Mirror, Mirror on the Wall - Who's the Most Liberal of Them All?
It's no secret that The Fix gets our fix on raw data. Politics, like baseball, has decades worth of information to slice and dice in hopes of better understanding what it going on out there.
So, you can imagine my excitement when an e-mail arrived today from National Journal that offered a glimpse of its 2006 vote ratings. These ratings are compiled annually by the magazine's congressional correspondent par excellence, Rich Cohen. They aim to use dozens of congressional votes to place each member in an ideological spectrum. The votes are split into three categories - economic, social and foreign. Each member is ranked cumulatively in these three topics.
Lawmakers are given a score from 0 to 100. Zero marks a member of Congress in absolute opposition to the most liberal or conservative member of their affiliated party. One hundred percent says that member is in lockstep. For example, a Democratic House member with an 82.5 liberal score is more liberal than 82.5 percent of the House. A Republican senator with a 36.2 conservative score is more conservative than just over one-third of the Senate.
While the full report won't be out until tomorrow, National Journal provided a glimpse at how the various members of Congress scored.
In the most surprising result, the most conservative senator in the presidential mix is not Sam Brownback of Kansas but Chuck Hagel of Nebraska. In 2006, Hagel's vote rating was 72 percent. That score compares to 70.3 percent for Brownback and 56.7 percent for Sen. John McCain of Arizona. While Hagel is the most outspoken Republican critic of the Bush administration, he generally supports the GOP line. His score reflects that.
However, since Hagel and Brownback came to the Senate in 1996, this is only the third year when Hagel rated more conservative than Brownback. The past two instances were in 2002 and 2003, when Hagel nudged Brownback by less than 1 percent each time.
By contrast, McCain continues a trend in recent years of moderation, or at least that is what the selected votes reflect. Taken by decade, McCain ranked as more conservative than more than 80 percent of the Senate in each of the years he served during the 1980s (1987-1989). During the 1990s, McCain broke 80 percent four times (1990, 1991, 1992 and 1994). Later in the decade, his score dipped considerably. He was at 68.3 percent in 1998 and 67.7 percent in 1999. This decade has seen even further slippage. McCain now ranks in the 50 percent range for the last three years, and four out of the last five years.
Interestingly, none of the three senators are particularly conservative on social issues. Brownback leads the way. His ratings show him as more conservative than 53 percent of the Senate. He's followed by Hagel at 52 percent, and McCain with 46 percent. The three are the most conservative senators on economic issues. Brownback scored a stratospheric 92 percent, Hagel at 82 percent and McCain at 64 percent.
Among the Democratic senators running for president, the results are more typical.
Barack Obama of Illinois had the most liberal voting record in 2006. He was more liberal than 86 percent of the Senate. Chris Dodd of Connecticut was close behind - achieving a mark of 84 percent more liberal. Joe Biden of Delaware rated 77.5 percent. Hillary Clinton of New York had the lowest overall liberal score in 2006, clocking in 70.2 percent.
While it's somewhat irrelevant to look at Obama's lifetime liberal rating since he only has two years under his congressional belt, the long view provides interesting context for Clinton, Dodd and Biden. Of the trio, Dodd ranks highest at 79.2 percent. Clinton follows him closely with a score of 78.8 percent during her first six years in the Senate. Biden has a lifetime liberal rating of 76.8 percent. Those ratings suggest the premise that Clinton is too moderate/conservative to win the Democratic presidential nomination may be false. She has, however, grown more moderate during her tenure as senator. Her highest liberal rankings came in 2002 and 2003, while her lowest came in 2006.
Clinton's liberal streak is most evident on social votes where her 80 percent score in 2006 ranks only behind Dodd's 93 percent. She ranks least liberal among the four Democratic senators running for president on economic (63 percent) and foreign (62 percent) issues.
