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Governors Coalescing Behind McCain

Sen. John McCain will speak to a gathering of Republican governors later this month, a telling signal that even many of former governor Mike Huckabee's (Ark.) colleagues are lining up behind the Arizona senator in the fight for the GOP presidential nomination.

McCain will speak to the "Statesmen and Cabinet Dinner" on Feb. 23, according to an email sent by RGA executive director Nick Ayers and obtained by The Fix. The event will be attended by a majority of Republican governors and major donors to the committee. "We're very excited about this development and I think it's great news," wrote Ayers.

RGA spokesman Chris Schrimpf would not speculate on whether McCain's appearance in front of the RGA's major donors and governors constituted a tacit endorsement of his candidacy. "Our governors and members are excited to have one of the leading voices of our party speak to them," said Schrimpf. "We consider it a real honor that he's attending."

Whether or not a formal endorsement is on the way, McCain's presence at the RGA gathering is yet another sign of the coalescence of the party establishment behind the Arizona Senator.

Huckabee spent ten years as a governor and member of the RGA. He chaired the National Governors Association. Republican governors are, in many ways, Huckabee's base when it comes to elected officials. McCain already has won the endorsements of eight Republican governors and, given his status as the clear frontrunner for the party's nod, is sure to rack up a few more between now and when he addresses the RGA event. (For a complete list of who's supporting who among governors, scroll to the bottom of this post.)

The important thing to keep in mind when trying to understand why the RGA might weigh in on McCain's behalf is that given McCain's long legislative experience, it seems increasingly likely that he will pick from the Republican governors' lineup when selecting a vice presidential nominee.

Among the names mentioned: Tim Pawlenty of Minnesota, Mark Sanford of South Carolina, Sonny Perdue of Georgia, Haley Barbour of Mississippi and Jon Huntsman Jr. of Utah. And, of, course, Huckabee himself is seen as a potential pick.

Events like this one at the RGA -- coupled with more declarative statements from McCain that he would prefer Huckabee to drop from the race -- are sure to increase the pressure on the former Arkansas governor to fold his tent some time in the next week or two.

Remember that Huckabee has drastically raised his national profile in this race and has become the voice (or at least one of the voices) of social conservatives nationally. In addition to being mentioned as a potential running mate for McCain, Huckabee is also seen as a potential presidential candidate in 2012 or 2016 -- depending on how the chips fall in November. With a bright future ahead of him, Huckabee will only run his crusade against the establishment for so long.

GOP GOVERNORS ENDORSEMENTS

McCain (8)
Jodi Rell (Conn.)
Arnold Schwarzenegger (Calif.)
Charlie Crist (Fla.)
Mitch Daniels (Ind.)
Tim Pawlenty (Minn.)
Rick Perry (Texas)
Jon Huntsman (Utah)
Jim Douglas (Vt.)

Huckabee (1)
Mike Rounds (S.D.)

Romney (3)
Matt Blunt (Mo.)
Dave Heineman (Neb.)
Don Carcieri (R.I.)

Free Agents (10)
Bob Riley (Ala.)
Sarah Palin (Alaska)
Sonny Perdue (Ga.)
Linda Lingle (Hawaii)
Butch Otter (Idaho)
Bobby JIndal (La.)
Haley Barbour (Miss.)
Jim Gibbons (Nev.)
John Hoeven (N.D.)
Mark Sanford (S.C.)

By Chris Cillizza |  February 13, 2008; 4:05 PM ET  | Category:  Eye on 2008
Previous: Potomac Primary: Winners and Losers | Next: McCain's Inner Circle -- Revisited


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There are only two people John McCain should even bother considering, people whose names are already well known and who will thus add name recognition to the ticket.

Find out who at theuseofreason.blogspot.com

Posted by: Christian Palmer | April 23, 2008 9:18 PM

cAN'T YOU FIND ANYTHING NICE ABOUT HILLARY???

Posted by: abutterbutt | February 18, 2008 8:52 PM

EVEN THO THERE ARE SOME PEOPLE WHO HAVE COME OUT OF DREAM LAND AND DISMISS THE RHETORIC THAT IS THE OBAMA CAMPAIGN AND ACTING LIKE THE SECOND COMING OF EITHER JESUS OR ELVIS

Posted by: abutterbutt | February 18, 2008 7:50 PM

I CERTAINLY THINK THE MEDIA SHOULD CELEBRATE AFTER HILLARY LOSES WISCONSIN AND HAWAII TOMMAROW. EVER SINCE HILLARY STARTED TO RUN, THE MEDIA HAS KNOCKED HER DOWN, MADE FUN OF HER, AND GAVE OBAMA A FREE PASS ON EVERYTHING. I TRULLY BBELIEVE THAT THE MEDIA WAS AND STILL AFRAID OF BEING ACCUSED OF BEING RACIEST IF ONE WORD AGAINST OBAMA IS MUTTERED. I AM SO SCARED OF OBAMA BECOMING PRESIDENT THAT I AM GETTONG SICK ALREADY

