Sustainable Military Development
It has become conventional wisdom that the Army cannot sustain deployments in Iraq past next summer. But the reasoning behind this conventional wisdom -- as is often the case -- deserves a second look.
Thankfully, a little dispatch I found in this morning's Pentagon news clips helps provide an explanation for this bit of CW. It may also offer a solution to the Army's crisis and the military's seemingly constant personnel shortage.
Before we get to the news: I know, I know, the standard explanation for the personnel shortage goes something like this: Take away the Navy, the Air Force, the bandsmen and the whatevers, and the number of people in actual ground combat units is much smaller than the 2 million-plus people under arms in the active military and reserves. Still, I read recently that even in the Corps, where every Marine "is a rifleman," there is a significant number of people (maybe one in five) who haven't deployed to Iraq even once.
So there are some organizational issues here. And there's also the reality of what it takes to support the force in the field.
Okay, now to the news: The military's Stars and Stripes newspapers report that National Guard and Army Reserve soldiers under the flag of the 35th Infantry Division are readying for a nine-month stint on active duty, beginning with 60 days of pre-deployment refresher training in Indiana before shipping out. These citizen soldiers, mostly from Kansas, Missouri and Nebraska, are forming Task Force Falcon, and while their lives are being terribly disrupted and they face hardships ahead, I'm sure that on some level they are also thanking their lucky stars: They are going to Kosovo.
This will be the ninth rotation of U.S. troops into Kosovo since 1999. The Army has shortened the rotation from a year to nine months to soften the impact on soldier's civilian lives, and 200 fewer troops are in Falcon 9 than previous Falcon deployments.
I'm all for peacekeeping, and I support self-determination and stability for the good people of Kosovo. Still, it's past time we turned this mission over to our good friends in Europe. I know the geopolitics here: America's strength and backing is needed, there are other threats, we have "commitments" and treaties, there should be no vacuums of power nor ungoverned spaces. So there we are still, in South Korea, on Okinawa, sprinkled throughout the Persian Gulf, in Djibouti and increasingly elsewhere in Africa, in the Sinai, all over Europe....
Of course, we're not in Pakistan or Lebanon, where our strength is really needed. But I digress.
The Kosovo deployment is particularly glaring because this ninth deployment is occurring at the very moment that our best friends, the British, are contemplating ending their deployment in Basra. The new foreign secretary, David Miliband, said yesterday that any future decision would be divorced from the U.S. decisions about Baghdad and Iraq overall. "We will always take British decisions in the British national interest," he said. Don't you just love that international thing?
Of course, virtually all of our good friends in Europe skedaddled from Iraq long ago -- if they were there in the first place -- and the European toy soldiers can't actually fight in Afghanistan without big brother. In Kosovo, as in Iraq and Afghanistan, the name on the mailbox says "Multinational Task Force." But c'mon: many in the Muslim world see the United States as the puppeteer, often with justification.
How many billions are we about to spend arming the Saudis and the Gulf States and Egypt and Jordan? When our European allies can't fight and can't even tend to the security of their own continent?
I'm not arguing in favor of continuing the war in Iraq, nor for isolationism. But I'm against increasing the size of our military. Or at least, before we do, we should make "multinational" mean something, gracefully bow out of legacy commitments, shift the tooth-to-tail ratio even more, force the Europeans to get tough by actually stepping out of the way and let go of the arrogant and self-perpetuating falsehood that only America can fight.
None of this will solve the Army's problems with its Iraq commitments right now. But a different approach and a different mindset will certainly show a different face to our long-term enemies.
