Freedman: Time to Play God With Wildlife?

Climate change continues to prompt a reexamination of how humans view our role on the planet. A new study, published in Science magazine by several conservation biologists, argues that due to the possibility of climate change-related habitat destruction, conservationists should consider taking the step of physically moving species from one location to another in order to save them.

The researchers say that species whose habitat is being threatened by climate change may benefit from being moved to areas that are more climatologically hospitable. Otherwise, the scientists state, numerous species could become extinct due to human activities such as the burning of coal for electricity.

Keep reading to learn about the controversial premise of "moving species" threatened by climate change. For the weather outlook, see our full forecast.

Scientists call this idea "assisted colonization" or "assisted migration." The concept is relatively new, and it is getting more attention in conservation circles. There will be a panel discussion and a workshop on the topic at next month's annual meeting of the Ecological Society of America.

Assisted migration is controversial, however, in part because it differs from traditional conservation practices that have emphasized the need to protect a species' present habitat, and not areas that are outside of a species' historical range. It also stirs up a host of scientific, ethical, and legal complications.

"It's so new that it's very difficult to know how it's perceived by conservation people in the field," said Dov Sax, an ecology and evolutionary biology professor at Brown University who is organizing the Ecological Society panel. "It's going to be a really important topic of debate in the conservation field in the decades to come."

Anyone who has ever visited a National Wildlife Refuge or donated money to the Nature Conservancy understands how ecosystem and species conservation has traditionally functioned: scientists identify species that need to be protected, and then work with policymakers to protect the habitat where such species live. This has typically meant fencing off certain lands against human encroachment, oftentimes to the chagrin of land developers.

But the climate-related problem with this approach, the study says, is that climate change may proceed so rapidly that species won't have time to naturally disburse to new lands, and because of human settlements, they may not be able to find new habitat at all.

"Current conservation practices may not be enough to avert species losses in the face of mid- to upper-level climate projections," the study states. "We must contemplate the possibility that some regions of the Earth will experience high levels of warming (>4° C) within the next 100 years, as well as altered precipitation. Under these circumstances, the future for many species and ecosystems is so bleak that assisted colonization might be their best chance."

From an ethical standpoint, Sax said, people could be considered to have an obligation to save species that they are helping to push to the brink of extinction. However, introducing species into new areas presents significant risks of unintended consequences. This has been seen again and again with invasive species such as the zebra mussel, which has caused significant harm to ecosystems in the Great Lakes states.

"Assisted colonization will always carry some risk, but these risks must be weighed against those of extinction and ecosystem loss," the study states.

Instead of tigers or polar bears, the paper identifies certain species of corals and butterflies as good candidates for assisted migration.

"We're not going to be able to do this with a lot of the most charismatic conservation species because local people will not want top level predators moving into their own backyard," study co-author Camille Parmesan told me. Parmesan is known for her work that details climate change is already affecting different species.

She said assisted migration is not anywhere close to gaining acceptance in the broader conservation and policymaking communities. For example, she said there is "huge resistance" within the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service to considering assisted migration in the case of the endangered Quino Checkerspot Butterfly in California.

Nevertheless, Parmesan is planning to propose just that next month when she gives a talk for FWS officials. She said she will tell officials they should protect areas where butterflies don't currently live, but where they might need to go if the climate continues to change.

"I don't know how this is going to fly," she said.

When asked about critics who might see assisted migration as playing God with endangered species, Parmesan chuckled and said, "People have no qualms about playing god with the climate, so that strikes me as being rather hypocritical."

What do you think, do we have an obligation to help species that climate change is putting at risk, or is that taking conservation efforts a step too far?

By Andrew Freedman |  July 28, 2008; 11:00 AM ET Climate Change
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Comments

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A little off topic, but interesting, is a quote from Bjorn Lomborg's piece in today's WSJ:

"Spending $800 billion (in total present-day terms) over 100 years solely on mitigating emissions would reduce temperature increases by just 0.4 degrees Fahrenheit by the end of this century.

