunshine with temperatures well into the 50s. Partly cloudy skies and mild conditions will be with us overnight, with lows in the low 40s in the colder suburbs and the upper 40s downtown.

Keep reading for the rest of the week...

IMG_1598.jpg
A flower blooms near the canal in Georgetown Saturday. By Capital Weather Gang photographer Ian Livingston.

WEDNESDAY

Mild with p.m. showers and thunderstorms. 64-68. Flow from the south will boost temperatures well into the 60s, but an approaching cold front will bring increasing clouds and a good chance of showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening.

The front will have cleared the area by late evening and it will become windy and start to dry out overnight. Low temperatures should drop down to about 40.

A LOOK AHEAD

Thursday and Friday will be a lot likely yesterday and today: transitioning from windy and cool to calm and cool with high temperatures in the low 50s -- and no rain. Some rain is possible Saturday, with highs around 50. Sunday should be dry but still brisk, with highs again near 50.

By Jason Samenow  | March 17, 2008; 5:00 AM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   Del.icio.us   StumbleUpon   Technorati   Google Buzz   Previous: The Superstorm of March 13, 1993
Next: Freedman: The Winter That Was (Everywhere Else)

Comments

surely cold! Got down to 32 in Scott Circle (16th&N) downtown DC... eesh! hopefully this kills some pollen?

Posted by: Camden, Capital Weather Gang | March 17, 2008 7:55 AM | Report abuse

7:30 : 24 degrees in the Valley, calm and partly cloudy with scattered stratus.

Received .58 rain over the weekend, another in a long line of under performers, but every drop counts.

Significant snow fell in the higher mts. to my west Sat. night, (3-6 inches).

Wed. potential will be mainly late day and overnight, with most receiving .25-.75". QP.

An Easter Storm threatens, with the NAO going negative for the first time since Dec., snow is a possibility if the system tracks to our South, which is a likely scenerio from the ECMWF, DGEX and earlier GFS. The 06 GFS is beginning the usual disco.

Posted by: Augusta Jim | March 17, 2008 8:15 AM | Report abuse

Cam and Jim - we have been calling for the NAO to go negative for at least four, five weeks now...how come it hasnt panned out yet? It was supposed to be the big fly in the ointment for our March winter weather, but by next weekend we can say "Its April next week!"

Posted by: Dulles ARC | March 17, 2008 8:42 AM | Report abuse

Camden- I feel your pollen woes... Friday was horrible!

Posted by: Model Monkey | March 17, 2008 8:47 AM | Report abuse

Dulles ARC:
I agree completely, this has been an amazingly unpredictable pattern for the past several months. There may be a subliminal message involved.

Having said this, observed trends strongly favor a negative NAO at 6-8 days. We are now neutral and headed down after being positive most of the winter.

Posted by: Augusta Jim | March 17, 2008 9:09 AM | Report abuse

I don't think there will be any snow for areas East of the mountains. Winter is over and will be officially over Thursday!

Posted by: Greg | March 17, 2008 10:10 AM | Report abuse

I had some pretty nasty laryngitis Saturday...don't know if it's the pollen or perhaps a reprise of the flu I had the week after Presidents Day.

Posted by: El Bombo | March 17, 2008 10:51 AM | Report abuse

Re my earlier post on the Great Armistice Day Blizzard of 1940 as compared to the Superstorm of 1993:

The heaviest recorded snowfall in the 1940 storm was 27 inches at St. John's University in Collegeville, MN. That's five more inches of snow than the 22 inches recorded during the Knickerbocker snowstorm on Jan. 28, 1922.

Had the Superstorm of 1993 stayed all snow throughout at Reagan National, it might have exceeded both the Armistice Day Blizzard and the Knickerbocker Storm in total snowfall with 28 to 35+ inches of total accumulation. It did not, thanks to warm air advection along the Potomac at the height of the storm.

Posted by: El Bombo | March 17, 2008 11:02 AM | Report abuse

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