Republicans:

Alabama Huckabee
Alaska Romney
Arizona McCain
Arkansas Huckabee
California Romney
Colorado Romney
Connecticut McCain
Delaware McCain
Georgia McCain
Illinois McCain
Massachusetts Romney
Minnesota McCain
Missouri Huckabee
Montana Romney
New Jersey McCain
New York McCain
North Dakota Romney
Oklahoma McCain
Tennessee McCain
Utah Romney
West Virginia Huckabee

Totals:

562 McCain
350 Romney
126 Huckabee

Democrats:

Alabama Obama
Alaska Clinton
American Samoa Obama
Arizona Obama
Arkansas[33] Clinton
California[34] Obama
Colorado[35] Clinton
Connecticut[36] Clinton
Delaware Clinton
Democrats Abroad Clinton
Georgia[37] Obama
Idaho[38] Obama
Illinois Obama
Kansas Obama
Massachusetts Clinton
Minnesota[36] Clinton
Missouri Obama
New Jersey Clinton
New Mexico Obama
New York[39] Clinton
North Dakota Clinton
Oklahoma Clinton
Tennessee Clinton
Utah Clinton

Totals:

545 Clinton
1143 Obama

Storyline:

"McCain and Clinton both slip. McCain fairs worse than expected and Romney wins California to stay in. Obama's narrow win in California Sets up a Huge Super Tuesday win and catapults him into the lead."

Hey guys and gals, I know we are all expecting and counting, because we worry about today and tomorrow, but I'm telling you, we should worry about past tomorrow. It seems that Hillary will get away with her wish of sitting Michigan and Florida delegates at the national convention. She won and she will fight for this. I just heard Howard Dean tell Mathews that he cannot decide, that it will be the licencing commitee or something like that that will decide just before the convention if these delegates can be seated. Mathews pressed him saying that if this was autherized it would be as originally decided and that perhaps this would be illegal. Dean said that he could not do anything about it. I feel that he and the rest are sold to Hillary. See, Hillary is fighting this point, because she feels she is loosing that she will need those delegates to win the nomination. Are we going to allow it? What we could do for today and tomorrow it's done, we should start looking ahead.

Nomination in hand, McCain offers msheik the Veep slot; msheik declines, opting for more-coveted Fix T-Shirt instead.

Clinton - 762 delegates
AR, AZ, DE, MA, NJ, NY, OK, TN & American Samoa

Obama - 919 delegates
AK, AL, CA, CO, CT, GA, ID, IL, KS, MN, MO, ND, NM, UT

Storyline - Obama surge overcomes once strong Clinton national numbers; Obama has huge momentum going into Mid-Atlantic primaries

I don't know about state-by-state, blow-by-blow, but here's my storylines:

DEMS
Obama and Hillary come out roughly even with Hillary having a slight edge in delegates. The race continues neck-and-neck through to the Convention.

REPUBS
Romney scores some surprising upsets as many Republicans cannot bring themselves to vote for that Lefty McCain.

McCain is angered by Mitten's surge. In fit of rage, he pummels Romney with his fists on national TV thus finally endearing himself to the conservative base.

After McCain administers this savage beating it's a cakewalk to the Nomination ! ! !

Republicans

McCain wins: Arizona,California,Connecticut,Delaware,
Georgia,Illinois,Minnesota,Missouri,New Jersey,New York,Oklahoma and Tennessee. (599 delegates)

Romney wins: Alaska,Colorado,Massachusets,Montana,North Dakota,Utah and West Virginia. (342 delegates)

Huck wins:
Alabama and Arkansas. (91 delegates)

Democrats

Clinton wins: Arkansas,California,Connecticut,Delaware,
Massachusets,New Jersey,Minnesota,New Mexico,New York,Oklahoma and Tennessee. (915 delegates)

Obama wins: Alabama,Alaska,Arizona,Colorado,Georgia,
Idaho,Illinois,Kansas,Missouri,North Dakota and Utah (755 delegates)

Mike Gravel gets 1 delegate from Alaska, and Ron Paul gets 6 delegates.

Storyline: McCain wins but doesn't get the K.O. win he was probably hoping for. Romney wins several states and comes close in California and several other states, vows to continue bid. Mike Huckabee's dissapointing showing causes him to drop out. Can McCain win against unified opposition?

Clinton surprises many by coming back and winning the majority of delegates, and holding on in CA,CT etc. Obama stays in and the upcoming states seem to favor him.

Clinton states:
Arkansas
New Jersey
New York
Oklahoma
Tennessee

Clinton delegates: 740

Obama states:
Alabama
Alaska
American Samoa
Arizona
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
Democrats Abroad
Georgia
Idaho
Illinois
Kansas
Massachusetts
Minnesota
Missouri
New Mexico
North Dakota
Utah

Obama delegates: 941

-------------------------

McCain states:
Arizona
California
Connecticut
Delaware
Illinois
Minnesota
Missouri
New York
New Jersey
Oklahoma
Tennessee

McCain delegates: 728

Romney states:
Alaska
Colorado
Massachusetts
Montana
North Dakota
Utah

Romney delegates: 212

Huckabee states:
Alabama
Arkansas
Georgia
West Virginia*

*(already called for Huckabee)

Huckabee delegates: 98

Tomorrow's headline: Obama, McCain win in California and bellwether Missouri; Obama stuns Clinton in South and West; McCain close to clinching nomination; Huckabee vows to continue campaign

Clinton (922 delegates): AZ, AR, CA, CT, DE, KS, MA, MO, MN, ND, NM, NY, OK

Obama (738 delegates): AL, AK, CO, GA, ID, IL, NJ, UT, TN

Storyline: Obama shows strength, but early voting carries Clinton to surprisingly large win in California.

McCain (600): CA, CO, CT, DE, GA, IL, MA, MO, MN, MT, NJ, NM, NY, OK

Romney (80): AZ, ID, KS, UT

Huckabee (200): AL, AR, ND, TN, WV

Paul: AK

Story: McCain the clear favorite to the nomination, Romney done as he only takes states with large Mormon populations, and Huckabee shows strong among evangelicals, prompting 3rd party run speculation.

Storyline: It's down to a two-man (wait, that's the old politics) two-person race, as Hillary squeeks by Obama in most states, and McCain gets more delegates than Romney and Huckabee combined despite slightly more delegates for Romney in California. Huckabee's strength in South and Obama's in Republican leaning states and youth vote suggest tickets are ready now-let the general election begin.

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY RESULTS
McCain wins: New York, New Jersey, Illinois, Massachusetts, Missouri, Oklahoma, Arizona, Connecticut, North Dakota and Delaware: Total 590

Romney wins: California (87/83), Alabama, Utah, Montana: Total 228

Huckabee wins: West Virginia (a cheating prediction-results just announced)Tennessee, Arkansas: Total 109

Splits between McCain and Romney: Georgia (27/27-H 18), Tennessee (13-13 H 26)

DEMOCRAT PRIMARY RESULTS
Rodham Clinton wins: California, New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Tennessee, Oklahoma, Arizona, Connecticut, New Mexico: Total 1049

Obama wins: Illinois, Georgia, Alabama, Missouri, Utah, Arkansas, Colorado, Kansas, Minnesota, North Dakota, Idaho: Total 580.

