The Trail: A Daily Diary of Campaign 2008

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I know a little about Hillery the high school girl, from Park Rdige Illinois. She was a very focused girl and not very friendly. My daughter knew her and did not like her attitude. No compassion just self interest. I see that in her still today.

STOP THE PRESSES! CLINTON WINS CALIFORNIAAAAAAAAAAAAA!

(oh and she won most of the counties in MO, so we might see her getting more delegates there even if she lost the state-wide vote. Nevada in reverse...)

Simply put, Obama took the biggest brand name in the Democratic party to the mat and matched her. The Clinton Campaign must be holding their breath hoping Bill doesn't do anything stupid. If we're not careful, we could be holding our breath for 5 -9 years. Nothing will unify The Hucksters bible belt voters, Romney's whatever they are and McCain's independents like Hilary for president. End the Drama, Vote Obama!

Eleanor Roosevelt taught us that sometimes silence is the greatest sin

by Mrs. Lyndon Baines (Ladybird) Johnson
Former First Lady, United States Of America
Women can move beyond the struggle for equal status and for material goods to the challenges and opportunities of citizenship. Quality of goals and the achievement of goals which will mean a better life for all. For me, it was the beginning of seeing how politics can bring tangible results. I always hope that the very best of our people will go into politics, and I am sure that some of our best are women. So, I say: "Don't hold back. Don't be shy. Step forward in every way you can to plan boldly, to speak clearly, to offer the leadership which the world needs. Let us today earnestly resolve to build the true foundation for Eleanor Roosevelt's memory--to pluck out prejudice from our lives, to remove fear and hate where it exists, and to create a world unafraid to work out its destiny in peace. Eleanor Roosevelt has already made her own splendid and incomparable contribution to that foundation. Let us go and do likewise, within the measure of our faith and the limits of our ability. Let Eleanor Roosevelt teach Us all how to turn the arts of compassion into the victories of democracy.Eleanor Roosevelt taught us that sometimes silence is the greatest sin.

"Madame President of the United States...it's an extraordinary thought. We truly are in a momentous time, where a woman's potential has no limitations," said Streisand. "Hillary Clinton has already proven to a generation of women that there are no limits for success. She is driven by her passion for public service and her belief in the enormous potential of our country. Smart, capable and strong in her convictions, Hillary has transcended the dictates of what is thought to be possible for our time.
"Hillary is a powerful voice for change as we find our country at an important crossroads. Under her leadership, our country will regain its respect within the global community. She will prioritize issues of global climate change, universal health care and rebuilding a strong economy. After 8 long years, the public will once again have faith in their government.
"Another former first lady, Eleanor Roosevelt once wrote, 'In government, in business, and in the professions there may be a day when women will be looked upon as persons. We are, however, far from that day as yet.' More than 50 years later 'that day' is now upon us...and Hillary Clinton is ready to shatter through that glass ceiling for all women."

A signal from Hillary to Obama?

From tonight's "Head of State" http://headofstate.blogspot.com/2008/02/signaling-and-tempting.html:

"Signaling and Tempting

Hillary's speech tonight was notable in several respects--calm, psychologically adept, delivered to shape viewer perceptions of Clinton as a presumptive winner, and especially interesting in one respect: providing a signal to, and about, Obama.

The speech repeatedly juxtaposed symbolic appeals to the civil right struggle--which constantly referenced Obama's campaign in the listener's mind--without once mentioning Obama--until the end. At the point, she briefly referenced Obama--and then spoke of continuing "our" campaign, of uniting in "our" work.

In so doing, she deftly, and for the first time effectively, outflanked Obama on the civil rights issue, and then invited--in fact tempted--Obama to join with her in her work. This was clear enough to be a signal to Obama--and to also signal the electorate that she was providing a victor's invitation to Obama--while remaining subtle enough to be changed should contingencies require it."

From:
"Signaling and Tempting"
Head of State
http://headofstate.blogspot.com/2008/02/signaling-and-tempting.html

I was referring to the Rasmussen poll that you were quoting in the article, zukermand. I stand corrected- yes, the Suffolk poll showed Obama ahead by two points. I was wrong. See now, that wasn't so difficult- why does your candidate have such a hard time with those three words?

