Wisconsin Primary Prediction Time
Another day, another chance to win an official Fix t-shirt. (For a sneak peak at the design, click here.)
The highlight of today's action is in Wisconsin where Sens. Barack Obama (Ill.) and Hillary Rodham Clinton (N.Y.) are facing off in what looks to be one of the closer contests since Feb. 5. Wisconsin for the Republicans should be an easy win for Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) although former governor Mike Huckabee has campaigned in the state and seems committed to remaining in the nomination race through March 4.
So, for today's prediction contest we want the correct order of finish (with percentages) for the two Wisconsin races as well as the storyline that emerges from today's voting. Polls close in Wisconsin at 9 p.m. ET so any predictions made after that will not be accepted. Register your prediction in the comments section below; any e-mailed entries will further jam the Fix inbox and not be counted as official entries.
The winners will have the opportunity of a lifetime -- to proudly wear an official Fix t-shirt. Prepare to awe your friends and vanquish your enemies.
Need guidance? Check out pollster.com's survey of the latest data for the Democratic and Republican races.
And, in early returns, there appears to be a clear frontrunner in our "Name March 4" contest. With nearly 850 votes cast, "Ohio-Texas Two-Step" is lapping the field with 54 percent in a four way primary. There's still time to vote.
By Chris Cillizza |
February 19, 2008; 5:00 PM ET
| Category:
Eye on 2008
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Posted by: akrhd ixbdckm | April 16, 2008 11:29 AM
Obama 58%
Hillary 41%
McCain 55%
Huckabee 37%
Headline: In desperate attempt to win Fix t-shirt, Nevada entrant past posts the race.
Posted by: abramfran | February 20, 2008 2:16 AM
Dems: Obama by at least 8 points, Hillary loses bigtime -- again.
Storyline: Wisconsin voters reject Clinton's same old, same old negative attacks.
Oops! Guess I'm too late. That's not a prediction, Chris. Now that the votes are being counted, it's fact. (Just thought I'd rub it in a little. Hope Howard Wolfson's reading this.)
Posted by: rippermccord | February 19, 2008 9:39 PM
Obama 54%
Clinton 44%
McCain 65%
Huckabee 25%
Paul 8%
Posted by: lucyisadog2000 | February 19, 2008 9:17 PM
Obama 59.3
Clinton 40
Other .7
Voters reject negative Clinton tactics; Obama prepared to torch Clinton firewall in Texas
McCain 59
Huckabee 35
Paul 6
Big Mac can't shake the Huck
Posted by: wfunderburk | February 19, 2008 9:16 PM
Wisconsin
Obama 58%
Clinton 35%
Hawaii
Obama 78%
Clinton 19%
Headline: Clinton Attacks Don't Work!
Reps: McCain 55%
Huckabe 35%
Paul 5%
Washington
McCain 51%
Huckabe 37%
Paul 7
McCain Tops 50%; End of Huckabee?
Posted by: weiant | February 19, 2008 9:12 PM
Obama 54
Clinton 46
McCain 63
Huckabee 35
Paul 2
Storyline: Clinton & Huckabee fail to stop momentum.
Posted by: johnmccormack1 | February 19, 2008 9:10 PM
Obama 53
Clinton 45
McCain 53
Huckabee 36
Paul 11
Front-runners eke out wins.
Posted by: quipson | February 19, 2008 9:05 PM
Obama 53
Clinton 45
McCain 53
Huckabee 41
Front-runners eke out wins.
Posted by: quipson | February 19, 2008 9:01 PM
Clinton: 51
Obama: 49
What do you know? Going negative works for Hillary.
McCain: 59
Huckabee: 38
Huckabee soldiers on. It's not like there's anything for him to go home to.
Posted by: am9489 | February 19, 2008 9:00 PM
McCain 65
Huckabee 31
Obama 54
Clinton 44
"Huckabee's days appear numbered, Obama picks up another victory in a key swing state"
Posted by: clarktaylor9 | February 19, 2008 9:00 PM
clinton: 51% obama:48%
mccain: 68% huckabee: 30%
Posted by: klheard | February 19, 2008 8:59 PM
Obama 51%
Clinton 47%
Storyline: Obama claims steamroller momentum; Clinton "happy with result." Media sides with Obama! (And all eyes turn to Texas...)
McCain 59%
Huckabee 32%
Storyline: Huck suffers from establishment backlash but is determined to make himself a historical footnote.