Results do not add to total delegates selected because some not subject to voting selection.

Edwards wins: My mother in law's vote cast four weeks ago before he dropped out.

Clinton: NY, NJ, TN, NM, MN, OK, AR, CA, MA, AS, AZ

Obama: ID, CO, KA, AL, GA, ND, IL, CT, DE, UT, Democrats Abroad, AK, MO

Storyline: Early voting wins California for Clinton. Latino vote stays with Clinton, but Kennedy's endorsement makes MA much closer than expected. Obama wins only about 50 fewer delegates, continues gaining on Clinton through more momentum and more money. The race is a toss-up.

Republicans

McCain: NY, NJ, AZ, CT, IL, OK, DE, AL, MO, MN

Romney: CA, CO, AK, UT,

Huckabee: GA, WV

Storyline: Romney wins California to stay in the race, but McCain still is considered the overall winner. Huckabee continues to play the spoiler that prevents a coalition against McCain, as Dobson's followers refuse to listen to him.

========
==Dems==
========
Clinton: New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Oklahoma, Arkansas, New Mexico, Arizona, Tennessee (Delegates=779)

Obama: Alabama, Alaska, California, Colorado, Delaware, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Kansas, Maryland, Massachusetts, North Dakota (Delegates=902)

Storyline: Obama loses narrowly in big states but scores decisive victories elsewhere, heads into Ohio and Texas with real momentum.

=======
==GOP==
=======
McCain: Alaska, Arizona, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Illinois, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, New Jersey, New York, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Rhode Island, Tennessee (Delegates=705)

Romney: California, Colorado, Massachusetts, Montana, Utah (Delegates=243)

Huckabee: Alabama, Arkansas, West Virginia (already won by this point), Delegates=90
Storyline: McCain wins big on the East Coast, nomination all but wrapped up

FINAL SUPER TUESDAY PREDICTION (after all votes counted):

Democratic:

Clinton (13 states, 868 delegates): AZ, AR, CA, CT, DE, KS, MA, MN, NJ, NM, NY, OK, TN

Obama (9 states, 813 delegates): AL, AK, CO, GA, ID, IL, MO, ND, UT

Republican:

McCain (13 states, 678 delegates): CA, AL, AZ, CT, DE, GA, IL, MO, MN, NJ, NM, NY, OK

Romney (9 states, 286 delegates): CO, ID, KS, MA, UT, MT, ND, WV, AK

Huckabee (2 states, 74 delegates): AR, TN

Headline: "McCain Has a SUPER Tuesday," "Democrats Have a SUPER Nail-Biter; Clinton Ahead, But Results from California and Missouri Still Too Close to Call; Obama's Momentum May Be Impossible to Break by Feb. 12th"

John McCain: (682) Alabama, Arizona, California, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Illinois, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, New Jersey, New York, Oklahoma, Tennessee.
Mitt Romney: (237) Alaska, Colorado, Massachussetts, North Dakota, Utah.
Mike Huckabee: (82) Arkansas, West Virginia.
Hillary Rodham Clinton: (759) Alaska, Arkansas, Delaware, Massachussetts, Minnesota, New Jersey, New York, Oklahoma, Tennessee.
Barack Obama: (919) Alabama, Arizona, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Kansas, Missourri, New Mexico, North Dakota, Tennessee, Utah
"Republicans begin the General election race while the Democrats have a long way to go."

Dems:
Hillary: AL, AZ, AR, CA, CT, DE, MA, MO, NM, NJ, NY, OK, TN & Samoa (851 delegates)

Obama: AK, CO, GA, ID, IL, KS, MN, ND, UT (830 delegates)

Story: Clinton wins more states after very late calls in CA, AZ, and MO. The delegate count is about even, though, giving Obama a much-needed draw that makes this truly an open race as well as continuing momentum heading into the Feb. 9-12 states.

GOP:
McCain: AL, AK, AZ, CA, CT, DE, GA, IL, MN, MO, NJ, NY, OK, TN, WV (621 delegates)

Romney: CO, MA, MT, ND, UT (268 delegates)

Huckabee: AR (112 delegates)

Story: McCain laps the field, and ends the night two-thirds of the way to the nomination. Out of money and way behind, the exits of Romney and Huckabee are inevitable.

Obama: Alabama, Arizona, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Georgia, Illinois, Kansas, Missouri, New Mexico, Utah
845 Delegates

Clinton: Alaska, Arkansas, Delaware, Idaho, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Dakota, New Jersey, New York, Oklahoma, Tennesee
835 Delegates
Democrat Story: Delegates virtually split across the board. Candidates march on to next

McCain: Alabama, Arizona, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Minnesota, Missouri, North Dakota, New Jersey, New York, Oklahoma
522
Romney: Alaska, California, Colorado, Georgia, Massachusetts, Montana, Tennessee, Utah
500
Huckabee: Arkansas, West Virginia
52 Delegates
Republican Story: Conservative wing of the party keeps Romney alive. Republican race will continue...

McCain: 9 states
AK, AZ, CA, CT, DE, GA, IL, NJ, NY

Romney: 6 states
CO, MA, MN, MT, ND, UT

Huckabee: 6 states
AL, AR, MO, OK, TN, WV

Delegate count:
McCain: 481
Romney: 288
Huckabee: 253
Paul: 16

Storyline: "McCain carries the most number of states; but fails to win a majority of them. However, he emerges as the clear front runner. Huckabee's assertion that Romney is taking votes from him is vindicated in the exit polls."

Storyline:

LYLEPINK MOVES HIS FEB.5 CUTOFF PREDICTION UNTIL MARCH 4.
Posted by: rfpiktor | February 5, 2008 10:15 AM
---------------------------------------- -----------------------------------
Story Line: "Obama falls far short of expectations by winning only seven of the Super Dooper Tuesday states." The Media, and their Pundits have once again failed miserably, but they can console themselves knowing the polling community did an even worse job. Hillary will once again be declared the frontrunner.

Posted by: lylepink | February 5, 2008 11:27 AM

Only "The Frontrunner"?

The Billarys are not ready on Feb.5, when, then, when?

Democrats:

Obama: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Kansas, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Missouri, New Mexico, North Dakota, Utah: 874 delegates

Clinton: Arkansas, New Jersey, New York, Oklahoma, Tennessee: 810 delegates

Headline: Obama wave washes over Clinton sand castle fortress

---- --

McCain: Arizona, Connecticut, Illinois, Minnesota, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Tennessee
Romney:Alaska, California, Colorado, Delaware, Masachusetts, Missouri, Montana, North Dakota, Utah
Huckabee: Alabama, Georgia, Oklahoma, West Virginia

Delegates: McCain 435, Romney 286, Huckabee 200

Headline: Not so fast, the confusion continues

It looks like Huckabee just won West Virginia.