When you add up the benefits of that spending -- from the slightly lower temperatures -- the returns are only $685 billion. For each extra dollar spent, we would get 90 cents of benefits -- and this is even when things like environmental damage are taken into account.

A continued narrow focus on mitigation alone will clearly not solve the climate problem. One problem right now: Although politicians base their decisions on the assumption that low-carbon energy technology is being rapidly developed, that is not the case. These technologies just do not exist. Wind and solar power are available -- at a high expense -- but suffer from intermittency. Researchers need to develop better ways to store electricity when those renewable sources are offline.

If we took that $800 billion and spent it on research and development into clean energy, the results would be remarkably better. In comparison with the 90-cent return from investing solely in mitigation, each dollar spent on research and development would generate $11 of benefits.
(Figures based on research by Gary Yohe, Wesleyan University, and Christopher Green, McGill University.)"

Posted by: RM | July 28, 2008 11:49 AM

What you state as a study, isn't a study. It is a policy opinion in Science's Policy Forum. I realize that this may be splitting hairs, but time and time again stated on this commentary is the importance of peer review. This isn't reviewed by peers and shouldn't be taken or stated as such. This is an invited editorial that mixes policy with science along with a good amount of extrapolation.

A cynical, or one that has played the game before (yours truly), scientist might suggest that this is group in the same field and country whom may be looking to enhance potential funding opportunities by putting something it the literature that can be cited in the future to validate their need for more money. That way this group can publish independently, review each others papers, and use their own momentum to carry on their work in a field. This happens frequently.

Posted by: cdzang | July 28, 2008 11:52 AM

Cdzang: It may be more accurate to refer to it as an article or invited commentary, rather than a study, although I never said it underwent peer review. I'll let the authors respond to your questioning of their motives.

Posted by: Andrew Freedman, Capital Weather Gang | July 28, 2008 12:07 PM

Quoting Mr. Freedman's column -
" Otherwise, the scientists state, numerous species could become extinct due to human activities such as the burning of coal for electricity."

If people truly believe that, then wouldn't it make more sense to replace coal fired power plants with nuclear powered plants, rather than attempting to move species?

I honestly do not understand why people who believe that man is causing catastrophic global warming are not advocates of nuclear power. I would think they would be marching in the streets demanding the rapid replacement of coal fired power plants with nuclear powered plants.

Mr. Q.

Posted by: Mr. Q. | July 28, 2008 12:09 PM

Quoting RM quoting Bjorn Lomborg-
"If we took that $800 billion and spent it on research and development into clean energy, the results would be remarkably better. In comparison with the 90-cent return from investing solely in mitigation, each dollar spent on research and development would generate $11 of benefits."

HEAR! HEAR!

I agree completely!!

I am 100% in favor of spending money on research and development of clean technology. However, if we do spend our tax dollars on this technology, I want the technology to belong to the citizens of the United States of America. I do NOT want to see any crony capitalism. I do NOT want to see our tax dollars produce a technology that somehow winds up as a patent in some company's portfolio. But if a private company invests their own dollars (and only their own dollars) and creates the technology, then my hat is off to them.

Once the technology is available, then the free market should run its course. I do NOT want to see any crony capitalism in the form of legislation that benefits any one company. Let the people and the free market decide.

But we do have existing technology (nuclear energy) that could be put in to use immediately. We already get 19.7% of our electricity from nuclear. Why not bump that up to at least 50%?

http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/electricity/epm/epm_sum.html

Mr. Q.

Posted by: Mr. Q. | July 28, 2008 1:03 PM

Mr. Q said:
"Once the technology is available, then the free market should run its course. I do NOT want to see any crony capitalism in the form of legislation that benefits any one company."

So, then you'd be in favor of eliminating the subsidies, tax breaks, etc, that oil and gas companies currently receive? Putting EVERYBODY on a level playing field?