By William M. Arkin |
August 30, 2007; 7:24 AM ET
Previous: Keeping a Low Political Profile at the Pentagon |
Next: The Generals and the Candidates
Posted by: Dennis Igou | September 4, 2007 3:07 PM
Bill
If the Us military is so over-streched, I have some solutions which no-one seems to have thought-of: get out of Iraq, get out of Afghanistan, and go somewhere you can do some good like Darfur. Stay in Kosovo despite those so-called European "wimps" (Have you thought that the Europeans are simply smarter than you are?). Dramatically reduce your nuclear armed military infrastructure and transfer the funds and personnel into the infantry. Deeply cut weapons research budgets, ditto. It's time to realise that the world has changed, and military configurations and mindsets developed to fight the cold war are both no longer appropriate and even positively dysfunctional.
Posted by: Eric Yendall | September 2, 2007 1:06 AM
Bill
If the Us military is so over-streched, I have some solutions which no-one seems to have thought-of: get out of Iraq, get out of Afghanistan, and go somewhere you can do some good like Darfur. Stay in Kosovo despite those so-called European "wimps" (Have you thought that the Europeans are simply smarter than you are?). Dramatically reduce your nuclear armed military infrastructure and transfer the funds and personnel into the infantry. Deeply cut weapons research budgets, ditto. It's time to realise that the world has changed, and military configurations and mindsets developed to fight the cold war are both no longer appropriate and even positively dysfunctional.
Posted by: Eric Yendall | September 2, 2007 1:05 AM
This just shows Rumsfeld couldn't manage himself out of a paper bag and should have been replaced long before he was. Managing men wasn't exactly his strong suit. Being obstinate was his strong suit.
Posted by: rich | September 1, 2007 11:44 AM
France will lead the way.
Jindo
Isn't it interesting given the political climate (and the new pro-western Presidential Candidate) in France that all of the sudden America has warmed up to France again.
It is sad that we ignore the wisdom of nations that are much older than America, and leaders who have been around since some of our leaders were in high school or on the college cheerleading team?
Posted by: The Rev | August 31, 2007 2:43 PM
France will lead the way.
Posted by: Jindo | August 31, 2007 6:41 AM
thanx, mr. arkin for the lesson in military chess. it should also be stated the at recent statements out of afghanistan suggest that we mwy be thinking about giving up there in order to concentrate on iraq(oops! i really meant iran) are we all getting the drift now?
Posted by: lonewolf | August 30, 2007 8:16 PM
This is pure light and fast Rumsfeld, which has weakened our nation and it's military. Israel has also been infected by the neoliberal/Neoconservative approach to warfare.
Posted by: P. J. Casey | August 30, 2007 3:11 PM
BE IN DC ON SEPTEMBER 15, 2007!
HERE'S WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW:
~ The Plan for the Day - Gathering time and place, maps & housing
~ How to get to DC - By bus, van, car, plane, train and metro
~ THE PLAN FOR SEPT. 15 ~
On Saturday, September 15, tens of thousands of people from across the country will gather at 12 noon at the White House (north side, in and around Lafayette Park) and then march to the Capitol (west side). (The Ellipse on the south side of the White House is closed for maintenance repairs.)
Please see below for detailed information.
Click below to view and print a map (8.5x11 inch PDF):
http://www.pephost.org/site/R?i=sugzmXf8wZhBlSBpuv5ysw..
The march will go from the White House to the Capitol Building. The front contingent of the march will be Iraq war veterans, family members of soldiers and marines and other veterans. When the march arrives at Congress, the Iraq War Veterans and family members will be the leadership of a mass die-in symbolizing the deaths of an estimated 4,000 U.S. servicemembers. A powerful representation of the death of hundreds of thousands of Iraqis will be the other central component of this dramatic confrontation with Congress at the time that they will be debating spending another $100 billion to sustain the criminal occupation of Iraq.
The Die-In is a civil disobedience action and those participating may risk arrest. There will be a permitted rally taking place simultaneously with the Die-In. All those who cannot afford to risk arrest will be able to participate in the permitted rally that will take place on the West Lawn of the Capitol Building.
Sign up today:
YES, I can join the mass march in Washington DC on September 15. Click this link to sign up:
http://www.pephost.org/site/R?i=p1P_FAOTEgGrgSrKbhhpIw..