CLINTON

Alaska
American Samoa
Arkansas
Kansas
Massachusetts
New Mexico
New York
Oklahoma
Tennessee

Delegates: 710

OBAMA

Alabama
Arizona
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
(Democrats Abroad)
Georgia
Idaho
Illinois
Minnesota
Missouri
New Jersey
North Dakota
Utah

Delegates: 978

Story: Obama Wave Drowning Clinton, Picks Up Support Coast-to-Coast, Both Claim Victory; Rest of February Doesn't Look Good For Clinton, Race Comes To D.C.; Edwards To Endorse Obama; McCain Wins Big Including Upset in MA, Nut-Cases Pissed; Ron Paul Wins Alaska

Phew, that was hard.

Obama: CA, IL, GA, NM, AK, NJ, MA, CO, KS, MN, ID, AL, MO, UT (14 States, 892 Delegates)

Clinton: AR, NY, TN, AZ, ND, CT, DE, OK (8 States, 798 Delegates)

Still no decisive front runner, but Obama camp confident heading into potomac primary that seems to favor him.

McCain: AK, AZ, CO, CT, DE, IL, MI, MO, MT, NJ, NY, ND, OK, TN, WV

Romney: CA, GA, MA, UT

Huckabee: AL, AR

Game Over. Romney and Huckabee drop out.

Obama: AK, AZ, CA, DE, GA, ID, IL, KS, MO, ND, MA, UT = 870 Delegates

Clinton: AL, AR, CN, CO, MN, NJ, NM, NY, OK, TN = 811 delegates

"Obama solidifies front-runner status but Clinton is still hanging around."

McCain: AL, AZ, CA, CO, CN, DE, GA, IL, MO, MN, NJ, NM, NY, OK, TN, MT, WV = 886 Delegates = 886

Romney: MA, UT = 98 Delegates

Huckabee: AR = 54 Delegates

"McCain wraps up the nomination and redeems himself after an 8 year wait."

DEMS
Obama- AL, AK, Samoa, CO, GA, ID, IL, KS, MN, ND, UT (811)
Clinton- AZ, AR, CA, CT, DE, MA, MO, NJ, NM, NY, OK, TN (870)

"Super Tuesday leaves race unsettled; Candidates scramble on to next contests with Obama's momentum."

REPUBS
McCain- AK, Samoa, AZ, CO, CT, DE, GA, IL, MA, MO, NJ, NY, MN, MT, TN (700)
Romney- AL, CA, ND, OK, UT, WV (288)
Huckabee- AR (50)

"McCain near nomination, but Romney keeps hope alive with California win."

Clinton: Arkansas, California, Delaware, Massachusetts, New York, New Jersey, Oklahoma, Tennessee

Obama: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Colorado, Connecticut, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, New Mexico, North Dakota

McCain: Alabama, Arizona, California, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Illinois, Kansas, Minnesota, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oklahoma, Tennessee, West Virginia

Romney: Colorado, Massachusetts, Montana, Utah

Huckabee: Arkansas

McCain sweeps, Dems split, but the Obama surge is real; watch out Chesapeake Bay!

HRC=NY, Missouri, Tenn., Az., Colo., Ark., Ok., N.M. (Total=779)

Obama= Cal., Ill., NJ, Mass., GA., Minn., Ala., Conn., KS., Utah, Del., Id., N.D., AK.
(Total=902)

Prepare for a protracted fight going well into March.

Clinton: New York, Arkansas, Oklahoma, Connecticut, New Mexico, Missouri, New Jersey, Tennessee, American Samoa - 808 delegates

Obama: Illinois, Georgia, Minnesota, North Dakota, Kansas, Colorado, Idaho, Massachusetts, California, Alabama, Arizona, Utah, Alaska - 889 delegates

Obama's margin of victory is narrow, but California upset is touted. Clinton's American Samoa win not sufficient to claim momentum.

cc sorry dude as a busy college student whoes mothers birthday happens o fall (unexpectedly) on the highlight of my year i have no time to breakdown state by state delegate totals so ill just give youe a storyline you should here but probably wont tomorrow from wolf blitzer

wolf- the race to the white house is shaping up to be strangly parralle to the 6th season of the west wing! the real question is who is matt santos and who i bob russel... i think we know who john hoynes is

Guys make sure you check out the article "The Intoxication of Inspiration" on the blogzine SAVAGE POLITICS (not related to Mike Savage) at www.savagepolitics.com. It is awesome......everyone should read it before voting.

Obama: AL,CA,CO,CT,DE,GA,ID,IL,KS,MA,MN,MO,ND,UT-858

Clinton:
AK,AR,AZ,NJ,NM,NY,OK,TN-823

McCain:
AK,AZ,CT,DE,GA,IL,MN,MO,MT,NJ,NY,ND,OK-625

Romney:
CA,CO,MA,UT-278

Huckabee:
AL,AR,WV,TN-135

Storyline: GOP race over, Romney and Huckabee drop out. Conservative talking heads chew the carpet.

Nothing settled for Dems.

http://whathappenedtomycountry.blogspot.com

I posted the Dems race earlier, but left out American Samoa and North Dakota (both Obama)

For the GOP:

McCain: Everything except Utah, Massachusetts and Colorado. California is close, though.

Delegates:
799 McCain
239 Romney

Storyline:
The Fix Winners and Losers:
Losers - longtime conservative pundits (sorry Limbaugh and Coulter), self-financed candidates (sorry Bloomberg), and single-constituency candidates (sorry Huckabee).
Winners - GOP moderates, momentum, and Gezi.

Added headline: polling found worthless as many results don't follow predictions. It's better to consult your granny.....

CLINTON: Arizona, Arkansas, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oklahoma, Tennessee, North Dakota, Idaho

OBAMA: Alabama, California, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Illinois, Missouri, Massachusetts, Utah, Alaska, Colorado, Minnesota, American Samoa, Kansas

Delegates:
Clinton: 771
Obama: 910

Storyline: Tsunami leaves Hillary high and dry. Bill floats out to sea. Obama enjoys tropical sunshine.

Hillary: AK, AZ, AR, DE, MN, MO, NJ, NY, OK, TN, Samoa (900 delegates)

Obama: KS, MA, AL, CA, CO, CT, GA, ID, IL, NM, UT, Americans Abroad (780 delegates)

Headline: Dem battle continues to Mid-Atlantic next Tuesday. Fight becomes bloody, both remain unbowed

McCain: AZ, CT, DE, IL, MN, NJ, NY, ND, OK, RI (550 delegates)

Romney: AK, CA, CO, GA, MA, UT, WV, MT, ND (320 delegates)

Huckabee: AL, AR, MO, TN (250 delegates)

Republican race is a muddled as ever with Huckabee resurfacing. Romney buoyed by CA win and Conservative commentators sharpen their knives against McCain. Anointment postponed

Democrats

Clinton (875)
Arizona, Arkansas, California, Connecticut, Delaware, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Missouri, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Utah

Obama (816)

Alabama, Alaska, American Samoa, Colorado, Democrats Abroad, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois
Kansas, North Dakota

Clinton narrowly wins most of the close ones in a rerun of NH (AZ, CA, CT, MA, MO, MN). Obama has a financial advantage and Clinton partially blunts his momentum. Everyone looks ahead to the Feb. 12 and Mar. 4 primaries.