Posted by: abutterbutt | February 18, 2008 7:44 PM

I don't see how McCain can pick Barbour given his historical involvement with the white supremacist CCC. They're agents of intolerance more than Robertson and Falwell, if less influential.

http://www.splcenter.org/intel/intelreport/article.jsp?aid=145

Yes, Obama would likely see McCain a Sarah Palin and raise him a Kathleen Sebelius (who actually has 5 years gubernatorial experience and a proven ability to win in a usually unfavorable state). But how can McCain beat Obama anyway?? See the Letterman jokes about Dole's age in 1996 above. This is an ageist country. For a 72 year old talking about staying in Iraq for 10,000 years to beat an inspiring, movement-creating 47 year old who attracts liberals, independents, and Republicans would take some kind of miracle. Like Reagan coming back from the dead.

Posted by: jon.morgan.1999 | February 17, 2008 12:10 PM

What about Sarah Palin as VP? She'd add a historical edge to the Republican ticket (esp. if Obama or Clinton choose a white man to run with), and is very popular and good looking. She is fresh out of being mayor of a town most people have never heard of though.

Posted by: jon.morgan.1999 | February 17, 2008 11:55 AM

Governor Barbour has the mass appeal needed to help the GOP nominee carry not only the south but the traditional conservative base.
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Posted by: erinannie | February 14, 2008 11:34 AM

"Remember that Huckabee has drastically raised his national profile in this race and has become the voice (or at least one of the voices) of social conservatives nationally ... With a bright future ahead of him, Huckabee will only run his crusade against the establishment for so long."

I love the way Cilizza only looks at politicians' self-interest when predicting their actions, and never attaches even an ounce of weight to their verbal assurances. I don't doubt he's right.

But in real life, if I attract investors to my business, saying I'm in it for the long haul, then I immediately fold up and walk away, that's fraud.

A politician who attracts fundraisers by promising to stay in the race, and who then immediately drops out, gets to keep the money. But it sounds like fraud to me.

Posted by: kevrobb | February 14, 2008 9:05 AM

This still amazes me. How and why John McCain? What do the Republican leaders know (or think they know) that we do not (as a whole)?

Obama vs. McCain- The Internet Indicators:
http://newsusa.myfeedportal.com/viewarticle.php?articleid=48

Posted by: davidmwe | February 14, 2008 3:10 AM

Posted by: mark_in_austin | February 13, 2008 11:25 PM

Posted by: mark_in_austin | February 13, 2008 11:17 PM

The Guv's know when they smell electability.

Gingrich and Sanford are the big "get's" that McCain needs sooner than later.

http://www.political-buzz.com/

Posted by: parkerfl | February 13, 2008 8:11 PM

Chris Cillizza,

Your article is great and fine. This is something spiffy that I think you left out:

When Dole ran, he got beat up pretty good about his age.

David Letterman began running a series of mock, but realistic-sounding, Dole TV ads.

"Some candidates for president lived through Vietnam and World War II," the announcer said in a serious voice. "But only one candidate lived through the Civil War and the Declaration of Independence. Vote for Bob Dole! He's a thousand years old!"

On the day that Bill Clinton, who was 50, went in for his annual physical, Letterman said, "And in a related move, Bob Dole went in today for his annual autopsy."

Letterman continued: "Bob Dole is so old his Social Security number is 2. He's so old that when he was a teenager, his cologne was New Spice. He's so old, his Secret Service code name is The Clapper."

Just jokes, of course. But can McCain expect to be treated any differently regarding his age should he get the Republican nomination? (From a 'Politico' article).

Posted by: rfpiktor | February 13, 2008 8:03 PM

freedom41, Sarah Palin is an interesting choice, but I think there would be *too* much of an age gap there. It would really not click and McCain would look incredibly old next to her. Plus all the commenters on conservative boards are squawking about how McCain absolutely must nominate a long time conservative. Palin's name never comes up.

Also, Obama will see your Sarah Palin and raise you a Kathleen Sebelius.

Posted by: Nissl | February 13, 2008 7:34 PM

Actually, KOZ, a nice analysis was done on smartmoney that suggests the market has already internalized a Republican defeat. Before NH, it reacted badly to Obama, after NH it reacted badly to Clinton.

Back on topic, nice to see all those governors endorsing a man who voted today for torture after previously fighting it. Oh McCain, what principles won't you compromise?

