A few facts...
You need 2025 delegates to get the Democratic nomination...
Current count after Iowa is...
Clinton 169, Obama 66, Edwards 47, Richardson 19.(this includes pledged and Superdelegates)
A few more facts...
Obama got 37% of 7.5% of the Iowa population that showed up last night for Democrates. For Obama that is about 3% of the population of Iowa. For Edwards and Clinton it is about 2% of the total population.
Yes there was double the participation from that of the last caucaus(2004) but really this is not a majority of any thing.
The media wants you all to believe that the people have spoken, when in fact it was a very small segement of the population that said something.
The truth is about 90% of Iowa went with the status quo, not change.
After apending more than a year in Iowa and more than $150 million all the candidates combined (reps/Dems) were only able to get 11% of the population to show up. That is a rather pathetic showing and answered nothing.

Colin writes
" I don't think the D race is over by any stretch and expect Hillary to hit Obama hard over the next 5 days. "

Agreed. The question is how she chooses to go after Obama. Arguing that her experience as first lady gives her some kind of incomparable advantage as President is bumpkis. The more she attacks Obama on experience, the more people wonder what experience she has herself - and the list is short. She calls herself a leader, but demonstrates little leadership. The facade is wearing thin, and the voters don't like what its been hiding.

bokonon13: I have to agree with you up to a point. Right now I am watching a Fox News report replay with Greta, Laura I, Susan E., and S Smith. What I think most of you are missing is the intense effort of "The Stop Hillary" forces, that includes a whole bunch of Dems that I have in my "Factor" categories. Early February will be when I can explain to you doubters how this came about, and we can get on with Hillary as the Dem nominee and I am still puzzled about who the Repubs will go with, but I am still thinking McCain will drop out and support the Huckster, who is looking good at this point in time.

Dave, read the Newsweek article @ 11:51PM

Something else that comes to mind is how unliked Hillary was by people commenting here and any other blogs. She was disparaged by a solid, overwhelming majority that translated into today's voting.

Pollsters from now on will have to pay close attention to comments on blogs.

Hillary was not liked at all by a solid majority of the commenting masses. Today's vote mirrored that sentiment.

lyle, I think at this point you just have to admit that more DEMOCRATS - and independents - in Iowa supported Obama than Clinton or Edwards. She can certainly keep on fighting, but this evening was not about stopping Hillary. None of the GOP candidates - certainly not Romney or Huckabee - would have been willing to lose any of their support in such a tight race just to stop Hillary, who, after all, does not poll as well against them as do Obama OR Edwards. And now (supposedly) Biden and Dodd might endorse Barack - surely they wouldn't do that if he weren't viable. Your candidate of course is still alive, but I think you might want to rethink your refrain of "absolutely ZERO chance," because by the numbers, Obama now has a much better chance than does Hillary.

Get a grip people. It's one small state. It's a caucus format. It was less than 10 percent of the people of Iowa that produced the Obama result. I think it's a wee bit early to be picking out his White House china. Most Americans couldn't place Iowa on a map so I don't know that what a few Iowan's say is going to change things considerably. There will probably be a small bounce for both men. That said, nice job by Huck and Obama.

I am also kinda stunned that Dodd and Biden would drop out so soon. Up until this point, I had never given much creedence to the "Iowa should not be first and soooo important" argument but I am beginning to reconsider. It is shocking that a couple of hundred thousand people in Iowa could so dramitically alter the political landscape.

theseventeen: I think you are probably pretty much on track about the stopping Hillary vote. I have talked with my computer friend and told him I thought about 10% of the vote would come from the Repub stop Hillary effort, and as far as I can determine, as of now, I am pretty well on target. I also thought the Hukster would win and it appears most of the Dem and Repub losers will be dropping out soon.

Obama has easily cleared the first hurdle in this race. He has energized young voters, who normally don't get involved in the election process, to turn out. He got the votes of more women than Hillary. He is the candidate for change, the candidate with the best judgement and the candidate with the best leadership skills. He and Biden would make an awesome team in the White House, with Richardson, Kucinich and Dodd on his cabinet.

Unfortunately for Chris he won't be the next White House Press Secretary because Hillary won't be the next President.