Republicans: McCain wins big enough to essentially wrap it up, Rush Limbaugh has an aneurysm.

Democrats

Clinton (900)
Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Connecticut, Delaware, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Missouri,
New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oklahoma
Tennessee, American Samoa

Obama (791)

Alaska, Colorado, Georgia,Idaho, Illinois
Kansas, North Dakota, Utah

Clinton wins more states and delegates but Obama is right behind

Republicans

Huckabee (100)

Arkansas

McCain (575)

Alabama, Arizona, Connecticut, Delaware, Minnesota, Missouri, New Jersey
New York, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Georgia
Illinois

Romney (348)

California, Massachusetts, West Virginia, Montana, Alaska, Colorado, North Dakota, Utah

Romney wins California takes away McCain's frontrunner status

Democrats

Obama (total delegates 862):
Illinois by 31, Georgia 17, Utah 16, Kansas 12, Alaska 12, Idaho 11, Colorado 8, North Dakota 5, Connecticut 3, Alabama 2, New Mexico 2, Delaware 1, California 1.

Clinton (total delegates 819):
Arkansas by 22%, Oklahoma 12, New York 11, Tennessee 7, New Jersey 5, Minnesota 5, Massachussets 4, Arizona 3, Missouri 2

Expect California to be very very tight. They still might not know the result in the morning.

Republicans
McCain will be as good as the nominee...even if the other two haven't dropped out their campaigns will be pretty much over. Can't be bothered doing margins.

McCain (total delegates 689)
I think he'll win all states except those below

Romney (total delegates 242)
Massachussets, Utah, Colorado, North Dakota, Montana

Huckabee (total delegates 107)
Arkansas, Alabama

HEADLINES: For Obama and Clinton the fight goes on, but Romney and Huckabee both drop out as McCain wins the nomination. Obama wins California....eventually!

ok ill bite with my predictions

Headline for tomorrow's newspapers

Obamamaina runs wild on super tuesday.
wins outright-KS,AK,ID,ND,MN,UT,AL,GA,IL,CO
suprise wins-CT,MASS,MO,and AZ
barely wins-California

Hillary vows to fight on,but the door to the nomination is closing rapidly
wins-NY,NJ,ARK,NMX,OK,TN,DE
barely wins dems abroad

Fractured GOP produces 3 reigonal front runners

the south "hearts" huckabee
wins-GA,AL,TN,AR,OK

straight talk express nearly derails in the west
McCain-AZ,NY,NJ,CT,MASS

Romney loses home state-should have stayed in MI
Romney wins-CA,ID,UT,KS,MO,ND,IL

ron paul finally wins 1-AK

Dems
Obama: Georgia, Alabama, Connecticut, Massacheusetts, Missouri, Illinois, Kansas, Minnesota, North Dakota, Idaho, Utah, Colorado, California, Alaska (908 delgates)

Clinton: New York, New Jersey, Delaware, Tennessee, Oklahoma, Arkansas, New Mexico, Arizona (782 delegates)

Storyline: Obama the clear front-runner. Clinton camp maintains they always expected the race to go through Pennsylvania. Reminds everyone that Michigan and Florida should count for Clinton's totals, too.

GOP
McCain: New York, New Jersey, Delaware, Connecticut, Alabama, Tennessee, Missouri, Illinois, Minnesota, Arizona (655 delegates)

Romney: Massachusetts, West Virginia, Georgia, Montana, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Colorado, Utah, Alaska, California
(263 delegates)

Huckabee: Arkansas (105 delegates)

Storyline: Romney staves off elimination by winning California. His campaign team privately curses the large number of winner-take-all states in the northeast. Huckabee drops out, endorses McCain. Contest ends Feb. 12 in Potomac primary.

-- Brendan
Williamsburg, VA

I think Billary will win in California, and in NY. Obama in Illinois. McCain will win in CA. Romney in NY ánd IL. The rest could go any way.
I think the real story coming out of Super Tuesday is that there will still be a story on Super Wednesday. TX and OH will still be up for grabs. On the other hand, all the candidates now look just alike. The only thing that differentiates Obama and Clinton is sex and skin color, both topics are taboo in their party, so there are no real issues. Romney and McCain have even less differences. And they all have the same opinions, so who cares? The Iraq War and Immigration; tell me who is different really. We'll be in Iraq as long as Israel and Saudi Arabia tell us to stay. All 4 candidates want to throw open the borders to ultra-cheap labor from abroad.

THE REAL STORY: What will happen OUTSIDE the Republican and Democratic parties, once the public finds that the duo-party platform has already been decided. Will it be four more Years of Four More Years, or will the people opt out. All the 4 candidates have rotten stories linked to them. The proposed alternatives were hideous. Will a third party form? Will McCain die before or after he is nominated? Will the conventions be rumped, and who will do it, and how? Stay tuned, it's far from over tomorrow.

Clinton will win: Arkansas, California (but by a small enough margin to allow Obama to practically declare victory), Connecticut by a nose, New Jersey by a hair, New Mexico, New York by a smaller than expected margin, Oklahoma, Tennessee

Obama will win: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Colorado, Delaware by a nose, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois by a huge margin, Kansas by a huge margin, Massachusetts by a hair, Minnesota, Missouri by a hair, North Dakota, Utah

Headline: Obama sweeps through red states and takes a bite out of Northeast and Southwest, well-positioned to sweep remaining February states, gains momentum in Ohio and Texas to lead to his nomination.

Republicans: McCain wins every state except Arkansas, names Huckabee as running mate. Mitt Romney schedules town hall meeting and cries like a baby.

Further prediction: the Obama-McCain battle inspires millions of new voters to come to the polls, and Obama wins a decisive victory, turning several red states blue.

NOTE: You can't get 1681 delegates without counting Samoa as the 23rd state up for grabs.

Clinton wins 15 states: CA, NY, NJ, MO, MN, TN, AZ, AL, CT, OK, AR, KS, UT, ID, DE -- total delegates: 868

Obama wins 8 states: IL, MA, GA, CO, NM, ND, AK, Samoa, UT -- total delegates: 813

Storyline: Clinton wins split decision, but not by enough. Obama expected to take over lead in coming primaries that are more favorable to his message and demographic.

Obama: Alabama, Colorado, Georgia, Idaho, Kansas, Illinois, North Dakota, Utah, California, Arizona, Massachusetts, Missouri

Clinton: Arkansas, Connecticut, Delaware, Minnesota, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Alaska

Obama 910 delegates
Clinton 771

McCain: Alaska, Arizona, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Minnesota, New Jersey, New York, Oklahoma, California, Georgia, Missouri, Tennessee
Romney: Colorado, Massachusetts, Montana, North Dakota, Utah, West Virginia
Huckabee: Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia

McCain 710 delegates
Romney 198
Huckabee 100

Storyline: Obama wins in California, picks up momentum from endorsements in key states...the wave continues to build.