YES, I will participate in the mass Die-In/Funeral. Click this link to sign up:
http://www.pephost.org/site/R?i=9aqL2JxQJk0spIxQuaqqzA..
There will be information packets about logistics and legal Know Your Rights information sent to all those participating. The National Lawyers Guild Mass Defense Committee and the Partnership for Civil Justice will be providing legal support for the demonstration.
An email update with details about the September 16-21 Week of Action will be sent out later this week.
Posted by: Send Them Packing | August 30, 2007 12:43 PM
BE SURE TO CHECK OUT
www.Sept15.org
http://www.pephost.org/site/R?i=z2cvsM6V4eTJSI61zaMiBQ..
**********************
A.N.S.W.E.R. Coalition
www.answercoalition.org
info@internationalanswer.org
National Office in Washington DC: 202-544-3389
New York City: 212-694-8720
Los Angeles: 323-464-1636
San Francisco: 415-821-6545
Chicago: 773-463-0311
If this message was forwared to you and you'd like to receive future ANSWER updates, click here:
http://www.pephost.org/site/R?i=RR-dWlKuH-jLNN_s1suUng..
Posted by: Black September | August 30, 2007 12:34 PM
With a total force of only 2 million, there is no way for the U.S. to pacify the insurgency in Iraq without increasing overall troop levels very dramatically.
The counterinsurgency manual, written in large part by Gen. Petraeus, calls for at least 20 security forces for every 1,000 inhabitants. Baghdad is (or was) a city of about 6,000,000. That comes out to about 140,000 troops needed just for Baghdad. Iraq has a population of about 27 million, depending how many refugees have fled, which means you need roughly 4 times that many troops--560,000--to control the country (that number seems familiar...)
Of course, if you count Iraqi troops and police then we already have this number. The problem is most of them seem to be part of one or another insurgency...which we continue to arm. The lesson is simply, if you want a job done right you've got to do it yourself; which means America needs to put 1/2 million troops into Iraq or get the hell out.
Posted by: Sage Thrasher | August 30, 2007 12:32 PM
WE CAN'T DO IT WITHOUT YOUR HELP ~
The ANSWER Coalition has provided thousands of dollars as a scholarship to help Iraq veterans and other veterans get on the bus to join the September 15 protest. Thousands of Iraq war veterans want to join the protest. The biggest obstacle is lack of money. If you cannot come to Washington DC yourself but would like to provide a transportation subsidy for others, you can do so by clicking this link to make a generous donation:
http://www.pephost.org/site/R?i=3eLy4_LH4AP3LLvQoka8wg..
Posted by: September 15 | August 30, 2007 12:31 PM
~ PUBLIc TRANSPORTATION IN DC ~
The closest metro (subway) stations to the rally site at the White House (north side in Lafayette Park) are McPherson Square (blue/orange lines), Farragut West (blue/orange lines), Farragut North (red line); Metro Center (blue/orange/red lines) is also close.
Exact locations of exits from metro stations:
- McPherson Square (blue/orange lines): *SE corner Vermont Ave. & I St. NW, SW corner 14th & I Sts. NW
- Farragut West (blue/orange lines): *SE corner 17th & I Sts. NW, NW corner 18th & I Sts. NW
- Farragut North (red line): *NE corner Conn. Ave. & K St. NW, SW corner Conn. & L St. NW, NE corner Conn. & L St. NW
- Metro Center (blue/orange/red lines): *SE corner 13th and G Sts. NW, NE corner 12th and G Sts. NW, SE corner 11th and G Sts. NW, SW corner 12th and F Sts. NW
* = best exit to use
For an online DC metro (subway) map, click on one of the options below:
Interactive online metro map (click on station to view details):
http://www.pephost.org/site/R?i=GA-v5X1m5ehUvIFsDLwaUQ..