Continuing with the Obama hoopla, this from Newsweek:

http://www.newsweek.com/id/84290

Obama's Iowa victory speech was not just for tonight. He hit notes with that speech that no one else can hit. New Hampshire was watching. He's closing the deal. The country is turning in a new direction, a direction of hope.

Bsimon @ 11:04,

The polls are out the window. The status quo is out the window. Mrs. Inevitable was trounced, not just beaten.

What we have here is an historic turn not seen since the Berlin wall came down.

We are watching History right before our very eyes. This is so big and doable that it is unstoppable.

Times are a changin'. Signed, sealed and delivered.

Colin, don't forget Giuliani. He still has a viable national campaign that has gone virtually untouched by negative ads. He'll be another wrench in the Huck/McCain scenario.

Biden, Richardson and Dodd's supporters will now go to Obama in droves. He's got momentum and his platform is closest to B/R/D's platforms on top of it.

Check it - Obama is going to sweep the field. End of story.

If Clinton and Edwards try to sling mud at him between here and NH then they're just going to look like sore losers.

Good analysis Colin, but what is most important is electability in a general election and Obama needs a strong VP at his side with a lot of experience to create a one-two punch that will knock out the GOP. If Obama doesn't win the presidency, Biden won't be Secretary of State. I think there are alternates that could be as good for Obama as a VP, but none are as readily available and in-sync as Biden.

What a surreal moment we witnessed tonight, I hope that we are truly passing the torch to a younger generation

JB dropped out, as I thought he would if he did not finish 4th. Stay tuned.

Biden quits the race but adds "I'm not going away"

As he rants on and on he says "It's great to be me".

Here's an interesting idea:

For those of you who were supporting Biden, Dodd, and Richardson, do you think that STOPPING HILLARY CLINTON was more important than ensuring their preferred candidates' viability? I mean, seeing how the Big 3 gobbled up 97% of the votes is quite revealing. The anti-Hillary vote was 2 to 1!

I still see Biden as Obama's Secretary of State. I think he's more useful in that role than as VP. Regardless, I think he's in the next administration and his son, the current state AG, will take his Senate seat.

Good night overall. I don't think the D race is over by any stretch and expect Hillary to hit Obama hard over the next 5 days. However, if he does win NH then he WILL win SC, which is already a tie. If he wins both of those, I don't see a viable path for Hillary to win the nomination. Especially once Edwards drops out, allowing Obama to merge the anti-hillary vote nationally.

On the R side, I don't know what will happen. I suspect Huckabee will now have he resources to press on through February 5th. Since McCain is also limited in his funds, he won't be able to simply blow Huck out of the water through advertising. If McCain does win NH, I can picture a relatively drawn out GOP race between McCain and Huckabee.

Biden dropped out. Dodd dropped out. Biden will support Obama.

Thompson is soon going to be out. Paul will ride out Super Tuesday. Obviously so will McCain and Giuliani. If Romney doesn't win NH, he needs to throw in the towel. He's not going to run out of money so he needs to just kick the bucket before he digs his grave any deeper.

didn't even place second, I meant.

Thompson stays in through SC, at least, right? Or does he just take his seat at the NH debate?

bsimon, boko; Richardson got the 4th seat in NH. JB may as well drop out tomorrow. Eventually, my guess is he will back BHO, but I do not have a guess as to when.
Most people do not actually want to be VP, so we will have to listen to JB for clues. If he emails his supporters and asks for money, I will know - and if he does not, I will know, too.

National polls are out the window as of tonight. Huck is going to surge nationally - he's already doing fairly well. Obama will surge and Clinton will fall steeply because she didn't even place third.

Jim, I'll yield to you on NH predictions. I've lived on the west coast my entire life and only know about NH what the news and columnists tell me.

All I know is that after NH, the GOP field is going to (I said this a few days ago) "resemble a bowl of mud with street gravel, cat litter and split pea soup mixed in."

Huck wins Iowa, McCain takes NH, Huck takes SC and Florida, Giuliani takes California? It's going to be awefully messy and the GOP candidates are going to be so hashed by the time the primaries are done I don't know how they'll muster up the cash or energy to fight in a general election campaign.

I'm watching Obama speak now. Man I want this guy to be our president.

Bsimon: BHO will take it one state at a time. He's much closer to HRC in NH and SC. If he wins both of them I'm betting the dominoes will start to fall. Now who's got the "aura of inevitability?"