National Journal's numbers have been known to pack a punch. The magazine proclaimed John Kerry of Massachusetts the most liberal senator in late February 2004. The news immediately became a prime talking point for Republicans seeking to paint Kerry as out of step with the electorate at large.
By Chris Cillizza |
March 1, 2007; 4:58 PM ET
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Comments
Posted by: Anne Doyle-Jones | March 26, 2007 1:58 PM | Report abuse
When will you tax and spend liberals learn that the Bush tax cuts have INCREASED tax revenue by over 20%.
If you raise taxes, that will slow the economy, hurt jobs and investments and DECREASE tax revenue.
Posted by: VA Patriot | March 19, 2007 9:41 PM | Report abuse
US President Tim Kalemkarian, US Senate Tim Kalemkarian, US House Tim Kalemkarian: best major candidate.
Posted by: anonymous | March 17, 2007 12:14 AM | Report abuse
The "raising taxes" is directed toward the top 1% most wealthiest US citizens, who got a tax break far greater than many peoples' own incomes from Bush. The "increasing illegal immigration" claim needs further research because it has more than one side. And I honestly don't see anything wrong with Obama being "pro choice" as he wants to allow women their full civil rights.
Really mr. conservative, is this all you've got??? Wow.
Posted by: 'Lab Underground / editor | March 16, 2007 10:37 AM | Report abuse
Someone wrote:
"...
Here's just a sample of Obama on the issues:
- Supports raising taxes
- Supports affirmative action
- Supports increasing illegal immigration
- Supports unions
- Pro choice
...."
Uhm, where are you getting this information? Or are you just phrasing it in such a way to make him look bad? Typical of a stern conservative. Short, cloudy 'cons' of Obama, without any details.
"Really Dems, are Hillary and Obama the best candidates you've got? Wow."
You still have THAT much pride in your party after the Bush administration?!? Yikes! Tone it down a bit! McCain isn't really that conservative anyhow.
Posted by: Anonymous | March 13, 2007 10:20 PM | Report abuse
This article is not truthful at all. I have much more to say at least about Hillary Clinton's campaign's technique. I have people from her so named grass roots organization permanently on all of my communication, and when I am posting ANYTHING inconvenient to her campaign's goals, I am either immediately disconnected, or immediate phone call requires my attention and I should leave my attempts to post a comment at least for a while. I can't stand either this technique or what Hillary, as a politician, is symbolized at ANY point of view, WHICH COUNTS. This is a real trap. Indismissable Bush/Cheney at one end or the choice between Guiliani ( former Mayor of NYC, who obviously knew up front that WTC should have been demolished) - Hillary Clinton at the other. Any meaning of democracy in this country sucks, sucks, and sucks.The ability to vote and/or to past comment seems to be unbearable burden.
Posted by: Anonymous | March 7, 2007 12:44 PM | Report abuse
This analysis doesn't demonstrate even any attempt to show truth, common sense, and/or anything else close to the truth!
I made a conclusion never ever to trust this author again!
Posted by: aepelbaum | March 7, 2007 12:26 PM | Report abuse
Very strange statistical analysis. How come that Hillary Clinton, who caused democratic party in 1994 to lose House majority, who caused in 2000 the same party to lose White House(remember impeachment and Clinton's non participation in Gore's campaign), who should be at the very least not liked by Howard Dean, whose prez. campaign (together with the possibility of dems victory, she helped to ruin during 2004 primary could be considered as the main presidential condender by THE VERY SAME DEMOCRATS? Like judge Judy likes to say, " It has no sense, which means that is not true!" This entire analysis, and this entire article looks like a complete nonsense!! Shame on authors and their lies!
Posted by: Anonymous | March 7, 2007 12:23 PM | Report abuse
It is amazing to see people describe Obama as inexperienced, yet they are probably the same people who voted for George W. Bush, who spent his college years on the cheerleading squad. Too bad Obama's college experience was as editor of Harvard's Law Review. Maybe if he had been a cheerleader, these naysayers would be supporting him. Or perhaps if he had run a few businesses into the ground like W did before becoming governor of Texas. No, Obama's crime was to predict PRECISELY what would happen if we invaded Iraq. Find his pre-war Iraq speech and read it for yourself. A speech he gave as a mere state senator in Illinois. If only we had more politicians with Obama's intelligence and insight, we would not be in Iraq right now.
