The Trail: A Daily Diary of Campaign 2008

Check out this article, it outlines a strategy on how the Edwards campaign could defeat Hillary Clinton. Check it out at http://thirdrailradio.blogspot.com/

Check out this article, it outlines a strategy on how the Edwards campaign could defeat Hillary Clinton. Check it out at http://thirdrailradio.blogspot.com/

Anne9: Hillary has not championed anything that we know of during her 35 years she claims. The fact is we would never have known who she is if it wasn't for her husband being in the public eye. Just like how Paris Hilton became a celebrity, Hillary Clinton has taken the center stage. When people say they support the Clintons, they are talking 90% about Bill and the 10% about his family. Nepotism should have no place in a democracy. During this age of information at your finger tips we still find it very hard to see any article describing Hillary's accomplishments or contributions to the soceity at any capacity. Generalized statements like 'she helped women in third world countries to rise up for democracy' are totally baseless. None of the countries that she has visited ever made the news to that effect. Hillary's contributions - Zilch.

I, too, find brilliant women sexy and even married one but what does that have to do with Hillary? although he had his development arrested at about age three, Bill Clinton was brilliant yet she is merely well educated. many said that Clinton was the first 'black' president; interesting how far he will go to prevent a 'real' black man from becoming president. Bill owes Hillary a lot perhaps he should figure out another way to repay her.

I can only believe some of you who post here must be 13 year old adolescents. I certainly cant judge you by your looks...but I can judge you by the words you use. If we are going to judge a candidate on their appearance...we are in serious trouble. At that rate..we would have never elected Abraham Lincoln. Look what we would have missed. I do not endorse nor will I trash a person (Senator Clinton) who has spent nearly all her life in public service. I am ashamed to acknowledge you as fellow Americans. Maybe the world is right...when they say we are arrogant and selfish. If you are unable to identify an issue you disagree with....I might suggest you take a look at your true motive for bashing someone else. If you support someone else....state that...but to post simple bashing is childish and immature.

Sorry, but his point is moot to me.
I go with my own predictions, and I have not been incorrect as previously stated.
Every election cycle is filled with unknowns, and indecisiveness by voters. This year is no different (although the media would have us believe that).
That claim by them is not new either.

demwhoknows

I never implied that meant your predictions matched your own choices -- congratulations BTW -- now, care to respond to Jim Hale's point?

to jakeD:

Yes, I am saying that he is who I correctly predicted both in 2000 and 2004.

And although I have predicted each election correctly, that does not mean the predictions matched my own choices.

demwhoknows

I've never seen an electorate this angry at the established Party and its supporters. They're mad at the President for all the reasons we know. They're mad at the Senate and Congress for allowing it to happen and they're mad at the Press for not screaming their heads off while it was happening. Politicians may not listen to polls, or read newspapers or to the other co-equal branches of government but they will hear it when the voters speak. If you thought the 2006 election spoke loudly, you ain't seen nothing yet!

Good point, Jim Hale.

P.S. to amadeus5691 -- you seriously are going to admit to predicting GWB in both 2000 and 2004?!

Hillary could use some teeth whitening, or teeth cleaning. Her teeth look like that of some british folks, all yellowish. Looks like she has finally changed her lipstick from the dark red ('I am all yours if you give me some money type' which Norman Hsu fell for) to something lighter. These are some tips for her to use, regardless of whether she wins or loses the Iowa caucus. If she loses the caucus and the election, we will be relieved of looking at her wrinkles and the hoochimama looks.

Out in this big land of ours, there must be 100,000 people who could say they've been right with their presidential picks since 1976 -- all with different picks this time out.
Sign me: Repwhoknowsthelawofrandomnumbers

Hillary Clinton will get the Dem's nomination, and go on to win the presidency.
I've been right with my predictions every election since since 1976.

demwhoknows

In my humble opinion, in the Democratic primaries there is just one all-important point to consider: when is John Edwards going to quit? If he quits very early in the race, Hillary Clinton will have serious troubles, since everybody who dislikes her will have to vote for Obama. But if Edwards stays at least until Big Tuesday, Obama will not be able to gain enough momentum to knock Clinton out. And at the distance Clinton is a sure winner for the nomination.

The Clinton camp's position (as illustrated by Tom Vilsack's comments today) that they are hoping for a low turnout to the caucuses is eerily like traditional Republican strategy. It is very troubling that a prominent Democrat, by most people's estimate the establishment Democrat, would EVER hope that people stay home so that they can win an election. This type of thinking brought us the Poll Tax, and GOP election officials harassing, scaring off, and otherwise attempting to suppress voter turnout. While I have no fear that those high in the Clinton camp would even think of stooping to such tactics. If you set the tone: "low turnout = good" doesn't that give rank and file volunteers a disincentive to help drive potential voters / caucus attendees to attend if they are unsure of the voter's declared candidate. This no more of a stretch then to see that if the culture in the Administration minimizes the importance of following humane treatments, the troops on the ground will be far more likely to then go about treating prisoners inhumanely. We as Democrats can not afford to open the door, even the slightest bit, and go down the route of "fewer voters are a good thing."

