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Clinton Consolidates Northeast, Halfway Point Nears

Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (N.Y.) has consolidated support in the northeast with wins in Massachusetts, New Jersey and her home state of New York. So far, Clinton has the edge with roughly half of the 22 Super Tuesday states already called.

Massachusetts and New Jersey were expected to be close fights between the two candidates. In Massachusetts, both Clinton and Sen. Barack Obama (Ill.) claimed a victory of sorts. Clinton's campaign called it the "upset of the night" citing Obama's endorsements from Sens. Ted Kennedy and John Kerry and Gov. Deval Patrick. Obama's campaign pointed out that he had trailed by a wide margin just weeks ago and that his close loss amounted to a moral victory.

Connecticut -- The Fix's home state -- remained un-called as of 10:00 p.m. ET. If Clinton wins, she will have swept the northeast, a ringing endorsement from the states in which she is best known.

Among the key states still outstanding: Missouri, Arizona, and, of course, California.

Thoughts? Has the race played out to form so far?

Also, don't forget to tune into Inside Super Tuesday -- live election coverage from washingtonpost.com, Newsweek and others.

By Chris Cillizza |  February 5, 2008; 10:11 PM ET  | Category:  Eye on 2008
Previous: Obama Wins Georgia | Next: Obama, Clinton Swap States


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Posted by: bahqytz qzcpbjtmr | April 16, 2008 11:30 AM

My personal opinion is that Fla and Mich. shouldn't be counted for the votes that were accrued. I mean Clinton was the only one on the ballot in both states. If their going to count their votes then the Dems in both states should go back to the polls and revote. If their going to do it then it should be done correctly.

Don't one candidates name from the Dem side and then not grant that party any delegates. It doesn't make any sense.
With what we now know about Clinton and her campaign a re-vote is the only fair way of doing it if the votes are going to be counted.

Posted by: sun311usa | February 9, 2008 1:22 PM

Wow!!! I attended the Caucus here in Boise,Id last Tuesday and I didn't realize how big this thing was until I got there. They were calling it the largest caucus in the nation with 6500 people filling the arena and had we been in a bigger arena we could've taken in at least 6500 more. The line to get in I was told was at least 1/4 mile long. I got in early luckily. I couldn't believe all the empty seats on Clintons side and alot of people were milling around near the concessions because all the Obama seats were full.
He won by over 80%.

For his speech here the Saturday before there were at least 3,000 that were turned away as they shut the doors. The arena was full at 16,000. I had to watch his speech in a different building on a big screen. There was probably at least 800 in there. It sounds like his speech in WA was the same way.

I do volunteer work for his campaign here and most of the people I spoke said what did it for them is when they saw him speak in person. He made that big of impact on the a lot of the young people in my area. I had never caucused before in my life because I never had that much interest in the candidates. The people in the local office said there were so many people showing up to volunteer (after his speech here) that they began to send some of them home to do some calling from there. They were also telling them to show up for the caucus of course. I have never experienced a time when I heard 15 and 16 year olds wishing they were 18 so that they could vote for Obama. That says a lot when they attend something just to show their support even though they weren't able to vote.

I hope that he wins every primary today so that he can build more momentum and eventually get elected.

Obama-Nation!!! Roll tide roll!

Posted by: sun311usa | February 9, 2008 1:09 PM

NE: O 54% C 46%
LA: O 53% C 47%
WA: O 59% C 41%

Obama's TV ads neutralize Clinton's name
recognition. Clinton's cash flow problem
continues to curtail new large donations,
and is now raising difficult questions about 1)her managerial capabilities, and
2)her personal wealth and where it came from.

Posted by: patrican | February 9, 2008 11:53 AM

More guesses:

WA: Obama 55%, Clinton 45%
NE: Obama 52%, Clinton 48%
LA: Obama 59%, Clinton 41%

Headline: Obama Narrows Delegate Gap

Posted by: noahsfamily | February 9, 2008 10:28 AM

Guesses:

VA: Obama 52%, Clinton 48%
DC: Obama 78%, Clinton 22%
MD: Obama 55%, Clinton 45%

Headline: Obama Sweeps Potomac Primary

Posted by: noahsfamily | February 9, 2008 10:13 AM

you poor obama fanatics.

He's been slaughtered tonight.
Utah? N. Dakota?

those are "wins"
those states won't go democratic in 199 years.