However, you got me curious- here's the rest of the polls I found compiled over at RCP:

*

RCP Average 01/28 - 02/03 - 47.7 40.7 Clinton +7.0

SurveyUSA 02/02 - 02/03 651 LV 56 39 Clinton +17.0

Suffolk/WHDH 02/01 - 02/03 400 LV 44 46 Obama +2.0

SurveyUSA 01/30 - 01/30 575 LV 57 33 Clinton +24.0

Rasmussen 01/28 - 01/28 1023 LV 43 37 Clinton +6.0

Western NE College 01/20 - 01/26 151 LV 43 15 Clinton +28.0

SurveyUSA 01/22 - 01/23 586 LV 59 22 Clinton +37.0

SurveyUSA 01/16 - 01/16 539 LV 56 23 Clinton +33.0

State House News 01/09 - 01/12 400 LV 37 25 Clinton +12.0

*

One outlying poll- the rest showed Clinton with a strong lead. This is an "upset"?

I think republicans are playing dirty politics by supporting Obama. They know if democratic party select Obama, Obama will lose election. America is not ready for black president or black vice president.
Is anyone know Obama middle name?

Gosh????? What happened to the Kennedy, Kerry, etc. endorsements for Obama????

Ok, Ok.... the numbers just won't lie.

I think the Clinton win in Massachusetts is significant because the Kennedy's endorsement and accompanying bluster and blarney made it so. In the end, the Clinton campaign made the Kennedy Family look foolish. Senator Teddy and his "charges" would have been well advised to sit this one out. Unfortunately, Teddy isn't as politically astute as were his brothers Bobby and Jack. Now, one wonders if this won't be the final undoing of the stumbling Kennedy political dynasty. It's very sad actually. I like the Kennedy Family, but they are no longer in the same league as the Clinton machine.

"Straight from the Clinton camp to the press to you.

Posted by: mwfree"

You should note the "upset" characterization in the post is a direct quote, complete with scare quotes in the title. I don't think the attribution is unclear.

Rookthamashine:
it's illustrated in the article that zukermand quoted above you. The poll in the article states a 6 point lead for Clinton. There's not a single poll I'm aware of that ever showed Obama leading in Massachusetts.

From the article:
"a poll taken over the weekend by a television station and Suffolk University found Obama inching ahead of Clinton, 46 percent to 44 percent."

It's funny how we often see what we want to see.

You don't like egotistical, self-serving people....and you're a Clinton supporter?

Personally, I'm very happy to see that Hillary took Mass. so decisively tonight, after the endorsements of Kerry & Kennedy went to Obama, and after knowing how much Bill Clinton had done for each of them (help with Kerry's presidential run, and help to find JFK Jr.'s plane when it went down off Martha's Vineyard). I think it was shameful, especially on Kennedy's part, to imply that Bill Clinton was racist in his remarks about Obama. Ted Kennedy knows full well that Clinton is no racist.
Might I add--Go Hillary!

Iowatreasures, my point is simple, and it's illustrated in the article that zukermand quoted above you. The poll in the article states a 6 point lead for Clinton. There's not a single poll I'm aware of that ever showed Obama leading in Massachusetts. Most polls showed an even more significant lead for HRC, although they did tighten in the past week.

Traditionally, an "upset" means that the contender who was favored lost. How can you rationally claim that Obama was favored to win Mass. if he never lead in a single poll?

Trying to reframe this as an "upset" when she was always favored to win the state is , as I said,nothing but pure Clintonian spin.

After Michelle Obama said during a morning show, when asked if she would support Hillary if she won the nomination, Michelle Obama said, "No."

Barack Obama said that Hillary's supporters would vote for him, but that his (Obama's) voters would not vote for Hillary.

I personally do not like egotistical, self-serving, people, so I pray Hillary does not pick Obama as a running mate.

Obama would try to supersede her as v.p., trying to make points with the public against her, for the next election 4 years from now.

I guess I just don't trust Obama. gw.

The male voters in Mass. are still in mourning over the super bowl. They planned on voting after the parade but took to the bed instead.

Of course they're calling it an upset--Obama has knocked Hillary off her "heir apparent" throne. They needed an upset so they've created one.