Posted by: September 15 | August 30, 2007 12:29 PM
Please see the websites of these airports for information about public transportation and directions.
Baltimore-Washington Airport (BWI)
800-435-9294, located in Maryland halfway between DC and Baltimore, about 30-40 min. drive from DC
http://www.pephost.org/site/R?i=rSGoAqtWFrbpWM5MxkzQvQ..
The best way to get from BWI to the rally site is to take the WMATA Express bus that leaves from airport and takes you to the Greenbelt Metro Stop. From there, you will want to go to the Gallery Place - Chinatown station where you can transfer to the red line and then exit at Farragut North. Click here for more information about bus departure times from the airport.
http://www.pephost.org/site/R?i=o1IluaqkX-sRDOHkom8MUg..
Posted by: September 15 | August 30, 2007 12:28 PM
Ronald Reagan Washington National (DCA)
703-417-8000, located in Virginia very close to DC
http://www.pephost.org/site/R?i=l4Xlck_qSxs_DdvpaEnHeQ..
Washington-Dulles International (IAD)
703-572-2700, located in Virginia about 30 min. from DC
http://www.pephost.org/site/R?i=rgYR_fgwEBJwPuPcTYKE9g..
Posted by: September 15 | August 30, 2007 12:27 PM
~ BUSES, VANS AND CAR CARAVANS TO DC ~
Transportation is being organized from cities all over the country to travel to Washington DC. Click here for details about cities organizing transportation:
http://www.pephost.org/site/R?i=I8HjYFr6OWCL2HD4tMvb5Q..
People will be coming from every state in the East Coast, Midwest and South, and many are coming to DC from the West.
If you're organizing people from your area and you're not listed, fill out the online Transportation Form so we can help get the word out:
http://www.pephost.org/site/R?i=5nHYGgNjH6fD96Zr-vFIUg..
For those coming by bus: Bus drop off will be near the rally site. Buses will be able to drop off passengers before proceeding to parking, and passengers will be able to walk to the rally site.
~ DRIVING DIRECTIONS ~
For detailed driving directions to Washington DC, click here:
http://www.pephost.org/site/R?i=btmcvVAjppExQb7NyHHURw..
Enter "1600 H St. NW" in Washington (city) DC (state) 20006 (zip) as your "end" location.
For those driving personal cars and vans: You can park in the area of the opening rally site, and take the metro back to your car after the rally at the Capitol.
~ Airports, Bus and Train Stations in DC ~
Airports
There are three airports in the Washington DC area:
Posted by: September 15 | August 30, 2007 12:26 PM
~ HOUSING IN DC ~
There are several options for housing if you are coming to Washington DC:
1. There is a Housing Board on which you can request and offer free housing.
2. Large groups (10 or more) can request housing in churches, community centers and other spaces through the ANSWER Coalition. Please call 202-544-3389 x14 to request group housing.
3. Special for students: The George Washington University College Democrats are hosting students for free in dorm rooms on campus which is just blocks from the White House.
4. A list of hotels, motels, hostels and campgrounds is available below.
Click here for details on each of these options:
http://www.pephost.org/site/R?i=oVgQO9exTVNUqGxOdRKsIg..
Posted by: September 15 | August 30, 2007 12:24 PM
BE IN DC ON SEPTEMBER 15, 2007!
HERE'S WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW:
~ The Plan for the Day - Gathering time and place, maps & housing
~ How to get to DC - By bus, van, car, plane, train and metro
~ THE PLAN FOR SEPT. 15 ~
On Saturday, September 15, tens of thousands of people from across the country will gather at 12 noon at the White House (north side, in and around Lafayette Park) and then march to the Capitol (west side). (The Ellipse on the south side of the White House is closed for maintenance repairs.)
Please see below for detailed information.
Click below to view and print a map (8.5x11 inch PDF):
http://www.pephost.org/site/R?i=sugzmXf8wZhBlSBpuv5ysw..