Because currently, in the energy field, this "free market" that you speak of, doesn't exist.

Oh and for what its worth, I believe there is some benefit to mitigation, but I do believe that risk vs. reward should weigh heavily in what we do, and why. Unintended consequences to ecosystems because of "migration" might far outweigh the rewards....

Posted by: jbroon | July 29, 2008 8:11 AM


Darwin is rolling in his grave right now.

Posted by: PK | July 29, 2008 10:50 AM

Well I, for one, am 100% against this program. I work hard to provide a clean, safe environment for the animals in my neighborhood, and I'll be damned if they are gonna start bussing in pigeons to mix in with ours. Those birds have perfectly good fountains where they're at - they don't need to be coming around to mine.

And another thing -if God wanted all cats to associate with one another, he would have made them all cougars.

Open your eyes, people! It starts small and seems harmless ... right up to the day your daughter brings home a tree frog.

Posted by: S Whitehair | July 29, 2008 6:30 PM

Mr/Ms Whitehair - one of the best posts I've ever read on this blog. I had almost given up reading Mr Freedman's column all the way to the comments because of the weekly diatribe from Mr Q and his friends.

Loved it! It restored my faith in those who read this!

Mr Q - There are problems with nuclear power and as usual you have chosen to forget about the full picture.

Nuclear power is efficient - and to keep it efficient it has to be located near the population it's going to serve. Would you like one built in your backyard? Or would you prefer that we store the waste in your yard for the next trillion billion years (oh no was that hyperbole - I know you have trouble discerning that!).

But before you answer and go off about me - think about the real costs of nuclear power. Security for one - let's get the plants secure, keep them secure, secure their waste, secure the transport of said waste etc for an eternity. Let's do exercises for the next hundred years to keep trying to predict and then mitigate ways in which terrorists or other criminals would want to disrupt these places. This is not efficient power, it is full of hidden costs and problems.

Lets spend our money on investigating, supporting and providing some infant industry protection to truly clean energy innovations. We do it to the most horrible form of ethanol for votes, can't we do it for things that will actually make a difference?

Because I for one don't want Mr/Ms Whitehair's pigeons at my house! However should your daughter be after a tree frog there's a couple of very happy, LOUD ones outside my window that will be free to a good home!

Posted by: Emma | July 30, 2008 12:12 AM

Emma, I clearly stated, and I quote, "I am 100% in favor of spending money on research and development of clean technology."

I then went on to state, "But we do have existing technology (nuclear energy) that could be put in to use immediately."

That seems like a reasonable position to me. I do not understand how anyone could find that unreasonable.

We need to be realistic. Technologies such as windmills and solar only work when the wind is blowing and the sun is shining. Regrettably, the wind isn't always blowing and we do have this thing known as night. Those technologies will never be anything more than supplemental. We need an energy source that works in the middle of the night when the wind isn't blowing. Nuclear power should be considered.

Did you know that France gets 80% of their electricity from nuclear power? They recycle their spent nuclear fuel and then reuse it. Using France's nuclear fuel recycling and reprocessing technology, the nuclear waste generated by one person's entire lifetime use of electricity (approximately 78 years worth of electricity for one person) will fit in a 12 ounce soda can.

May I recommend a book for you? An environmentalist started writing a book about the hazards of nuclear power. She was very much opposed to nuclear energy. While doing the research for her book, she came to realize how little she knew about nuclear energy and how much of what she thought she knew was wrong. She is now an environmentalist who is very pro nuclear power. Her book is available here -
http://www.amazon.com/Power-Save-World-Nuclear-Energy/dp/0307266567

Your local library might have a copy if you would rather not spend the money on it. If your library does not have a copy and you do not want to spend your own money on it, I would be more than happy to send you a copy.

Mr. Q.

Posted by: Mr. Q. | July 30, 2008 2:57 PM

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