Posted by: tjshire | March 5, 2007 1:38 AM | Report abuse
Putting aside the fact that the Democrats' rising star Barack Hussein Obama has very little experience to be President, let's take a look at his liberal voting record.
National Journal ranked Obama in the Top 10 for most liberal Senators. He ranked slightly more liberal than John Kerry, Carl Levin, and Russ Feingold. He was much farther to the left than Diane Feinstein, Charles Schumer, and Hillary Clinton. Maybe that's why Hollywood loves Obama so much?
Put another way, Obama is more liberal than Mitch McConnell, Trent Lott, and Kay Bailey Hutchinson are conservative.
Here's just a sample of Obama on the issues:
- Supports raising taxes
- Supports affirmative action
- Supports increasing illegal immigration
- Supports unions
- Pro choice
- Opposes gay marriage (I wonder if Hollywood knows?)
When Obama is more liberal than these six leftists, that may help him in the primary, but will give him NO CHANCE in the general election.
Really Dems, are Hillary and Obama the best candidates you've got? Wow. That will make it easy for America to http://dont-vote-democrat.blogspot.com/
Posted by: Anonymous | March 4, 2007 5:49 PM | Report abuse
uggggh...the inherently dichotomized senate and its yes-no system
Posted by: jojo | March 3, 2007 5:58 PM | Report abuse
In the most surprising result, the most conservative senator in the presidential mix is not Sam Brownback of Kansas but Chuck Hagel of Nebraska
Interesting, but sad. An anti-war person is a surprise as a strong conservative.
Consider what THAT means for the party that proclaims itself RIGHT TO LIFE!!!!!!
Robert Chapman
Lansing, NY
Posted by: robert chapman | March 2, 2007 10:15 PM | Report abuse
I also think that CC is misstating the methodology at work. He said that Barack Obama was the most liberal Senator, yet he only ranked "more liberal than 86% of his Senate colleagues." This is not a percentile, it is an attempt to find a raw scale. However, I must agree: how can Sam Brownback, a conservative theocrat (I am not using this as a blind smear, I use this phrase because I have read the Senator's comments and I know exactly what he means by "Christian nation") only get 53% on social issues?
Posted by: Steve | March 2, 2007 7:02 PM | Report abuse
roo - Thanks, interesting quiz/analysis.
Posted by: Nor'Easter | March 2, 2007 12:41 PM | Report abuse
Who takes these votes and how does one define "conservative" and "liberal"?
Posted by: reason | March 2, 2007 10:06 AM | Report abuse
This seems to be a good spot for everyone to take a little quiz. This site tries to place you on a two-axis political map and is, as such, magnitudes more informative than the tired old right-left comparison:
http://www.politicalcompass.org
I ended up at -9.2, -6.1. Beat that :P
Posted by: roo | March 2, 2007 12:26 AM | Report abuse
Brownback's 53-percent rating for social conservatism suggests to me that this system is flawed.
Posted by: peter | March 2, 2007 12:11 AM | Report abuse
meuphys: I couldn't agree with you more. This Wolfuson caracter is a bit to much for me. I have always disliked him and maybe that is why I found his remarks about Obama over the top. This was a hit job on both Hillary and Obama made up by "Insight" magazine and carried futher by the WashTimes and Fox news.
Posted by: lylepink | March 1, 2007 9:48 PM | Report abuse
hillary fired the cannon at obama for sth david geffen said, so i can imagine what she would do to someone who actually insulted her himself. thing is, after a while nobody will feel sorry for her anymore... it's already wearing thin. there is a difference between ignoring an accusation, like kerry did, and going off half-cocked.