"I wonder if CC will quit being such a HRC homer?"

About the same time he stops being such a RG homer. 6th place in IA; is that another 'virtuoso' performance?

thx boko

no cable here; local news postponed by silly football match. PBS showing 'secrets of the dead' on a 535AD eruption of Krakatoa that caused the fall of the roman empire, among other things. Fascinating stuff, but no caucus results.

OK, another thought. The building conventional wisdom for NH is that Obama rides momentum to another victory. A giddy first reaction perhaps, though not entirely uncalled for. How about some tougher predictions: What happens to the national polls? The 'politics' link for WaPo cites a real clear politics national poll with HRC at 21.2% ahead of BHO. Does that change? Not until post NH? Not at all?

bsimon, fyi: Bill R. was #4

IOWA DEMOCRATIC CAUCUSES RESULTS
Candidate Votes * %
Barack Obama 915 38%
John Edwards 728 30%
Hillary Clinton 716 29%
Bill Richardson 51 2%
Joe Biden 23 1%
Uncommitted 3 0%
Chris Dodd 1 0%
Mike Gravel 0 0%
Dennis Kucinich 0 0%
Other 0 0%

Okay, McCain and Thompson keep going back and forth so I'm done making predictions! I still think/want McCain to take third but honestly I don't think it makes a difference for McCain in NH.

If McCain beats out Fred for third place, Fred's going to drop out and throw his guys behind Huck because of the religion card. But don't hold me to that, I haven't been following Fred's campaign. he's been dead since before he declared.

I wonder if CC will quit being such a HRC homer?

thecrisis writes
"I'm stoked to see how this plays out."

Likewise. I like NH predictions for the GOP, but how it plays out after that?? Still stunned by Thompson in IA. Why would he drop out at this point?

thecrisis

As a native New Englander, I just don't think Huckabee will play well in New Hampshire. That kind of open Southern religiosity doesn't go over well with mainline Protestants and Roman Catholics, who make up the vast majority of New Hampshire Christians.

Also, do not discount the impact of the Clug for Growth's opposition to Huckabee. Taxes are more of a religious issue among New Hampshire Republicans than the social issues.

As for Obama, he will win New Hampshire. But, a lot of the independents he is attracting have never voted before. That still might leave room for McCain to attract significant independent support. For the general, if Obama can expand the electorate, he could win decisively.

Finally checked The Fix to generally good news. Surprised by Thompson's finish. Who's 4th for the Ds? Not Biden, according to Mark's comment above. A surprise, given the reported turnout for his events lately.

and judge, the last report I heard had McCain either in the lead in NH or very very close to Mitty. He (McCain) still has a lot of folks up there who love him from 2000.

Mark, how long do you think Biden will stay in if he's not top 3 in NH? and if he drops out, do you think he would run with Obama?

Googling God got it right..... again- on the Iowa caucus

Visit googlinggod at Word Press for verification of these predictions and for new updates and insights on New Hampshire.

Another one bites the dust.

Huckabee wins, Obama wins; both wins predicted here before the caucus began and both predictions posted at Word Press earlier today.

Keep an eye on googlinggod blog (Word press) for more on God's perspective and insider look at the New Hampshire caucus (already at this time New Hampshire is very much favoring Obama, New Hampshire has been gaining for Obama for weeks).

Hilary will (next move) try to attack Obama's sincerity and his motive for running for President (the old story) and appeal to women (black and white) to turn things around at the White House towards a woman's perspective, to make history with her (Hilary), in electing the first woman ever.... and one with experience, one who will do the best ever for them and for America. She'll add that in (the experience theme) at the end.

Her risk will now be to strongly appeal to women's groups and the female population, to get the White house some fresh air and a woman's experience and support, something new, something complimentary and something very much needed right now (and she'll add the experience theme at the end). Unless she does something different, she knows she can't win (the general election.) So she'll choose to appeal to more women (than men) and hope that will carry her along far enough to succeed now.

Huckabee won't do as well in New Hampshire as New England is Romney territory, but the people of New Hampshire are looking at everything right now and still there are many 'undecideds'.

Check back later for more updates on New Hampshire and other areas with googlinggod. There will be fresh information before the New Hampshire caucus.

Good night.