The march will go from the White House to the Capitol Building. The front contingent of the march will be Iraq war veterans, family members of soldiers and marines and other veterans. When the march arrives at Congress, the Iraq War Veterans and family members will be the leadership of a mass die-in symbolizing the deaths of an estimated 4,000 U.S. servicemembers. A powerful representation of the death of hundreds of thousands of Iraqis will be the other central component of this dramatic confrontation with Congress at the time that they will be debating spending another $100 billion to sustain the criminal occupation of Iraq.
The Die-In is a civil disobedience action and those participating may risk arrest. There will be a permitted rally taking place simultaneously with the Die-In. All those who cannot afford to risk arrest will be able to participate in the permitted rally that will take place on the West Lawn of the Capitol Building.
Sign up today:
YES, I can join the mass march in Washington DC on September 15. Click this link to sign up:
http://www.pephost.org/site/R?i=p1P_FAOTEgGrgSrKbhhpIw..
YES, I will participate in the mass Die-In/Funeral. Click this link to sign up:
http://www.pephost.org/site/R?i=9aqL2JxQJk0spIxQuaqqzA..
There will be information packets about logistics and legal Know Your Rights information sent to all those participating. The National Lawyers Guild Mass Defense Committee and the Partnership for Civil Justice will be providing legal support for the demonstration.
An email update with details about the September 16-21 Week of Action will be sent out later this week.
Posted by: September 15 | August 30, 2007 12:21 PM
Foreward looking...
As I understand it, at present, the U.S.A. has a military presence, or involvment in about 90 nations of the world; other nations, we sell weapons and technology to under the table (ala Ollie North).
Given what the current administration in Washington has started, the U.S.A will have to have troops stationed, permanently, in another sector of the world for the forseeable future (even after Space has been militarized).
In other words, the Americans troops, are never coming home again to stay anyway - not all of them.
The question is where will the strategic American Military Super Base, with the most sophisticated technology and surveilance equiment ever known to man be located.
I predict that in the future, half of America's military might will be located - remotely. Who knows? Perhaps, the troops will be stationed on an American made satellite/super-star that will be placed in orbit, rotating, around the planet concurrently with the moon.
Or, some astute nation might make a Qadafi like move, or go even further and have America to come in and establish that Super Base placed within their borders, let's say Russia or China. Then the two nations working together could cojointly dominate the planet and even America's old allies.
America will be on a permanet war footing for some time now, and a disproporationate share of the American taxpayers revenues, will be used to provide security and to control the other nationsn of this planet!
Don't tell lmao that I said this!
Posted by: The Rev | August 30, 2007 12:02 PM
Dear Bill,
You can delegate Kosovo to the Europeans if you want, but that doesn't solve the real problem.
Our military forces are not in tune with the level of our military obligations because our society does not stand behind the policies of the Bush administration, and because the administration's actions are out of sync with its claims.
If the White House really viewed Iraq as the key to saving civilization, the obvious course would be to mobilize every man, woman and child and dedicate our entire economy to the effort as in WWII. In such a case, it is hard to imagine that our allies would not rally to help us.
Yet Bush has never attempted to achieve such a mobilization, preferring instead to keep the war simmering on the back burner while pretending everything was hunky-dory, and at the same time pushing the military to its limits.
The Iraq mission may be merely an ill-conceived "Operation Save the World Light". Or it may be a device for buying political capital.
But from the administration's approach, we can be pretty sure it is not the battle to save civilization.
But it's Iraq that's wearing down US armed forces, not Kosovo.
Posted by: Catfish Jim | August 30, 2007 11:07 AM
The comments to this entry are closed.

Let France lead Europe. We Americans can do the heavy lifting,however, we must let the Union of Europe safegaurd their oil supplies. The French helped us win our independence, let them stand tall,co-operate with them. Recent moves from their administration will be put to test. Are you with us or old and in the way?