For those of you who aren't total wonks, here are the related talking points from Clinton's PR machine (this is what the Clinton campaign sends out to the press and hopes the press will repeat over and over):

"One of the biggest surprises of the night is Massachusetts

Despite the fact that Senators Ted Kennedy and John Kerry were actively supporting and campaigning for Obama, Hillary Clinton won the state.

Despite the fact that the Governor of Massachusetts endorsed Obama, Hillary Clinton won the state.

Despite the fact that Obama visited Massachusetts just last night, Hillary Clinton won the state.

This is a strong victory and shows that Hillary Clinton has strength in places where Barack Obama was expected to win."

Straight from the Clinton camp to the press to you.

Let's get ready to win the general election as a unified Democratic party. We have far more serious disagreements to settle by November ... the opposition is the other party, not the other Democratic candidate.

This article simply describes the silliness of endorsement power. We can be certain those elected officials will support the eventual nominee. Their constituents did not follow their "leaders," they voted for themselves.

We voters are the Democratic party. Let's get our eyes back on the prize, ignore the glittering celebrities, and work to win the White House and larger majorities on Capitol Hill.

vorrection: I meant to say John Kerry, also a senator of Massachusettes. gw.

Yes, let the voters decide! Massachusetts' voters proved their independence and chose Hillary Clinton, despite the heavy barrage of endorsements, which I'd always thought was a bit over the top. As a staunch Democrat, I love both candidates, and will support whoever wins the primary. But Hillary is the more qualified of the two to start cleaning up the mess of 8 years. After the negative media blitzes and the anti-Hillary rhetoric of the pundits, I'm glad the people who really count, spoke.

Already tonight, there is evidence that the Kennedy touch is working in some parts of the midwest, but I believe California will be out of Barak's reach.

rookthomashine:

You must have missed it the day that Senator Kennedy and Caroline Kennedy and Patrick Kennedy made such a big splash at American University endoring Obama.

Senator Kerry, also a senator of New York endorsed Obama.

So, it was quite a feather in Hillary's cap to win Massachuttes, and a fitting loss for Obama, Kennedy's and Kerry.

After all, President Clinton made sure that the people kept looking for John Kennedy, Jr., after that tragic plane accident.

Bill Clinton got out of his sick bed after he had triple by-pass surgery to campaign for Kerry when he was having a little trouble getting re-elected to his senate seat.

And with them leading the charge that Bill Clinton should be muzzled and "chill out," I guess the voters in Massachusettes felt it was very rude of those elite east coast gentlemen - they could just not have endorsed anyone rather than slap Clinton in the face when they were supposed to be friends.

Well, the voters in Massachusettes have spoken - they didn't like the Kennedy's and the Kerry's piling on Hillary - just like the voters didn't like Obama and Edwards and the biased media piling on Hillary in NH.

I am hoping the people in California saw through that display last Sunday with Oprah, etc. We'll see. gw.

I wonder where they got that idea. Maybe breathless articles like this:

Washington Post
The Trail
MA: Obama on the Move in Bay State

By Lyndsey Layton
Barack Obama is quickly eating away at large leads enjoyed by Hillary Clinton in heavily Democratic Massachusetts.

"What's interesting is the speed at which, in Massachusetts, Obama has been able to close an unbridgeable gap," said Michael Goldman, a senior consultant at the Government Insight Group and a visiting professor at Tufts University, who has worked on state and national Democratic campaigns for 40 years. "I thought last week he'd do well here. Now I think he has a chance to win the thing."

...
A Rasmussen poll conducted hours after Obama won a coveted endorsement from Sen. Edward M. Kennedy and his niece, Caroline Kennedy Schlossberg, showed Clinton leading Obama, 43 percent to 37 percent. But it was conducted before John Edwards dropped out, and a poll taken over the weekend by a television station and Suffolk University found Obama inching ahead of Clinton, 46 percent to 44 percent.
...
Posted at 7:21 PM ET on Feb 4, 2008

Calling Clinton's win in MA an "upset" is the epitome of spin. There wasn't a single poll out of Mass. that showed her trailing- he narrowed the gap, most definitely, and he made it a contest instead of a blowout. But let's not lend credence to the idea that HRC managing a victory in a state where she was polling as much as 30 points ahead is somehow an "upset".