Posted , spiritual | Edit | No Comments »
Iowa Caucus Predictions: Update on Jan. 3rd 2008 1:15 PM (in Arizona)
January 3, 2008 by googlinggod

Latest Update on the Iowa caucus: 1:15 pm (in Arizona) January 3, 2008

Democrats:

Obama is gaining steam today and we look to see him win (take) Iowa. He's very charismatic and enthusiastic and his supporters are eager to see him win and going the extra mile. While Hilary's constituents are getting a little fatigued; how much can she ask of them? They're not spring chickens after all, have families etc. they are worried about, taking care of etc... So in the end, the young people make this happen along with the Independents and "the dissatisfied", swinging Obama's way at the critical time frame necessary for a win for him.

Republicans:

Romney is still behind a tired but jubilant Huckabee and Romney won't come in first; he just doesn't have enough charisma or natural poise or "likability" going for him. Foolish at times though Huckabee can appear, people would rather have someone real and more familiar to them than someone very polished and a 'mystery,' which Romney appears to them to be, more often than not. See Huckabee finishing on top here in Iowa with Romney following behind.

"Googling God" is a spiritual perspective given by Soul Whisperer, who is gifted and has the ability to tune into the Universal Intelligence and the Mind of God. Blog Posted at Word Press

Jim, I'll agree with you to a large extent.

I think Huck will see an artificial surge in NH because momentum favors momentum. Christian GOP voters are going to wholly abandon Romney and rally beind Huck. McCain might be hurt very badly by Obama because of the raging Obamentum stealing Independent voters. But Huck may not come in second because he's got a long ways to climb from his current place. Also, Giuliani might see a reflexive surge of support in NH as a force against Huck and his Evangelical powerhouse.

Obama's 8 point margin is a clear mandate that he is the man for the job. 40% support from Independent voters. He split support from women with a female candidate who had as much money and organization as he. Greater support from male voters. Less hated by Republicans.

Edwards is the odd-man out here. A second-place showing doesn't really change anything because he's not big in NH. Had Clinton won Iowa and Edwards placed second, he could have taken SC. But Obama's momentum is going to be unstoppable, at least through SC.

I'm stoked to see how this plays out.

Huckabee did an excellent job, but one thing I'd like to know that nobody is talking about is how much Romney's Mormonism penalized him. I heard from CNN that about 60% of the GOP caucusgoers were evangelicals.

thecrisis, that makes much more sense... do you think Fred will bail and endorse McCain now? I seem to remember seeing something to that effect earlier today... and how long will Mitt stay in if he crashes + burns in NH on Tuesday?

thecrisis

McCain was already surging in NH. This seals the deal IMHO.

Mark

I understand, I meant that his non-evangelical support amounted to only 4% of the total caucus goers.

AHAHAHAHA

See my above post. Early results had Thompson in third and McCain in fourth but now that more presincts are reporting, McCain is in third. That means I called 1/2/3 from BOTH parties accurately, almost to the percentage. Man I'm awesome.

This is going to save McCain in NH. Just watch!

CNN stubbornly had Hill ahead as late as today.

They have now posted this:

Obama 38%, Hill29%

McCain is now in really good shape for New Hampshire. He's back in the race! Another big winner tonight is Guiliani. The R electorate will now likely vote McCain in NH. Who knows in Michigan & Nevada? In SC, Huckabee will likely win. Then in Florida, it could turn into a 3 way contest b/t Guiliani vs. McCain vs. Huckabee. If Huckabee wins SC now, I think he can win Florida vs. Guiliani. Can McCain keep it going if he wins in NH? Will Clinton bounce back and win NH? Will Edwards drop the race? If so, who will he endorse? Iowa raises more questions than it answers.

bokonon

I wonder how many "mainstream" Democrats will stick with Clinton once the aura of inevitability is pierced.

I also tend to believe that Obama will get more independents than McCain. It appears he brought a lot of new people into the process tonight. It should be even easier to get new people to vote at a polling place as opposed to participating in a lengthy caucus process. He obviously has a message that is attractive to people who haven't been active participants. If he can grow the electorate - and consider the normal voter turnout in US elections - he could win the general election decisively.

I wonder when lyle is going to claim all those Obama caucusers were Republicans out to sabotage Hillary.