McCain rolls to big victory, the primary is effectively over.

Obama - Alabama, Alaska, Colorado, Deleware, Georgia, Idaho, IL, Kansas, Minnesota, North Dakota, Utah

Clinton - Arizona, Arkansas, Conneticut, MA, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Missouri, California

Clinton 854 delegate; Obama 827 delegates

11 States each. Clinton ekes out must win in CA due to early voting, while Obama wins voting in CA on Feb 5th. Clinton stronger in primary states, Obama in caucus states. Clinton edges Obama in delegates, but Obama in good shape because 1) upcoming Potamic primary should favor him; 2) he has an advantage in the money race; and 3) slower schedule favors him. No frontrunner!!

Obama: Alabama, Alaska, Colorado, Democrats Abroad, Georgia, Idaho, Kansas, Illinois, North Dakota, Utah
Clinton: Arizona, Arkansas, California, Connecticut, Delaware, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Missouri, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oklahoma, Tennessee

Obama 845 delegates
Clinton 836

McCain: Alaska, Arizona, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Minnesota, New Jersey, New York, Oklahoma
Romney: California, Colorado, Massachusetts, Montana, North Dakota, Utah, West Virginia
Huckabee: Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Missouri, Tennessee

McCain 388 delegates
Romney 375
Huckabee 275

No winner after Super Tuesday. Dead heat between Obama and Clinton. Huckabee surprises and prevents McCain's coronation. Most importantly: The Fix t-shirt makes huge success in Sweden!

Oh, one more storyline for the R's - Ron Paul fans consider moving to Alaska.

D's

Obama: Alaska, Colorado, Delaware, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Kansas, Minnesota, North Dakota

Clinton: Alabama, Arkansas, California, Connecticut, Mass, Missouri, New Jersey, New York, New Mexico, OK, Tenn, Utah

Delegates: Obama 836, Clinton 845

Storyline: Lots of states unknown until the following day - no clear winner here. Open question about California absentee ballots: would it have been different if those came in later?

R's

McCain: Alabama, Arizona, California, Connecticut, Missouri, New York, Tennessee, Utah, Montana, WV, Delaware, GA, IL, MN, ND

Romney: Mass, Colorado

Paul: Alaska

Huck: Arkansas, Oklahoma

Storyline: Huck gets as many states as Romney. McCain all alone in the front.

Democrats:
Obama: Alabama,Alaska, Arizona, California (after abentee and early ballots are counted by a smaller margin than what is originally projected) , Colorado, Georgia,Idaho,Illinois,Kansas,Minnesota,Montana,New Mexico,North Dakota,Utah
Clinton: Arkansas, Connecticut,Deleware,Massachussetts,New Jersey,New York, Oklahoma,Tennessee
Obama delegates:875
Clinton delgates: 814
Storyline: Too close to call; The race goes on in primary states; Superdelegates,Superdelegates,
Superdelegates!

Republicans:
McCain: Arizona, Connecticut, Deleware, Illinois,New Jersey,New York,Tennessee
Romney: Alaska, California, Colorado,Deleware,Idaho,Kansas,
Massachussetts,Minnesota,Missouri,Montana,
New Mexico,
North Dakota,Oklahoma,Utah,West Virginia
Huckabee: Alabama,Arkansas,Georgia

McCain Delegates: 550
Romney Delegates: 300
Huckabee Delegates: 188
Storyline: McCain wins a majority of winner take all states; Romney surprises in Missouri and California thanks to talk radio and Huckabee wins in the South--The race moves on with pressure on Huckabee to drop out

B&O Railroad Continues to Build Steam

B. Obama - Minnesota, ND, Georgia, Alabama, Idaho, Kansas, Illinois, Colorado, Utah, Alaska, 827

H. Clinton - NY, NJ, California, Arkansas, NM, Arizona, Delaware, Missouri, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Connecticut 854

Can Buy me Love or When Right is Wrong

Romney is done, McCain marches on and Huck Chuck Wagon stops in Arkansas

Democrats: Obama and Clinton split about evenly, with Obama barely winning California and getting most of the caucus states. Clinton gets about 50 more delegates than Obama because of strong majorities in New York and Arkansas. Story line: And the race goes on.

Republicans: Huckabee carries Arkansas and one other state. Romney does better than expected, although he falls short by 1 percent of winning California because of all those early voters. Story line: Romney does well enough to hang on and to provide an outlet for anti-McCain voters, but the race is still McCain's to lose.

Clinton: Arizona, Arkansas, Delaware, Kansas, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Missouri, New York, Oklahoma, Tennessee (807 delegates)

Obama: Alabama, Alaska, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, New Jersey, New Mexico, Utah (875 delegates)

Storyline: No one clearly wins. "How long will they continue?"

McCain: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, California, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Illinois, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, New Jersey, New York, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Rhode Island, West Virginia (824 delegates)

Romney: Colorado, Massachusetts, Tennessee, Utah (180 delegates)

Huckabee: Arkansas (34 delegates)

Storyline: McCain crushes hopes of other candidates, but both Romney and Huckabee wait a few days before resigning.

Clinton: Mass, New York, New Jersey, Arkansas, Tennessee, Missouri, New Mexico, Arizona, California, Oklahoma

Obama: Connecticut, Illinois, Georgia, Alabama, Kansas, Minnesota, North Dakota, Utah, Colorado, Alaska, Delaware, Idaho

Storyline: Race is Dead-freakin-Even: Brokered Convention Looms?

McCain: Wins everything but MA, UT

Storyline: McCain in a Rout; Victor appears curiosly flustered

Democrats

Clinton
Alaska, Arkansas, Del, CA, NY, NJ, OK, Tenn, CT, Mass, Missouri, NM (891)

Obama
AL, Kansas, GA, ID, Ill, Utah, Col, Minn, AZ, ND (790)

Clinton has slight lead. Convention speculation increases. Edwards courted for endorsement.

Republicans
McCain
NY, NJ, Tenn, OK, AZ, Missouri, CT, Ill, AL, Del. (704)

Romney
CA, WV, Col, Mass, Montana, ND, Utah, AK, Minn (303)

Huckabee
Arkansas (31)

McCain and Romney almost win the same ammt of states but McCain kills him in delegates. McCain is defacto nominee and speculation goes to VP. Speculation quickly moves to Huckabee. Ann Coulter and Rush threaten to move to France if McCain is President.

Clinton:
NY, CT, NJ, DE, AR, MO, MN, MA, AL, TN, ND, MT, ID, KS, OK, CO, NM, UT, AZ, CA, AK
Delegates: 900

Obama:
IL, GA
Delegates 781

Headline: Clinton wins big, but is still neck and neck for those precious delegates.

McCain:
NY, CT, NJ, DE, IL, MO, OK, KS, CO, NM, AZ
Delegates: 588

Romney:
CA, MA, GA, AL, TN, MT, ID, UT, CA
Delegates: 400

Huckebee
AR, WV
Delegates: 50
Headline: Not a runaway for McCain. Still a race for conservative votes.