Posted by: meuphys | March 1, 2007 8:36 PM | Report abuse
You can take it to the bank when Hillary is attacked her team will be like a cannon being fired to kill a fly and I disagree with that sort of politics. Kerry most likely lost because of his letting the swift boat lies go unanswered for way to long. Notice how the media plays the "Wasted" comment made by McCain compared to how they played it when Obama used the same word in referring to the loss of life of our troops in Iraq.
Posted by: lylepink | March 1, 2007 8:15 PM | Report abuse
This rating system doesn't make sense . . .
"Lawmakers are given a score from 0 to 100. Zero marks a member of Congress in absolute opposition to the most liberal or conservative member of their affiliated party. One hundred percent says that member is in lockstep."
So for Democrats this is supposed to measure what percentage of the time a senator aggrees with the most liberal member of the Democratic party.
That doesn't mean that Senator is a "10" on the liberal scale they could be a "7" but be "most" liberal and thus be the basis for comparison.
Of course the big names get high percentages. That's because the majority of the party votes similarly (including the most liberal member). This is especially true since the Dems were in the minority in 2006 and needed to stick together to do anything.
On the other side there are a few "conservatives" that border on facists. In comparison to them others seem moderate (like McCain) but they aren't. They only seem conservative when compared to someone to the right of Brownback (and he's a nut).
Posted by: Cor | March 1, 2007 8:06 PM | Report abuse
meuphys
yeah, yeah... but I was in Iowa in '04 and saw how voters turned on dime when they thought Kerry -- war hero, blah, blah, blah -- was more electable... Not saying I buy into it... just saying Democrats tend to go that route and often make mistakes in the process... remember how the Democrats thought Dukakis/Bentsen was an "electable" ticket...
On Rudy, I can't figure out why the right is so forgiving... can you imagine Reagan in drag? But I think it has more to do with the fact that the far right is unforgiving of McCain and Romney is Mormon... nothing wrong with Mormons, but in the South, they don't like politicians who don't believe in "eternal hell" and the Mormons don't believe in it... I think the best explanation for Rudy is the less of three evils for Republicans... and I can't see them committing suicide with Gingrich... but then again, I could be wrong...
Posted by: Anonymous | March 1, 2007 7:10 PM | Report abuse
The wunderkind bit will end for Obama in 6 - 8 months and all that will be left is an inexperienced candidate with no foreign policy credentials. That leaves Hillary and Richardson to battle it out for the dem. nomination. I still think it goes to Hillary, even though I'm rooting for Richardson. He has everything you need in a president who will have some big-time decisions to make in his first year in office. I just think Hillary is too disciplined and well-funded to overcome...I hope I'm wrong.
On the GOP side, it is really going to be interesting who jumps out early. The GOP has a tendency to coalesce around a candidate fairly early, unlike the dems. That means coming out of the gate fast is really important to get the GOP nomination. I think McCain is great on the campaign trail and will quickly erase Rudy's lead. I would love to see Newt enter the race if for no other reason than his wit and candor. Ultimately I give the nomination to McCain. His early pandering to the Christian right is going to pay big dividends IMO. It will be interesting to see if Huckabee lasts long enough to make an impact. He could really throw a wrench into somebody's plans in South Carolina if he makes it that far.
Posted by: FH | March 1, 2007 6:52 PM | Report abuse
Who's the Most Liberal of of Them All?
Lincoln Chaffee, and we took care of him.
Posted by: Club for Growth | March 1, 2007 6:49 PM | Report abuse
William: There you go again using the "Fear Factor" I have referred to so many times. Yes, it does work for some of those you cater to. I, myself, in no way can blame you for using it if, and the big IF is you use it in a manner that is not to misleading.