Not sure that IA means Romney loses NH. NH doesn't 'heart' Huckabee, that's pretty obvious. NH is also somewhat disenchanted with McCain compared to 2000. Considering that Romney was a 'neighbor,' perhaps the rule will still be "better the devil you know....?"

jimD52 - I agree that Romney will collapse, but not cheaply... more like a fancy tent from Urban Outfitters or LL Bean.

Jim - MDH got 30/60 and 4/40: 10% among the heathens.

Jimd52, the man to watch on the Republican side from now on will be McCain.

Huck stuck a fork on Ken Doll, Mac is on his way to victory in N.H.

Mark, I think this will help McCain in NH; but independent voters there will also want to get with Obama... they are his strength - I think the mainstream Democratic Party is still with Hillary, so Barack will want to keep the indy vote if he can. Not sure how that will play out after tonight's results -? maybe won't make a difference if they split between Obama and McCain and each picks up some of the 'mainstream' (Clinton/Romney) support in his party. that's probably too neat a solution to actually happen, tho.
Thompson substantially outperforming the others, though - didn't see that coming. Everything I have read recently indicated that he would drop out and endorse McCain -? It will probably still happen, but not before next Tuesday,
And supposedly Romney was supposed to speak in NH at 2 a.m. (less than 4 hrs.) I'm guessing he may want to sleep a little before speaking to the press, now...

thecrisis

To amplify my comments on Huckabee, according to the entrance polls 60% of Republican caucus goers described themselves as evangelical Christians and half of them said they were supporting Huckabee. He got 34% - so outside of evangelicals he only got 4%.

urban4

McCain is surging in New Hampshire, polls put him tied or close to it with Romeny. The Iowa results will definitely hurt Romney. Polls also show that a poor Iowa showing will cause New Hampshire vorters to rethink their support for a given candidate. I think Romney will collapse like a cheap tent.

Tonight, on Lehrer, Brooks said the media gave us th three D front runners over Biden and Dodd; sounded guilty as he said it.

ABCNews:

Obama 37%
Hillary 30%
Edwards 30%

thecrisis

I don't think Huckabee will finish that high in New Hampshire. His support in Iowa, according to the entrance polls, came overwhelmingly from evangelicals and very little from any other group. There are very few evangelical Christians in New Hampshire and the Club for Growth attacks on his tax record will resonate with the vociferously anti-tax New Hampshire Republicans.

I agree with your other predictions.

I don't see McCain getting much bounce from these Iowa results. Romney may still be more viable in in NH.

Jim, Boko, and Judge, I am sure we all think the results on both sides are gratifying in one way or another. I read Balz earlier and I think this will help McC in NH - unless there is a snowball effect of Indies for BHO in NH.

What do the pundits think about the NH Indies now?

I called it. Obama and Huckabee by almost EXACT margins.

Obama rides the momentum and crushes Clinton in NH with his shocking support from Independents. Huck surges in NH but not enough to take over McCain.

NH:
1. McCain
2. Huck
3. Giuliani

Romney is deader than a dead fish in a rotting fish tank.

Demos:
1. Obama
2. Clinton
3. Edwards

Obama is going to ride this baby to the White House and he's taking Biden along with him on the ride. JUST WATCH.

Judge, this is Dan Balz on the 'bounce':

"2) How Big Will the Iowa Bounce Be?

The big difference this year is the shortened time between Iowa's caucuses and New Hampshire's primaries. Normally eight days, it will be just five this time, thanks to the decision by New Hampshire Secretary of State William M. Gardner to schedule New Hampshire so soon after Iowa.

The bounce, say experts, usually shows up a couple of days after Iowa and then begins to dissipate.

**A clean Obama victory over Clinton and Edwards would become a very big story and would dominate the news into the weekend debates.** (emphasis mine)

A Romney win could arrest McCain's growing strength in New Hampshire. But the altered calendar throws a monkey wrench into the predictions of the experts, who are in considerable disagreement on this question."

Obama is the agent of change. He is on fire.

I don't see Hill or Edwards recovering in a few days from this debacle.

Obama is already tied with Hill in N.H. and this convincing whoping of the Establishment candidate will propell a landslide movement towards CHANGE.

It seems that only one of Chris's experts got the results right - decisive wins for Obama and Huckabee.

Note that Democratic turnout was up from 2004's record of 124,000 to somewhere north of 200,000 this time. Obama is definitely bringing new people into the process.