Obama's column

Alabama
ALaska
Connecticut
Delaware
Georgia
Idaho
Illinois
Kansas
Massachusetts
Minnesota
New Mexico
North Dakota

Race is deadlocked and may be decided by SuperDelegates at Convention.

Clinton Column

Arizona
Arkansas
New Jersey
New York
Oklahoma
Tennessee
Missouri
Utah
California
Colorado

Clinton with Slight lead by 30 Delegates after absentee voters in CA carry her to a win, but Obama has won the expectation games going into the Feb. 12th States and has maintained the momentum.

I.D.: YANK1082

Obama's column( in order of certainty with 1= Most certain & 17 least certain)

11- Alabama
ALaska
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
Georgia
Idaho
Illinois
Kansas
Massachusetts
Minnesota
New Mexico
North Dakota

Race is deadlocked and may be decided by SuperDelegates at Convention.

Clinton Column

Arizona
Arkansas
New Jersey
New York
Oklahoma
Tennessee
Missouri
Utah
California

Clinton with Slight lead by 30 Delegates after absentee voters in CA carry her to a win, but Obama has won the expectation games going into the Feb. 12th States and has maintained the momentum.

Interesting tidbit (AP):

In Topsfield, Mass., where a steady stream of voters filed to a polling place in a cold rain, teacher Marcia Spector, 58, made the "very, very tough" decision to support Obama, reasoning he would be more able than Clinton to win the presidency in the fall. "I just feel that he is dynamic and he is for change," she said. "He doesn't bring the baggage. I think he's more electable, actually."

It was tough, too, for Mary Jordan, 43, a teacher's aide - so tough she didn't make up her mind until she was in the polling booth. Voting Republican, she went for Romney, the state's former governor, because of his business experience, while offering no one a glowing endorsement. "I think he's the least unlikable," she said. "I really didn't like any of them."

Democrats:

Clinton: Alabama, New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Tennessee, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Missouri (v close though) and Arizona (800 delegates).

Obama: California (v close as well), Connecticut, Idaho, Colorado, Minnesota, Kansas, Georgia, North Dakota, Illinois, Delaware, Utah and Alaska (881 delegates).

Story: close run race but California gives Obama the edge.

Republicans

McCain: Georgia, Arizona, New York, New Jersey, Oklahoma, Minnesota, Illinois, Connecticut, Delaware, Montana and Missouri (668 delegates).

Romney: Idaho, Colorado, Massachusetts, North Dakota, Utah, Alaska and California (280 delegates).

Huckabee: Arkansas, Tennessee, Alabama and West Virginia (90 delegates).

Story: McCain close to getting nomination, Huckabee makes strong case for being running mate. Romney continues because of California.

Obama: Alabama, Alaska, California, Connecticut, Colorado, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, North Dakota, Utah. (13 states 820 Delegates)

Clinton: Arizona, Arkansas, Delaware, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Massachusetts, Oklahoma, Tennessee. (9 states 840 Delegates)

11 Delegates for other candidates.

Storyline: Although Clinton gets the most Delegates but Obama wins the most states, pulls off a shocker in California, and has the Momentum.

DEMOCRATS-

Obama - 837 delegates - Alabama, Arizona, Colorado, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Kansas, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Missouri, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Utah

Clinton - 861 delegates - Alaska, Arkansas, Califonia, Connecticut, Delaware, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York

Obama surges ahead to take a majority of states. Only Clinton's big lead in New York gives her the delegate edge for the night. Momentum is clearly on Obama's side as mid-western and southern states all line up for Obama.

REPUBLICANS-

McCain - 711 delegates - Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Illinois, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, New Jersey, New York, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Tennessee, West Virginia

Romney - 238 delegates - Alabama, Massachusetts, Utah

Huckabee - 74 delegates - Arkansas

Romney is close in many states, but winner take all formats give lopsided delegate victory to McCain. The fat lady is on stage, and she's not in the Mormon Tabernacle Choir. Huckabee vows to continue on.

I'm not sure how to handle states with no pledged delegates.

Hillary wins:
AR
CA
MA
MN
NJ
NY
OK
TN
854 delegates

Barack wins:
AL
AK
AZ
CO
CT
DE
GA
ID
IL
KS
MO
NM
ND
UT
833 delegates

Despite lower delegate totals, Obama appears strong based on large number of victories in geographically diverse states, fundraising and momentum.

Polls in upcoming states (MD, VA, PA, OH, TX) shift strongly to Obama.

Story Line: "Obama falls far short of expectations by winning only seven of the Super Dooper Tuesday states." The Media, and their Pundits have once again failed miserably, but they can console themselves knowing the polling community did an even worse job. Hillary will once again be declared the frontrunner.

DEMOCRATS -
Obama wins Alabama, Alaska, Colorado, Connecticut, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Kansas, Minnesota, North Dakota, Utah

Clinton wins Arizona, Arkansas, California (barely), Delaware, Massachusetts (barely), Missouri, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oklahoma, Tennessee

Obama wins in delegates 883-850, 8 delegates to other candidates.

STORYLINE - Clinton barely hangs on in California and Massachusetts, but the delegates, and the big mo', are with O.

REPUBLICANS

McCain wins Arizona, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Minnesota, Missouri, New Jersey, New York, Oklahoma, Tennessee, West Virginia

Romney wins Alaska, California (just), North Dakota and Utah

Huckabee wins Alabama and Arkansas

Paul still wins nothing.

Delegates - McCain 566, Romney 319, Huckabee 135, Paul 18.

STORYLINE - McCain romps in delegates, Romney avoids total disaster by squeaking out California.

Obama: CA, ID, MT, CO, AZ, MN, KS, CT, GA, MO, IL, AK -- 899 delegates

Cliton: NM, UT, OK, NY, NJ, WV, AL, TN, AR -- 782 delegates

Story Line: Hispanics warm to Obama, can Hillary stop her slide?

Republican Story Line: Republicans resign themselves to a McCain candidacy, begin looking to rebuild in 2012.

Headline: Meet the Super Delegates! (Oh, yeah, by the way, McCain wins.)

Dems:
Obama: 843 delegates: AL, Samoa, CO, GA, IL, MA, MO, NJ, ND, OK, UT (10)
Clinton: 838 delegates: AK, AZ, AR, CA, CT, DE, Dems Abroad, ID, MN, NM, NY, TN (12)

Hillary wins more states, but fewer delegates. 407 unpledged SuperDelegates come out of Super Tuesday. SuperDelegates hold the key to nomination.

Reps: It's over. It's McCain 725-313.

If you think your paying high taxes now ------------------- Read this and Cry ---- http://www.electionnews2008.com/National%20Taxpayers%20Union%20Only%20Paul%20Would%20Cut%20Spending.htm

Sen. Barack Obama has erased Sen. Hillary Clinton's lead among Democrats nationally, according to a CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll out Monday. The two are in a virtual tie, with Obama at 49 percent and Clinton at 46 percent.