Posted by: Nissl | February 13, 2008 7:31 PM

Judge - If BHO is the D, why not Bobby Jindal? - he is the kind of technocrat McC would like, I think.

drindl, what torture bill?

Posted by: mark_in_austin | February 13, 2008 7:15 PM

good -- not that anyone cares where you're going, but the boards will be easier to read without your spew.

Posted by: Spectator2 | February 13, 2008 6:56 PM

dear bloggers, I must take my leave of you for a while. I am off to Barbados for some rum and fresh fish. In my absence, please keep the moonbats and jackels at bay.

cool runnings Mon!

Posted by: kingofzouk | February 13, 2008 6:55 PM

moonbat two checks in with ignorant remark. SSDD

Posted by: kingofzouk | February 13, 2008 6:52 PM

Claudia: Who knows what goes on in the bizarre mind of zouk?

And now he thinks Newt Gingrich is going to make some sort of triumphant return? Whatever floats his boat.

Posted by: Spectator2 | February 13, 2008 6:50 PM

Because he is returning with bigger ears. another total failure of a president who has no business running anything bigger than a peanut farm.

enter malaise.
You see despite the empty promises, the government can't solve all your problems. and the "rich" won't pay for it all.

I am still waiting to hear one thing that Obambi will compromise on to get it passed through the GOP congress. If you think any of them are going to vote for the ultra-liberal give-aways he is planning, you are delusional.

but we needn't worry, Ultra Libs don't get elected. Just ask Presidents Kerry, gore, dukakis, Mcgovern, etc. there was that one mistake with Jimah, but we all know how that turned out. how quickly the brain-dead libs forget.

Posted by: kingofzouk | February 13, 2008 6:49 PM

wonder why zouk is so obssessed with Carter, who has been irrelevant for 30 years?

Posted by: claudialong | February 13, 2008 6:43 PM

I am holding out for Newt as VP, then POTUS in 2012. now that the vampire hildebeast has been staked, we have some hope for the future.

But beware. as any fan of monster movies knows, the monster kills the good looking young thing (played by Obambi) before the hero (McCain) finally dispatches her.

Watch for the usual monster dirty tricks - seating MI and FL, calling in favors, bribes and blackmail on super delegates.

When hill calls him 'all hat and no cattle' to other Dems, all we have to do is play that over and over in the general. At the end we can insert the phrase (I am hillary and I approved this message). even Dems can see he is without actual substance. but that never stopped them. they elected Jimmah didn't they? consider this a bad remake of the first Jimmah monster movie. but this time the hero gets him in time.

Posted by: kingofzouk | February 13, 2008 6:39 PM

The old-guard feminist establishment has also rushed out of cold storage to embrace Hillary Clinton via tremulous manifestoes of gal power that have startlingly exposed the sentimental slackness of thought that made Gloria Steinem and company wear out their welcome in the first place. Hillary's gonads must be sending out sci-fi rays that paralyze the paleo-feminist mind -- because her career, attached to her husband's flapping coattails, has sure been heavy on striking pious attitudes but ultra-light on concrete achievements.

Camille has a way with words

http://www.salon.com/opinion/paglia/2008/02/13/political_wars/

News flash - loony drindl is not going to vote for McCain. stop the presses.

Posted by: kingofzouk | February 13, 2008 6:22 PM

Well so much for McCain's integrity. He said, oh maybe a week or so ago, that we was against torture. But now he's flipflopped again and voted for torture today, to please the bloodthirsty sadistic base.

Too bad. Every day he loses more independent voters.

Posted by: claudialong | February 13, 2008 6:18 PM

Another good day on the market. It seems the people are beggining to realize that the clinton nightmare is almost over and the possibility of baby Obambi getting elected and ruining the economy is slim. the result is a reversal of the Pelosi recession. the likelihood of another R president is already getting priced into the economy - hence the reversal of the contemplation of a Dem president.

Posted by: kingofzouk | February 13, 2008 6:08 PM

Not Dole; her time has passed.

Bobby Jindal? Great idea, Proud, but are you kidding? He's probably still trying to figure out which dresser drawer he should use to keep his socks in down there in Red Stick, LA. Sanford would be interesting but fiscal conservancy appears to have all the appeal of the bubonic plague within the GOP's inner sanctum. I suspect that McCain will accept whomever they pick out for him.

Anyway, the governors can 'coalesce' (word choice!) around McCain all they want. Governors are far too moderate for the 'fringe'/base; the 'evils' of being an electable politician. Their 'coalescence' won't amount to either a hill of beans or the mountain that CC tries to make it out to be.

