PostGlobal Global Power Barometer (washingtonpost.com)
Methodology

How the GPB Works

What the World is Thinking -- A graphic snapshot compiled by Denver Research Group

  • Here's the background on the Global Power Barometer...

    The Global Power Barometer (GPB) is a 90-day PostGlobal experiment that seeks to measure Global Thought about the question: "Which nations, ideologies and/or movements are most powerful (most successful) in moving global opinion and events in directions they desire?"

    Navigation

    • The chart's X-axis represents the relative exercise of power. The right side of the chart is more successful or more powerful. The left side is less powerful or less successful. The moving arrows show the direction of the icon over the previous 24 hours.
    • The chart's Y-axis does not at present have meaning. Icons are spaced evenly along the Y-Axis.
    • The reader can click on "This Week" in the time bar at the top of the chart to watch movement of the icons over the current week. Clicking on any specific date stops the chart at that date. The movement in previous weeks can be viewed by clicking "Other Weeks".
    • Clicking on the icons will drill down to a small sample of the many articles and/or other data that were used to position the icon on the chart.
    • Clicking on "Decoding Today's Chart" takes the reader to a one-paragraph explanation of the drivers for the current chart (as well as archived explanations from earlier days and weeks). Also included are observations gleaned from that day's Global Thought.
    • The "What's Next" button allows readers to access "Emerging Issues", which is a simple listing of issues, players, events, political intrigues or other items that the PostGlobal team believes may become important in coming days or weeks. Issues appearing here have reached at least one threshold of significance.
    • The "PostGlobal" link immediately under the "Global Power Barometer" takes the reader back to the PostGlobal home page.


    Comments on the GPB and its methodology


  • As you will see, in the 21st Century connected world, those with the greatest material power (e.g., powerful militaries, nuclear weapons or strong economies) aren't always the most powerful or successful at moving events in the way they desire. Players with less material power have learned to compensate for the imbalance in part by using smart strategies, making maximum use of the newly connected Internet world and/or forming unique alliances.

    Readers should note that the GPB is a simplified version of trend identification systems developed by Denver Research Group, Inc. (DRGI). However, the GPB does not project trends. While the DRGI systems have accumulated a decent record of accuracy, no measure of global power should be considered more than an educated guess created by reasonably comparing data sets. These charts are intended only as one tool to help the reader track those players that global opinion leaders of all persuasions believe are moving world events…that is, who's powerful today and who's not.

    In most cases the GPB tracks nations. However, ideologies and political movements are also tracked and as they become powerful and successful, they may be added to the chart. Currently, the GPB is tracking "Aggressive Political Islam" (represented by the "Islamists" icon) because it has become an extremely powerful global political movement as well as an ideology compelling to millions. Note that the term "Aggressive Political Islam", or API, is broad and encompasses roughly those who desire to see Islam recapture global respect and political power. This obviously includes radical and violent fringe groups such as al-Qaeda, but also includes other groups like Hezbollah, Hamas, and Somalia's Joint Islamic Courts that provide governance services (e.g., social services) to their constituents. API is comprised of non-state actors and is united by a desire to see more Islamic states form. These types of Islamists can be both Sunni and Shiite and are found in the Middle East, in Africa, in Indonesia, Asia, Europe and elsewhere.

    Note that the GPB lags by 24 hours. The GPB published on a Wednesday will reflect Global Thought from the 24 preceding hours. It is necessary to wait at least 12-18 hours into a day before a reasonable judgment about the direction of Global Thought can be made.

    We hope that when combined with the opinions and analyses of the PostGlobal international team, the charts will stimulate discussion and debate.

    The Global Power Barometer is strictly non-partisan. Additionally, the positions of icons whether negative or positive make or infer absolutely no judgment whatsoever about a nation's, an ideology's or a political movement's policies or values. They only provide a measure of whether that entity is effectively moving global events at a given point in time. For example, events that are morally good or morally reprehensible may cause an icon to move to the more powerful side if that event helps a player to achieve their goals.
  • The Denver Research Group


    The Global Power Barometer is produced independently for PostGlobal by Denver Research Group, Inc. ("DRGI"). DRGI's proprietary systems analyze Global Thought 24/7 using a weighted sample of thousands of influential sources from the media, academia, government, NGOs and other published sources. DRGI is a niche consulting firm that has for nearly three decades provided cutting edge monitoring, trend projection, strategic planning, and other services to Fortune 200 firms and other public and private clients.

The GPB tracks how well global players use power to advance their policy goals. The system tracks thousands of news media, academic, governmental and other sources. The relative position of the players are driven by opinion, events, and other soft and hard factors. The system does not count articles like a "buzz meter." See "What's this" for more.

Prepared each weekday for PostGlobal by Denver Research Group | GPB Background | Comments



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