Posted by: lylepink | March 1, 2007 6:43 PM | Report abuse
i would also say that in THIS election, there is no white vietnam vet that democrats might see as more electable. and kerry was not half the campaigner obama is... and obama is much smarter about his public appearances than dean was. (see "the scream")
and i say that as someone who voted for dean in the primary after he screamed - just couldn't bring myself to vote for kerry. plus, hillary starts with a number of negatives, and she's scared - witness her bringing bill in again.
you gotta wonder how much he likes / dislikes campaigning for his wife... my guess is "not much" - but he may feel obligated to. plus he loves politics.
Posted by: meuphys | March 1, 2007 6:26 PM | Report abuse
william, curious if you think republicans will run similar ads labeling giuliani as "too liberal"? although from what i have read, the social conservatives have decided that despite his support for choice and gay marriage, rudy is the best they will get-? actually, similar question - how do you think the g.o.p. primary will play out? who will be the liberal whipping boy? i could see rudy, but i could also see romney - despite his running from his record as fast as he can - and based on the numbers above, its mccain. what do you think?
Posted by: meuphys | March 1, 2007 6:20 PM | Report abuse
Please, che... spare us the Nader nonsense. Nader ran as a Green Party candidate in 2000 although I'm not aware of any work he's done with respect to green issues in the intervening years. Those 100000 votes he got in Florida, however, might have played a role in Bush's 537 vote margin of victory in that state. The man Nader helped defeat, VP Gore, has worked tirelessly on green issues since 2000. How would you characterize Nader's contribution to the national dialogue has been over the past 8 years? I, for one, think he just likes talking about himself.
Posted by: Alan | March 1, 2007 6:16 PM | Report abuse
For uncensored news please go to:
otherside123.blogspot.com
www.wsws.org
www.takingaimradio.info
www.onlinejournal.com
"Hillary Clinton is a Panderer and Flatterer"
CNN's Interview with Ralph Nader
By CounterPunch News Service
[The follow is a transcript of Ralph Nader's appearance on CNN's Late Edition. Click here to view a podcast of the show.)
Wolf Blitzer: He's a pioneer for consumer protection. He's run for president and his name, still a red flag for many Democrats, guaranteed to start an argument about the 2000 presidential campaign.
Joining us here in Washington, Ralph Nader. He's the author of a new book entitled "The Seventeen Traditions," about his childhood and his life.
Mr. Nader, welcome back to "Late Edition." It's a beautiful book with a lot of emotion for so many of us who will go through this book, and I want to get to it shortly. But let's get through some politics, some other issues first if that's OK.
RALPH NADER, FORMER PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE: OK.
BLITZER: Let's talk first of all about the presidency. Do you have any plans to run for president in 2008?
NADER: It's really too early to say. I don't like long campaigns. But I'm committed to trying to give more voices and choices to the American people on the ballot. That means more third parties, independent candidates and to break up this two-party elected dictatorship that is becoming more and more like a dial for the same corporate dollars.
BLITZER: As you know, by leaving the door open as you just did, a lot of Democrats are going to get very, very nervous, given what happened in 2000. But you are potentially open to running for president again?
NADER: As I say, I'll consider it later in the year. But I think they ought to look at the agenda of some of these third parties like the Green Party, like our independent run in '04.
For the rest please go to:
Posted by: che | March 1, 2007 5:52 PM | Report abuse
This is not good for Obama. In 2004, Dean lost on the electability issue. Though most Democrats agreed with his strong anti-war message, they didn't think Dean could win and voted for Kerry (brilliant primary commercials, not so much in general election)... Look for electability to start surfacing as an issue from Camp Hillary.
Posted by: William | March 1, 2007 5:21 PM | Report abuse
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Which candidate can end the war? Thats the one I want.
Did the conservatives forget that Guiliani was committing flagrant adultery as mayor of New York and he married his mistress, never once apologizing for his behavior. They vilified Clinton for having an affair. Oh I forgot Republicans can sin, because God will forgive them, but Democrats can't. How do we know if Rudy won't do the wild thing in the oval office with some new bimbo?