Posted by: judgeccrater | February 13, 2008 6:04 PM

anon99- the only potential party crosser is Lieberman. And Libby Dole- are you picking her because she's a woman? Dole is the perfect cautionary tale for anyone who wants to vote for a woman who is largely utilizing her husbands legacy to get ahead politically. She's also organizationally a fiasco being the head of the 2006 Republican Senate campaign and sometimes rumored to be in trouble in a reliably conservative state.

In fact, when my mother surprised me by saying she wantes to vote for Hillary in the primaries because she wouldn't want to give up her chance to vote for a woman I asked "Would you vote similarly for Libby Dole?" That one really threw her off, I assume the answer is no there (she did end up voting for Clinton anyway but Elizabeth Dole is the perfect counter example to the desire to pick a female politician, any female politician attitude that sometimes gets advocates).

Posted by: cmsore | February 13, 2008 5:53 PM

Cillizza forgot another governor that's endorsed McCain:

http://lonewacko.com/blog/archives/007462.html

That's probably McCain's most cherished endorsement so far.

Posted by: LonewackoDotCom | February 13, 2008 5:43 PM

Stonecreek notes
"The exception is MN, but that doesn't look too promising."

It wouldn't be promising in that Pawlenty wouldn't be able to 'deliver' MN in the general election. However, Pawlenty does fit a lot of criteria that McCain presumably seeks; being (in no particular order):
young
reliably conservative
proven executive experience

I think history will demonstrate that Pawlenty has actually created some fiscal problems here in MN, but they're only just becoming evident now; he could certainly run on a McCain ticket this year as a 'successful' no-new-taxes governor.

Posted by: bsimon | February 13, 2008 5:19 PM

BTW, to put this problem in perspective, if you ignore party affiliation, the perfect VP for Obama would be McCain and the perfect VP for McCain would be Obama!

Posted by: anon99 | February 13, 2008 5:16 PM

It depends on who he's facing in November. Either way, it's got to be a safe pair of hands to neutralize the age issue. If he's facing Hillary, he's got more room to maneuver. But if he's facing Obama, he's got to pick a transformational figure. Palin would be great if she were governor of Alabama instead of Alaska. If he needs a transformational VP, he's probably going to have to go outside the circle of Governors. Elizabeth Dole, maybe, if she were 10 years younger.

Posted by: anon99 | February 13, 2008 5:12 PM

"McCain probably would benefit from having a 'blue state' or 'swing state' governor as his running mate"

Agreed, but outside of Ahnold (who is ineligible), there aren't any. Look at Chris' list. They're mostly all red staters and from small red states to boot. The exception is MN, but that doesn't look too promising.

I like the idea of Huntsman. He would be a sort of surrogate for Romney: Mormon and filthy rich. He can finance his own 527 group and his candidacy would reassure the Mormons that they (and their money) have a home in the Republican party.

Posted by: Stonecreek | February 13, 2008 5:06 PM

USMC, I agree with you about Sanford, but Bobby Jindal is also a rising star and would add a lot to the ticket. I hope his name comes up at the meeting.

Posted by: proudtobeGOP | February 13, 2008 5:05 PM

Put Sarah Palin on the ticket. She's pretty hot, and that would probably attract a lot of moderates. I wish I were joking, but it's probably true that it would be a factor for voters. Also, it would neutralize the Hillary first woman thing and maybe attract some female voters.

Posted by: freedom41 | February 13, 2008 4:48 PM

It's practically impossible for McCain to lose the nomination at this point. Of course Republican elected officials are supporting him; they'll always support their party's nominee. If this had happened one or two months ago, it would be news. But right now, it's pretty meaningless.

Posted by: Blarg | February 13, 2008 4:45 PM

"If he goes too far right to please the base, he's going to lose the independents who have propelled him forward in the primaries."

Agreed. McCain's "I am so a good conservative" bleats are not going to get him the indy votes he will clearly need to win in November.

Posted by: Spectator2 | February 13, 2008 4:44 PM

McCain probably would benefit from having a "blue state" or "swing state" governor as his running mate if he wants to be compete for swing voters. He also needs someone younger on the ticket.

Posted by: harlemboy | February 13, 2008 4:40 PM

Governors may be endorsing McCain, but he needs to be aware of the fine line he's walking. If he goes too far right to please the base, he's going to lose the independents who have propelled him forward in the primaries. If the base doesn't end up buying his "reformed conservative" argument, then they could end up sitting on their hands on election day (seeing as how they seem okay with the idea of a President Obama).

Beyond all that, this election is apparently going to have a lot to do with the economy, something McCain doesn't have the best track record with.

excerpted from: http://politicalmaelstrom.blogspot.com/2008/02/if-economy-got-vote.html

Posted by: lostinmyownhead | February 13, 2008 4:27 PM

I'd be interested to see what Mark Sanford (SC) does.

Posted by: USMC_Mike | February 13, 2008 4:14 PM

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