Maybe I'm a bit too naïve for politics, but the American democracy (especially the Democratic Party) that I knew and love was based on campaigning to win more hearts and minds, and hoping that more people show up to vote. Not merely winning the hearts and minds of die-hard partisans, and then hoping that the less worthy of us don't bother to show up, as they might just vote for the other horse in the race. If Clinton can't appeal to a plurality of young people, and others who haven't caucused before, then instead of hoping that they don't show up, her camp should re-assess what their campaign is about. Otherwise they don't look too much different then their vote obstructing brethren in the GOP.

svreader:

Please take a look at that picture of Hillary again, and say "I find her quite sexy" with a straight face.

We have an arrogant, incompetent, illiterate, and inept fool in the White House, a demoralized and decimated military, plundered treasury, trashed world standing, trampled rule of law and Constitution while the nation is sinking under an tidal wave of Illegal Aliens waving the Mexican flag in our faces, demanding their rights, while feasting at the trough of Public Welfare, as they Kill, Rob, Rape thousands of American Citizens each year. .

In all, my country, a potential benefactor and beacon for all the world - is headed right off a cliff and to an third world status!

Senators? We as a nation can survive fools in our White House. What we CANNOT survive is fools in our Congress like McCain, Kennedy, Reid, Hillary, Obama, etc. & now they want to be President!.

In my view - and evidently in the view of many Americans - this has all come to pass because you, the elected and sworn stewards of this country, have allowed it to happen. Surely you should have known better...when you refused to abide by the Constitution or enforce our laws and disgraced your oath of office. The only way this nation is to recover is for the lot of you to be gone from those hallowed halls of Congress that have become a house of paid party-bound prostitutes swirling amidst the rubble of your own malfeasance - taking the country right down with you.

As a proud and concerned American that proudly served by Country in time of War as did my Father, my two brothers and my son. I am appalled and very angry at what self severing, corrupt politicians have done to my country!

my sense of the dems is that they think hil's a phony and an egotist, and that barack could be a saviour (although i am an edwards supporter, i call 'em as i see 'em) and i think mccain is going to come out of these next seven days smelling like a rose...

It strange that so many of the other guys here are frightened of Brilliant, Powerful Women.

I find them quite sexy.

If Hillary does lose, the effect can be measured on a scale similar to the Richter scale for earthquakes:

Loss by 1-5% Throw 1 lamp

Loss by 6-10% Throw 2 lamps

Loss by 11-15% Throw 3 lamps

Loss 16%+ Throw Bill and
restrict Bill from dating

We have endured 8 years of Sleaze, Scandal, and Corruption under Bill and Hillery followed by 8 years of Arrogance, Corruption, Criminal Incompetence and Gross Stupidly under Bush Jr.. and Chicken Hawk Chaney. Either party cares about our Constitution and the rule of Law, Their priorities are self first, the party second, special interests third, American Citizens and the Future of this Nation is not even on their list until election time then they pull out their spin, lies and attack ads again to get elected, after which they go back to their priorities.

It is increasingly looking like this Nation cannot survive more years of the same type of Corrupt, Lying, Self serving, Worthless Politicians that support and allow the largest invasion of a Nation in world history. While ignoring Article IV Section IV of our Constitution against invasion, and our Immigration laws. They have refused to aide by our Constitution, refused to enforce the very laws they passed and dishonored their oath of office!

Now both parties seen to have the nearly the same type candidates seeking our vote. From the polls it seems we have learned very little in the least 16 years and seem to prefer Sleaze, Corruption and Lies over Honor, Principles, our Constitution, and the Rule of law or Ron Paul would win the election by a wide margin.

Balz states:

"It was once assumed that a Clinton victory would give her unstoppable momentum for the nomination. That may still be true, but New Hampshire has become a much different race than it was two months ago, with Obama rising and even Edwards showing more support. "

RESPONSE: The Hillary the Inevitable tour has been derailed.

Hillary is going to get spanked with an unforeseen "Jezebel Factor" in Iowa which will cost her 7-11% of her poll predictions.

Wild NON POLL speculation:

Obama 40%

Edwards 24%

Hillary
the evil 18%

So much of this is about expectations. In all of the recent polls Ron Paul is within striking distance of 3rd place of Iowa. What are the ramifications, if he wins 3rd place? Does he then become part of the mix in NH, competing for independent votes that both Obama and McCain so desperately need? Would 3rd place in Iowa for Ron Paul force Fox to re-consider including him in this weekend's debate. Also, his fundraising seems to ensure he is in this race as long as he wishes to stay.

"Trippi says he believes [even if Clinton wins, she could face problems in New Hampshire]."

Of course he does - that is what he's paid to say. What's he going to say, that Edwards is done as a candidate if he doesn't win Iowa?