Posted by: larry.handerhan | February 19, 2008 8:59 PM
Clinton 52
Obama 48
Storyline: Big Mo Reverses Field
Huckabee 29
McCain 71
Storyline: It's Over
Posted by: richard.nagel | February 19, 2008 8:57 PM
Smack Down to the Negative Clintons
Obama 56
Clinton 42
Other 2
McPain 56
Huck 39
Paul 5
Posted by: IwillkickyourrightwingA | February 19, 2008 8:57 PM
Obama - 50
Clinton - 49
Obama wins a close one and then attacks Clinton in his victory speech for her allegations of that he plagiarized in recent speeches.
Posted by: 06csg | February 19, 2008 8:57 PM
Obama 46
Clinton 43
McCain 51
Huckabee 42
Obama maintains streak with narrow win in WI; Clinton faces her Alamo on March 4.
McCain wins big in WI and WA; Huckabee manages to declare victory anyway.
Posted by: ramifakhouri | February 19, 2008 8:52 PM
Dems:
Obama 58
Clinton 42
Obama trounces Clinton in WI, continues to build momentum. Pollsters miss the mark again. This is getting redundant.
GOP
McCain 51
Huckabee 43
Paul 6
McCain still on track to take the GOP nomination, voters cite electablility as key quality.
Posted by: jgep | February 19, 2008 8:51 PM
Obama 59
Clinton 40
Storyline: People hate me, they really, really hate me.
Posted by: liberalboxxi | February 19, 2008 8:49 PM
Obama 54
Clinton 45
Headline: Obama 10-0; Clinton campaign faces final chance
McCain 57
Huckabee 36
Paul 5
GOP to Huckabee: Get a Life!
Headline:
Posted by: rohnjay | February 19, 2008 8:49 PM
whoops, forgot the GOP Headline
Obama - 55
Clinton - 45
Wisconsin voters can smell bad cheese a mile away. Clinton's divisive attacks on Obama cause voters to send her Packing.
McCain - 60
Huck - 40
Nobody cares.
Posted by: kberg02 | February 19, 2008 8:47 PM
D's
WI:
Obama 62%
Clinton 35%
HI: (gotta represent the home turf)
Obama 70%
Clinton 28%
Storyline: Obama expands base of support, runs streak to 10 in a row. The Battle of Little Bighorn or the Ides of March, Custer, Caesar, or Clinton, it's her last stand. If the Lone Star State is even close, she's done.
R's
WI:
McCain 58%
Huckabee 36%
Paul 5%
Warm up the squirrel fryer and stick a fork in Huckabee, he's done. McCain becomes the unwilling standard bearer of the right.
Posted by: trmasonic | February 19, 2008 8:47 PM
Obama 60%
Clinton 37%
Storyline: wisconsin finds sleazy attack ads sooo 1990!
McCain 65%
Huckabee 28%
Paul 6%
Storyline: all good republicans do as they are told, sooner or later.
Posted by: jmackesey | February 19, 2008 8:46 PM
PREDICTIONS!
Obama 56%
Clinton 43%
McCain 52%
Huckabee 39%
I probably gave myself bad luck by picking two 13-point margins. Oh well, it's just a t-shirt right? :-)
HEADLINES!
(D) Ohio & Texas will be Hillary's "Battle of the Little Bighorn"
(R) Chuck Norris knocks some sense into Huckabee with a round-house kick to the face, and Huckabee finally drops out of the race.
Posted by: braveheartdc | February 19, 2008 8:46 PM
Obama 56
Clinton 41
Obama's continued wins means the race doesn't change much, can Clinton keep taking hits like this and keep her numbers high enough in OH and TX.
McCain will be 63
Huckabee will be 38
McCain can't lose the nomination, which leaves us with really only one question, What the huck is Mike up to?
THE REAL STORY LINE
Everyone wants to know if The Fix shaving his primary beard is changing the votes on the ground.
Posted by: thescuspeaks | February 19, 2008 8:44 PM
Obama 55%
Clinton 40%
Other 5%
Headline: Hillary Clinton gets run over by a train (I mean a real train, and not the Obama express), making Barack Obama the democratic nominee
Posted by: vmunikoti | February 19, 2008 8:43 PM
Obama 55%
Clinton 40%
Other 5%
Headline: 'bama express runs over Hillary
Posted by: vmunikoti | February 19, 2008 8:42 PM
Obama: 52%
Clinton: 48%
McCain: 55%
Huckabee: 40%
Paul: 5%
Posted by: edison | February 19, 2008 8:38 PM
here we go with the predictions!
Dems/wisconsin
Obama-56%
Hillary-40%
Gravel(good lord he's still in this?)4%
plagarism charge backfires as hillary moves campagin headquarters to the alamo.Obamania runs wild, edwards endorses thursday and the superdelegates begins to close ranks around obama.