The Republican turnout was flat - Republicans, as a group, are not enthralled with their choices - the pollsters keep telling us this. Also, the Republicans are not sanguine about their chances. The one thing sure to excite the base was the chance to vote against Hillary Clinton. Should Obama ride the wave of this victory to another in New Hampshire, Clinton is toast.

I think Romney's showing is another indication that David Brooks's analysis from the other day is spot on.

Paul beats Guiliani! Ouch!

Republican Primary Results
Thursday, January 3
Real-time Race Results: Updated January 3, 2008 - 10:07 PM (all times Eastern Standard)
Precincts Reporting 76%
Candidate Votes Vote % Delegates Projected Winner
Huckabee 30,852 34% 0 Winner
Romney 22,973 25% 0
Thompson 12,289 14% 0
McCain 12,109 13% 0
Paul 8,995 10% 0
Giuliani 3,246 4% 0
Hunter 392 0% 0

New England Republicans tend to include more economic conservatives who are liberal on certain issues like the environment. They see Romney as one of them, not the conservative "persona" he has more recently taken on. Mitt Romney also has a summer estate in New Hampshire, however his latest vicious attack ad against John McCain is almost certainly going to hurt him. New Hampshire likes to be different and may look to someone besides Romney.

Optimyst,
The Iowa Dem party does not report the actual vote numbers, only the delegates. Vote data will not be available.

Wow, this is the power of democracy. For Huckabee to take down Romney, who spent so much on Iowa, truly says something about how far democracy in this nation has came. For Obama, a 1 term senator from nothing in Kenya, to beat out Hillary Clinton. What's that say? I think it says alot about the power of democracy.

Congrats to BHO and MDH.

In IA, racism is as dead as a doornail.
Ask BHO. Good.

In IA, money is not enough to win.
Ask MDH. Good.

We will not have JB in the debate Sat. night. Bad.

We do not know third and fourth on the R side yet.

An Obama win in NH would be big. A Romney loss in NH would be big.

Would Edwards support Obama, and if so, would he do so before stupendous Tuesday?

Will anybody notice Wyoming Saturday?

Will any Ds x-over in MI?

Hillary had a bad dream last night:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lsLC7fo9Mkw

"btw - hope your commute was less eventful today. Will it be expensive to fix your car?"

Boko: unfortunately, yes. I'm betting about $3K; our deductible is only $250, however. My commute was wonderfully dull today, thank you.

I, too, would like to see some Granite Staters weigh in on this blog. Why don't the R's like Huckabee, for one thing? McCain and Romney I can understand but I thought Huckabee would gain at least some traction. I doubt his winning Iowa will ruffle their principled, independent natures.

optimyst, I don't know the breakdown, but Stephanopoulos (on CBS? not sure) just said that the total participation will end up being north of 200K...

WaPost, NYTimes call Obama winner.

Is there an online resource that shows democratic caucus voters as opposed to delegate counts? I'd like to monitor the turnout.

Judge, Bokonon,

This is history being made, as we speak.

NBC declares Obama winner:

Obama 37%

Edwards, Clinton 31%

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21229206/

sorry, judge, just saw that you had asked exactly the same question. btw - hope your commute was less eventful today. Will it be expensive to fix your car?

This is exciting... but only the first of at least a few more exciting days, possibly extending to the convention(s). Does anyone care to speculate what this might mean in NH next Tuesday? will there be carryover from Iowa? will Edwards voters start to peel off to other candidates? is anyone here from NH? And Truth Hunter, what are they saying in Iowa about this?

Is it OK to breathlessly speculate on how big a bounce Huckabee and Obama will get in NH?

Rfpiktor: I think so. The numbers keep heading in the direction of the DMR polling.

The only suspense now is will Romney trail by a full 10 points or not? The Fix's new theme song: "Money DOESN'T Change Everything."

Judge, I projected an Obama win by four points in the "predictions" post:

"1- Obama +4 points
2- Edwards
3- Clinton"

Will it hold?