The survey represents a dramatic turnaround in the race from a few months ago when Clinton had a significant edge over Obama.

With 1681 delegates up for grab, what Candidate do you believe will accumulate the most delegates on Super Tuesday?

http://www.youpolls.com/details.asp?pid=1693

.

BHO - ID, UT, ND, KS, OK, MN, MO, TN, AL, GA, MA, DE, IL, 896 dels

HRC - CA, AZ, CO, NM, AR, CT, NJ, NY, AK, 785 dels

Obama's red state strategy works and he virtually sweeps the midwest and south. Big wins in NY & CA for HRC, along with continued Latino support, keep the delegate race close.

Amongst pollsters, Zogby is considered one of the least reliable. Many polls do not accomodate for young voters who have only cell phones. Also, don;t forget the huge number of absentee votes...just like in Florida!

More info here:

http://www.pollster.com/

Clinton:Arkansas,Connecticut,ID,NJ,NY,N.Dakota,
Missouri,Oklahoma,Utah (820 delegates)
Obama:Alabama,Alaska,Arizona,California,Colorado,
Delaware,GA,Illinois,KS,Massachusetts,Michigan,
NewMexico,Tennessee (860 delegates)

StoryLine: Dem campaign intensifies in next
states: Louisiana,DC,Maryland,Virginia,Wisconsin, with Obama getting big new money to fund the battle

I'd be interested in seeing a post from The Fix on the historical accuracy of the respective (and opposite) California polls. I believe Zogby/Reuters has obama up by 13 and Survey USA has Clinton up by 10. Has others have astutely observed one of 'em ain't right. What do we know about the methodology/history of these two polls? What accounts for the big gap?

Obama: Arkansas, Arizona, Delaware, Kansas, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Missouri, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Alaska, Alabama, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Utah (1681 delegates)

Clinton: A BAG OF CHIPS!

OBAMA '08!!!!!

Ah, to be young and a Hill enthusiast:

"(Barack's Georgetown Facebook support group has a much cooler name, of course: "Obama Is a Pi#p.")

I don't just feel the "Hillary effect" on campus. Last summer, upon returning home to Jacksonville, Fla., I ordered a "Hillary Clinton for President" bumper sticker and proudly pasted it onto the back of the family car. In the weeks that followed, nothing changed for me (except for the lovely drivers of northeast Florida who showed their support by raising their middle finger in solidarity)."

Full article:_ _ http://www.slate.com/id/2183594

GOP:

McCain:
AL, AZ, CA, CT, DE, GA, IL, MN, MO, NJ, NY, ND, OK, TN
Total: 702

Romney:
CO, MA, MT, UT
Total: 228

Huckabee:
Arkansas
Total: 90

Alaska: unpledged.

Storyline: McCain wins narrowly in California, but Romney manages to pick off a number of congressional districts. McCain sweeps Northeast, comes very close to taking Massachusetts. Huckabee only wins Arkansas, but manages to pick up some delegates in AL, GA, MO, ND, OK, TN, but nevertheless drops out and endorses McCain. Romney vows to fight on.

The story on the Democratic side is that Hillary takes 950 delgates with Obama getting the rest. Hillary is the big winner, because she wins the vast majority of the states. The fight continues, but the dream begins to fade for Obama.

Hillary - NJ, MI, AL, TN, NY, NJ, CT, AZ, MA, MN, CO, OK, NM, DE, CA, ND and anything else I didn't list below.

Obama - Georgia, Illinois, Idaho, Kansas

On the Republican side Romney takes North Dakota, Utah, and West Virginia. Huckabee does suprisingly well taking Arkansais, Tennesse, Alabama, and Oklahoma. McCain takes the rest. The story of the night is Romney goes home and talk radio falls in love with their final hope Mike Huckabee.

Obama: 852 delegates
GA, AL, CT, DE, IL, MO, NJ, CO, KS, MN, ID, ND, UT, CA, AK

Clinton: 829 delegates
MA, OK, TN, AR, AZ, NM, NY

Natinal Obama surge delivers state and delegate wins; Clinton in "for the long run"

McCain: 477
AZ, AK, CO, CT, DE, IL, MN, MT, NJ, NY, ND

Romney: 238
CA, MA, UT

Huckabee: 323
AL, AR, GA, MO, OK, TN, WV

Conservatives shock McCain campaign in South and California; Romney and Huckabee still in the race

Clinton: Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Delaware, Kansas, Massachusetts, Minnesota, New York, (848 delegates)

Obama: Alabama, Arizona, , , Connecticut, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Missouri, New Jersey, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Utah (843 delegates)

Storyline: Clinton, Obama move forward to next week as race remains locked. Bill Clinton steals the spotlight with comments about Obama. Campaigns poised for more ugliness in the following weeks.

McCain: Alaska, Arizona, California, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Illinois, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, New Jersey, New York, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Rhode Island, Tennessee, West Virginia (705 delegates)

Romney: Colorado, Massachusetts, Utah (213 delegates

Huckabee: Arkansas, Alabama(120 delegates)

Storyline: Voters dismiss criticism from the far right; rally behind McCain.

Obama: California, Delaware, Idaho, Missouri, Colorado, Kansas, Illinois, Georgia, Alaska, Minnesota, New Jersey. 940 Delegates

Clinton: Arizona, Utah, New Mexico, North Dakota, Oklahoma,, Arkansas, Tennessee, Alabama, New York, Massachusetts, Connecticut. 741 Delegates

"Momentum shifts to Obama"

McCain: Arizona, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Minnesota, Missouri, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oklahoma

Romney: Alaska, California,, Kansas, Idaho, Massachusetts, Montana, Utah

Huckabee: Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Tennessee,

Delegates: McCain - 739, Romney - 198, Huckabee - 101

Huckabee endorses McCain; Limbaugh and Coulter marry and move to France

Clinton: Arizona, Arkansas, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New York, Oklahoma, Tennessee (781 delegates)

Obama: Alaska, Alabama, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Kansas, Missouri, Minnesota, New Mexico, Utah (900 delegates)

Storyline: Clinton campaign "electability" claims belied by California loss and wide victories for Obama in red states.

CLINTON- NY, MASSACHUSETTS,ARK., NEW JERSEY, TENNESSEE, MN, OK, NM, AK

OBAMA- CONNECTICUT, DE, GA, BAMA (BARELY!) IL, MO, ND, KS, CO, ID, UT AZ, CA

Two story lines, the first is how Clinton will be an early front runner on the East coast and the shift to Obama as the night goes on. the second is how Cali won't be called for Obama till about 3 am on the east coast. obama 915 clinton 766.

