Election 2006: The Bellwether Project
Monday marks the unveiling of the Bellwether Project, a joint effort by The Washington Post and washingtonpost.com.
The Bellwether Project frames the upcoming midterm elections around eight central questions, listing the House and Senate races that best illustrate those questions. This project is not an attempt to re-create the Friday Line, where the ten (or twenty) House, Senate and gubernatorial races most likely to switch parties are ranked.
The pieces in today's Post outline the eight questions and the races that exemplify them. Between now and the election we will do several pieces that deal with a single question in more depth. On the Web, we will provide regular updates on the specific Bellwether races.
The Bellwether Project is designed to be organic. If a race currently included in the project turns out to not be particularly competitive or symbolic of a larger issue, we reserve the right to remove it in order to add another one.
What this also means is that we welcome your suggestions on the questions and races we have chosen. Feel free to make them in the comments section below.
In addition, Post political editor John F. Harris and I will be online at 11 a.m. ET today to take your questions on the Bellwether Project or any other political topic you have in mind. If you can't make the chat, submit a question beforehand and we'll do our best to answer it.
By Chris Cillizza |
July 23, 2006; 10:39 PM ET
| Category:
House
,
Senate
Previous: The Friday Line: Dems Firm Up House Target List |
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Posted by: Luis | July 24, 2006 4:13 PM
One way to get an RSS reminder of the Bellwether Project updates is to add this xml feed to your reader:
http://projects.washingtonpost.com/elections/keyraces/rss/
Posted by: washingtonpost.com editors | July 24, 2006 2:43 PM
Chris: any chance that the Bellwether Project will get an RSS feed of its own? I'd love to subscribe to the Bellwether Project distinctly from the other Post political coverage.
Posted by: Luis | July 24, 2006 1:50 PM
Bhommes- I believe that Reed is a sales genius, able to sell refrigerators to eskimos (just not himself to voters); Rove is the political genius.
You really have to be stretching it to believe that bad news out of Lebanon is a plus. Especally with Wezzie in Beirut now sounding particulary helpless. It may be better than getting poked in the eye with a stick, but it ain't a PLUS. Bads news overshadowing bad news is still bad news.
FYI - The "kook from San Francisco" is from Baltimore. Her father was a Congressman from Maryland and then Mayor of Charm City. Her political roots are Mid-Atlantic.
Posted by: Nor'Easter | July 24, 2006 11:44 AM
Nor'Easter: I believe the polls on Bush, but I believe his low numbers is because of some of the conservative base is unhappy with him over immigration, prescriptions drugs and a few other issues. But my friend, that doesn't mean they are going to vote the democrats in. I stand by my statement that Ralph Reed is a political genius, more so than Rove. I hope he now realizes where his talents. will be best utilized. PS: With the current Israeli/Lebanon conflict, it takes Iraq off the news. That's a plus for republicans.
Posted by: bhoomes | July 24, 2006 11:04 AM
Chris, this Project may be just the ticket to keep the blog from getting sluggish every time the topic of 2008 comes up. There should be enough substance generated by the people working on the project to keep the races that matter this year at the forefront.
Hommes - Bush may not be unpopular personally; he'll always be the "guy you could have a beer with (O'Douls for him?). But, you have to have your head in the sand if you don't believe those "job approval" numbers.
Which stop was Lebanon supposed to be on the Roadmap to Peace?
Gaitherburg - seems to me hommes was right about Reed. Now Ralph's free to flit about the country affecting races, instead of being tied-up running for dogcatcher.
Remember all of the Democrats who wanted John Ashcroft to lose; well he did, and looked what happened.
Some people work better as advisers and aides than as #1's. I'd say hommes had a legitimate point.
Posted by: Nor'Easter | July 24, 2006 10:42 AM
Isn't this the bhoomes who WANTED Ralph Reed to lose because it would give the Republican party the use of his "genius"?
("Political genius" in bhoomes' world apparently is translated to LOSING a primary in the nationally important race of Lt. Governor (just a step above dog catcher) in that bellweather state of GA.)
That's all one needs to know about bhoomes and his "credibility".
Posted by: Gaithersburg, MD | July 24, 2006 8:18 AM
Isn't this the bhoomes who WANTED Ralph Reed to lose because it would give the Republican party the use of his "genius"?
("Political genius" in bhoomes' world apparently is translated to LOSING a primary in the nationally important race of Lt. Governor (just a step above dog catcher) in that bellweather state of GA.
That's all one needs to know about bhoomes and his "credibility".
Posted by: Gaithersburg, MD | July 24, 2006 8:18 AM
As usual the Washington Post, New York Times crowd gets it wrong because they are driven by how they want the races turn out, not political reality on the ground. Yes, the republicans will probably lose a few seats in the house, but there is no indication of any seismic changes. 2nd point: George W. Bush is no where as near as unpopular as you make him out to be. He is down some in the polls because some of his base his unhappy with some of his policies, but does not translate into lets make the kook from San Fransico second in line to be the POTUS. This message is for Drindl: Your vituperativeness is indicative of a middle age women who has never had a meaningful relationship with a man. I want everybody to be happy so I hope you get the therapy you need to have a semblance of a healthly productive life.
Posted by: bhoomes | July 24, 2006 7:34 AM
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Ah, very nice- thanks for the pointer.