Whoops, ABC just declared Obama the winner at 70% reporting

Thursday, January 3
Real-time Race Results: Updated January 3, 2008 - 9:25 PM (all times Eastern Standard)
Precincts Reporting 70%
Candidate Votes Vote % Delegates Projected Winner
Obama 550 35% 0 Winner
Edwards 488 31% 0
Clinton 484 31% 0
Richardson 28 2% 0
Biden 15 1% 0
Dodd 0 0% 0
Gravel 0 0% 0
Kucinich 0 0% 0

ABCNews 9:25PM 66% Precincts reporting

Obama 35%

Clinton 31%

Edwards 31%

Looks like the Des Moines Register poll may have been on the money after all

Real-time Race Results: Updated January 3, 2008 - 9:21 PM (all times Eastern Standard)
Precincts Reporting 66%
Candidate Votes Vote % Delegates Projected Winner
Obama 505 35% 0
Edwards 452 31% 0
Clinton 449 31% 0
Richardson 25 2% 0
Biden 14 1% 0
Dodd 0 0% 0
Gravel 0 0% 0
Kucinich 0 0% 0

Doing a greatjob judge, we'll know soon.

Real-time Race Results: Updated January 3, 2008 - 9:11 PM (all times Eastern Standard)
Precincts Reporting 40%
Candidate Votes Vote % Delegates Projected Winner
Huckabee 14,045 31% 0 Winner
Romney 10,084 23% 0
Thompson 5,950 13% 0
McCain 5,194 12% 0
Giuliani 4,901 11% 0
Paul 4,379 10% 0
Hunter 168 0% 0

I'm preserving my right to gloat until later once the results are truly finalized.

Real-time Race Results: Updated January 3, 2008 - 9:11 PM (all times Eastern Standard)
Precincts Reporting 53%
Candidate Votes Vote % Delegates Projected Winner
Obama 364 34% 0
Edwards 337 32% 0
Clinton 335 31% 0
Richardson 18 2% 0
Biden 11 1% 0

ABCNEWS CALLS HUCKABEE WINNER.

OBAMA LEADING.

HILL, EDWARDS TIED ONE POINT BEHIND

http://abcnews.go.com/politics/elections/state?state=IA

Huckabee wins Iowa!!!!! It just goes to show Mitt & Company that America is not for sale afeter all, is it?!?!?!?!

Edwards isn't hitting his target numbers...

http://www.political-buzz.com/

No one reversed the decision to air the Huckabee attack ad once Huckabee decided against it. The Huckabee campaign clearly tried to stop the attack ad from airing, but didn't quite succeed. Why that would set off such a feeding frenzy within the Romney campaign isn't known. I've never seen a presidential candidate as pathetic as Mitt Romney has become.

New drinking game: take a drink for every Ron Paul fan who calls in on C-SPAN.

BUSH'S PRIORITIES. Protect criminal corporations rather than doing his job as President of the united states of america. Protect corporations a la Enron. These criminals all belong in jail. think about the presendence they set for the future

"As President Bush begins his final year in office, the White House is aiming for one last major domestic legislative triumph: permanent expansion of government spy powers, including retroactive immunity for the telecom companies that assisted in warrantless surveillance.

In an impromptu briefing aboard Air Force One, as Bush returned to Washington from his Texas vacation yesterday, White House counselor Ed Gillespie told reporters that an administration-supported bill to amend the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act is Bush's top priority.

"FISA is front and center," Gillespie said, according to a pool report from New York Times White House correspondent Sheryl Gay Stolberg. "If it is allowed to lapse we will be less safe as a country" . . .

Why is this such a big deal to the White House? Eric Lichtblau, James Risen and Scott Shane explained in the New York Times last month: "At stake is the federal government's extensive but uneasy partnership with industry to conduct a wide range of secret surveillance operations in fighting terrorism and crime". . . .

In short, it's a historic battle over the future of the country as a surveillance state.

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http://www.salon.com/opinion/greenwald/

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The Huckabee ad ran after all! LOL Details over at The Trail.

Too funny. I guess this is what you'd call double-secret hypocrisy by the Huckster.

As far as the election, we will know sson enough. What is far more important is why the election is going the way it is.

""It should, it seems to me, be our pleasure and duty to make these people free and let them deal with their own domestic questions in their own way; and so I am an anti-imperialist. I am opposed to having the eagle put its talons on any other land," Vonnegut quoted Twain during the reading."

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Edwards 43%
Clinton 22%
Obama 20%

"There is no flag large enough to cover the shame of killing innocent people for a purpose which is unattainable."

Howard Zinn

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