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY:

Storyline: Obama will generally do better than expected even a week ago, but will disappoint those of us hoping for a huge upset. He'll win most of the caucus states with solid majorities, win Illinois and Georgia by at least 20 points, and will eke out victories in Alabama and Delaware. Clinton will outperform the more pro-Obama polls in every northeastern state except New York. She'll win Arkansas by 20 points and New York by 15; she'll barely win Missouri and Minnesota, and will win California by .5%

Obama will win:

Illinois by 30 (% popular vote)
Georgia by 25
Alaska by 15
Idaho by 12
North Dakota by 10
Utah by 19
Kansas by 6
Colorado by 5
Alabama by 2
Delaware by 1

Clinton will win:

Arkansas by 25
Tennessee by 17
New York by 15
Oklahoma by 10
Massachusetts by 10
New Jersey by 10
Arizona by 8
New Mexico by 5
Connecticut by 4
Minnesota by 2
Missouri by 2
California by .5

In terms of delegate count, although Clinton will win more states, Obama's large margins in Illinois and Georgia will give him more delegates overall. He'll come away with 846 to Hillary's 835.

GOP predictions
Romney only wins UT, CO & MA.
Delegate counts:
McCain: 883
Romney: 197

Storyline: Romney's promised surprise never materializes. People are suprised he doesn't drop out.

Clinton:, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Connecticut, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Minnesota, Massachusetts, Missouri, American Samoa,

Obama: Alaska, Alabama, Colorado, Delaware, Georgia, Kansas, Idaho, Illinois,Utah

Total: 1,681 850-831 Clinton racks up state wins, but Obama on her heels in delegate count with chattering class playing up favorable February schedule.

Republicans:

McCain: Alaska, Arizona, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Minnesota, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oklahoma California, Colorado, Kansas, Idaho,Tennessee, Missouri

Romney: Massachusetts, Montana, Utah

Huckabee: Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia,

Delegates (Total: 1,038) 700-200-138

Mitt Drops Out, Huccabee believes in miracles, will hang on.

Storyline:

LYLEPINK MOVES HIS FEB.5 CUTOFF PREDICTION UNTIL MARCH 4.

Clinton: AR, AZ, MA, NJ, NY, OK, TN,
Obama: AL, AK, CA, CO, CT, DE, GA, ID, IL, KS, MN, MO, NM, ND, UT
DELEGATES: Clinton-791 Obama-890
"Obama does better than expected gaining momentum; Race still a tie." "Obama shows he can win more than just black votes."

McCain: AL, AK, AZ, CT, DE, GA, IL, MN, MO, NJ, NY, OK, TN, WV
Romney: CA, CO, MA, MT, ND, UT
Huckabee: AR
DELEGATES: McCain-673 Romney-283 Huckabee-82
"McCain seals frontrunner status; Romney stays in race; Huckabee drops candidacy"

Clinton: Arkansas, Arizona, Missouri, New Jersey, New York, Oklahoma, Tennessee (821 delegates)

Obama: Alaska, Alabama, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Kansas, Massachusetts, Minnesota, New Mexico, Utah (860 delegates)

Storyline: Obama stays in the game despite HRC's huge residuals; he becomes new favorite to win nomination.

McCain: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Illinois, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, New Jersey, New York, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Rhode Island, Tennessee, West Virginia (829 delegates)

Romney: Massachusetts, Utah

Huckabee: Arkansas

Storyline: McCain big winner; presumtive nominee.

Prediction:
Clinton wins: AZ, NJ, NY, OK, TN
Obama wins: CO, GA, ID, KA, IL, ND, UT

Remaining states are effectively tied.

Delegate counts HRC: 970 BHO: 1025

Storyline, as above: Red states & independents deliver Obama victory over party elders' support for HRC.

Interestingly, Bloomberg still considering...

'Despite consistent denials that he will run for president, New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg "may soon begin a massive operation to get on the ballot in up to 15 states even though the billionaire mayor may not decide until May whether to run," the AP reports.

Bloomberg's "evaluation of his own plans could stretch all the way into May, contrary to conventional wisdom that he would make up his mind after Super Tuesday, said Doug Schoen, who was Bloomberg's pollster in his mayoral campaigns and remains part of the mayor's inner circle."

Said Schoen: "This can play out over the next two to three months before he has to make a decision."

Please email the DNC and let them know your thoughts, pro or con, about seating the FL and MI delegates.

http://www.democrats.org/

Obama! Alaska, Idaho, Kansas, Utah, Colorado, California, Missouri, Alabama, Georgia, Connecticut, Illinois, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Dakota, Arizona

Clinton: New York, New Jersey, New Mexico, Arkansas, Tennessee, Delaware, Oklahoma.

Obama Bests Expectations, leaves Clinton's scrambling.

Whoops - change Huckabee to 143.

Democrats:

Clinton: Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Utah, (American Samoa)

Obama: Alabama, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Kansas, Idaho, Illinois, Massachusetts, Missouri, Minnesota

Delegates (Total: 1,681): Clinton - 794, Obama - 887

Headline: Obama Wins Most Delegates and States; Clinton Still in It to Win It

Republicans:

McCain: Alaska, Arizona, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Minnesota, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oklahoma

Romney: California, Colorado, Kansas, Idaho, Massachusetts, Montana, Utah

Huckabee: Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Tennessee, Missouri

Delegates (Total: 1,038): McCain - 625, Romney - 225, Huckabee - 150

Headline: A Good Showing for Romney and Huckabee, but McCain a Lock for
Nomination

Part 2 the Republican evening.

By 9:00 EST we will know that McCain has
Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, New Jersey, New York, Oklahoma, Rhode Island, Tennessee, West Virginia (601 delegates)

Romney will have LOST Mass, but win: Colorado, North Dakota and Utah (158 delegates

Huckabee: Arkansas and Georgia (106 delegates)

California closes at 11:00 EST. and the results come in, slowly but surely. Romney carries California. By 11:30, every channel has declared Romney the winner of Ca's 173 delegates.

So to recap:
McCain:
AL
AK
AZ
CT
DE
IL
MA
MN
MO
MT
NJ
NY
OK
RI
TN
WV
Total Delegates:601

Romney:
CO
ND
UT
Total Delegates:331

Huckabee:
AR
GA

Total Delegates: 106

McCain is declared the winner; Romney(embarassed by Mass, but ever vigilant) fights on, but more stories appear about his losing his home state than winning California. He tries to spin that he won his "home state" of MI and the Mormon "home state" of UT. To no avail--he drops out on one of the Sunday morning talk shows. Huckabee drops out the next day and endorses McCain.

To everyone's surprise, McCain announces his running mate will be Charlie Crist of FL--but Huck is still loyal and soldiers on to bring Southern, social and religious conservatives to the McCain camp.

OBAMA: AK, ND, DE, ID, UT, NM, KS, AL, AZ, CO, MN, MO, GA, MA, IL, CA (950)

CLINTON: OK, CT, TN, NY, NJ, AR (731)

Obama is the comeback kid thanks to CA, MA, AZ, and MO as Clinton has her back against the wall again.

McCAIN: AL, AK, AZ, CA, CO, CT, DE, GA, IL, MN, MO, NJ, NY, ND, TN (741)
ROMNEY: MA, OK, UT, West Virginia (246)
HUCKABEE: AR (51)

McCain prepares for the general, Huckabee suspends campaign, Romney hints at backing out