Posted by: newagent99 | February 6, 2008 12:42 AM

you poor obama fanatics.

He's been slaughtered tonight.
Utah? N. Dakota?

those are "wins"
those states won't go democratic in 199 years.

Posted by: newagent99 | February 6, 2008 12:41 AM

Obama's wins seem to be larger in general. New York's margin for Hillary will be about half of what Obama's margin is in Illinois.

General Election "purple" states that Obama won:
- Minnesota (though I think this is mostly blue)
- Colorado


General Election purple states Hillary won:
- none so far

Other purple states uncalled or closely contested:
- New Mexico
- Missouri


Posted by: prjonp | February 5, 2008 11:49 PM

this is absurd, really, to talk about massachusetts and new jersey as swing states. based on polling, neither of these states were ever truly competitive. as for kennedy's endorsement, that came far too late to really help. the real story is that obama got as many votes as he did. the other real story is that many of obama's wins-- ct, de, al, and maybe even one or two others-- came in states where polling had him behind. the fact that obama is neck and neck on super tuesday, when national polling indicated that these were states that tended to favor clinton, is incredible.

Posted by: hogmesh | February 5, 2008 11:34 PM

Pretty much as expected, except Huck who exceeded expectations. I'm a bit surprised Clinton isn't carrying CT - not too far from Chappaqua, after all. Then again, these are the Dems who wanted to dump Lieberman - not exactly the type to toe the party line!

Posted by: -pamela | February 5, 2008 11:20 PM

Romney still looks alive in the West, winning lots of small states. And Obama has won CT. That's big for him.

http://www.political-buzz.com/

Posted by: parkerfl | February 5, 2008 11:16 PM

Romney still looks alive in the West, winning lots of small states. And Obama has won CT. That's big for him.

http://ww.political-buzz.com/

Posted by: parkerfl | February 5, 2008 11:15 PM

Tenn. and Mo. are the states I am watching, these two could actuall decide our next Prez.

Posted by: lylepink | February 5, 2008 11:04 PM

Random thought: Rush Limbaugh says the following:

1) Neither McCain nor Huckabee are true conservatives.

2) The conservative Republican base will revolt if either is the nominee.

So shouldn't a three-man race be good for Romney? McCain and Huckabee split the nonconservative vote, right?

But, of course that doesn't work because when Rush says "conservative" he really only means "anti-tax." A lot of conservatives care about things like a pro-life record and military policy, though. Oh, and actually cutting spending.

So far Huckabee, not Romney, appears to be emerging as the alternative to McCain. This may be the night the GOP escapes the grips of the supply-sider tax-cuts-at-all-cost crowd and moves toward becoming a party that can actually govern this nation competently.

Posted by: edwardlahoa | February 5, 2008 11:02 PM

Funny how most of the states going to Obama are pretty strong Repub, except Del. and Conn., I am disappointed with results so far.

Posted by: lylepink | February 5, 2008 10:51 PM

P.S. Clinton did NOT get Connecticut... don't expect CC to declare this a "hit" to her like he would declare it a "win" had she won it...

So update: Clinton holding 6 states so far. Obama holding 8.

Posted by: Boutan | February 5, 2008 10:50 PM

I with adamcgray on this one... struth CC.

Posted by: Boutan | February 5, 2008 10:48 PM

~

SurveyUSA's polls have been dead on in every single state so far tonight.

Their last pre-primary poll last night in California shows Clinton up by 10%.

Like I said, they've been dead on.

The media are all Obama all the time -- they are so biased against her.

Unfortunately for them, there are lots and lots of Americans who want her in the White House.

~

Posted by: DickeyFuller | February 5, 2008 10:40 PM

Yet again another pro-Clinton post Chris. A trend is developing in your insights.

I'm sure you can redress the balance by doing a similar post noting how ALL the mid west states have been going for Obama - how did you put it? Oh yes: "a ringing endorsement from those who know him best".

And something Clinton didn't get.

Posted by: adamcgray | February 5, 2008 10:38 PM

I can't help but notice that Clinton's New York and New Jersey leads are shrinking, as opposed to Obama's illinois lead, which is holding, by 30 percentage points. Hillary did romp in Massachusetts though

Posted by: gckarcher | February 5, 2008 10:33 PM

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