Forecast: Commencement Worthy Weather

The sun will shine down on the beaming new graduates at George Washington, Georgetown, George Mason, and Catholic Universities today (and all Washingtonians). Tomorrow's weather won't be so radiant, but a shower or two shouldn't dampen too many spirits.

TODAY

Mostly sunny. Increasing clouds late. Mid 70s. Everyone should enjoy today's weather. Pleasantly warm temperatures and sunshine will make up for yesterday's gloominess. Afternoon temperatures will reach the mid 70s. By evening, you may notice some increase in cloud cover.

Overnight, expect partly to mostly cloudy skies with just a 20% chance of a shower as a weak disturbance passes by to our north. Lows drop to 55 downtown and near 50 in the suburbs.

Confidence: Medium-High

Keep reading for the forecast for Sunday into early next week.

TOMORROW

Scattered showers. Near 70. A more vigorous disturbance will swing through the region tomorrow afternoon, likely triggering some showers and/or thunderstorms. It won't rain the whole day and the sun could pop out from time to time, but most of us will get wet at some point. The best chance for showers is from 12:00-4:00 p.m.

After dark, skies gradually clear. Lows drop from 43-48 (suburbs-city).

A LOOK AHEAD

Monday should be beautiful. Conditions will be a lot like today with lots of sunshine and high temperature in the mid 70s. Confidence: Medium-High

Rain showers are likely to return Tuesday, with high temperatures 65-70. Confidence: Medium

By Jason Samenow |  May 17, 2008; 10:05 AM ET Forecasts
Previous: CommuteCast: Mostly Cloudy, Isolated Showers | Next: Post Hunt Forecast: Rain Enters the Riddle

Comments

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A beautiful but breezy day ahead. 49 degrees and clear at 8 am.

Happy to see WUSA changed the forecast high for the D.C. area from 88 next Fri. when Topper gave it last pm to 75 this am. I thought Topper was getting a little carried away with that 88 high.

Next 60 hrs. should give most of the D.C. region .15-.50 rainfall, mostly falling later tonight and Sunday.

The outlook for Memorial Day weekend has changed drastically since yesterday. It looks like El Bombo's flood will not materialize. It should be a beautiful weekend with most precip. held far to our south according to the latest GFS.

Posted by: Augusta Jim | May 17, 2008 8:21 AM

George Mason has graduations today as well.

Posted by: Brian D. | May 17, 2008 8:27 AM

Brian- Thanks for the tip. GMU is now mentioned

Posted by: Jason, Capital Weather Gang | May 17, 2008 10:05 AM

University of Maryland graduations are next Thursday and Friday, by the way. :)

Posted by: jtf | May 17, 2008 10:57 AM

Does anyone know what the forecast is for Thursday? Hopkins graduation ceremonies are then.

Posted by: chris | May 17, 2008 12:16 PM

A tropical system early June????

The GFS says YES!!!!!!

Posted by: Augusta Jim | May 17, 2008 7:57 PM

Wow, guys, look! Circular storm systems are magically appearing around all the major cities! http://www.accuweather.com/radar-large.asp?partner=wndaily&traveler=0&site=VA_&type=SIR&anim=1&level=state&large=1

:-) I love it when radars invent their own rain.

Posted by: mcleaNed | May 17, 2008 9:50 PM

Yes, Memorial Day weekend looks fine, Augusta Jim. But I'm always suspicious whenever the rainy weather gets pushed to the south ~ it has a nasty way of trying to push back north causing a day or two of warm-front stratiform crud, where we previously had a dry forecast or extended outlook. this is especially true at this time of year, with the expanding tropical setup battling marine air which is often quite cool, and causing a very cool cloudy and messy easterly flow.

Posted by: El Bombo | May 19, 2008 9:49 AM

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