Dems/hawaii
Obama-80%
Hillary-20%
headline:local boy obama does good. chelsea clinton works on tan, not moms election.
GOP/Wisconsin
McCain-60%
Huckabust-35%
Paul-5%
McCain to Huckabust-Get the out! rank and file conservatives still wary of McCain being a closet dem.
Posted by: jaymills1124 | February 19, 2008 8:36 PM
All of these asinine wild guesses based on people's individual emotions are . . . boring.
You people are idiots.
Posted by: Seth27 | February 19, 2008 8:34 PM
Revised line of the day - Hillary jettisons key staffers midflight in an effort to get now-lighter plane to Texas/Ohio (and away from Wi and Hi) even faster.
Posted by: fourhourelection | February 19, 2008 8:33 PM
Additional storyline: Hillary expands her domination of the crucial 60 plus demo. Grannies in their strollers, chant "double-A-R-P, yeah, you know me!", while McCain runs scared. HRC memo is released that shows the campaign's secret Texas strategy: encourage the old folks homes to serve meatloaf on election day in the shape of HRC's face.
Posted by: muaddib_7 | February 19, 2008 8:28 PM
Obama - 65
Clinton - 34
The O-Train keeps on rolling, and Clinton's team cites Obama kindergarten essay as an example of plagiarism.
McCain 58
Huck - 36
Posted by: benjamingeballe | February 19, 2008 8:28 PM
WISCONSIN:
DEMS: CLINTON 51%
OBAMA 47%
REP: McCAIN 64%
HUCKABEE 31%
CLINTON WINS WITH LATE SURGE IN POLLS FROM WORKING WOMEN....O-MENTUM BECOMES NO-MENTUM!
CALLS INCREASE FROM REPUBLICAN ESTABLISHMENT FOR HUCKABEE TO STAND ASIDE AFTER ANOTHER MCCAIN ROUT.
Posted by: yank1082 | February 19, 2008 8:24 PM
Obama: 57
Clinton (44): 42
Storyline: "Do anything, say anything" is a failed comeback strategy.
McCain: 53
Huckster: 42
Paulie: 5
Storyline: McCain seals the deal. Huckster only wishes he was the one on third base.
Posted by: muaddib_7 | February 19, 2008 8:20 PM
Wisconson
Obama 70
Clinton 28
story... Hillary is the titanic folks!
Posted by: pvogel88 | February 19, 2008 8:17 PM
Obama:
Clinton (44):
storyline: "do anything, say anything" is a failed comeback strategy.
McCain: 53
Huckster: 42
Paulie: 5
Posted by: muaddib_7 | February 19, 2008 8:17 PM
Clinton 49
Obama 48.5
McCain 57
Huckabee 40
Headlines: Hillary In It To Win It; Obama insists rules must be applied to Florida/Michigan delegates, but not to super-delegates. They must vote proportionally for him.
Anonymous Insider Reports Huckabee Off McCain VP Short List
Posted by: Mudrock63 | February 19, 2008 8:16 PM
Democrats:
Obama: 63%
Clinton: 37%
Republicans:
McCain: 73%
Huckabee: 24%%
Paul: 3%
Clinton and Huckabee both need a miracle March 4th
Posted by: chris.downes | February 19, 2008 8:13 PM
Mules:
Obama - 49.8%
Clinton - 48.6%
Storyline: last minute endorsement by Free Hot Lunch keeps Obama under 50%. [Oh come on! You haven't heard of them. Help me out Cap City!]
Heffalumps:
McCain - 55%
Huckabee - 39%
Paul - 6%
Story line: Vacationing in the Cayman Islands doesn't set well in Lambeau field.
BB
[Don't know what hurts worse. The hideous prediction for the Potomac primary or the 2 1/2 hour commute I had to endure.]
Posted by: FairlingtonBlade | February 19, 2008 8:09 PM
Obama 54%
Clinton 46%
McCain 59%
Huckabee 44%
Paul 4%
Obama wins war of "word" ten losses in a row no matter what the contest ain't goood.
McCain steam rolls Gomer Pyle and the Keebler Elf Steals some cookies from both.
Posted by: t_heaberlin | February 19, 2008 8:08 PM
Democrats:
Clinton- 52%
Obama- 48%
Republicans:
McCain: 60%
Huckabee 38%
Clinton on the comeback trail, McCain's march to the nomination remains on track
Posted by: kmis139t | February 19, 2008 8:07 PM
Wisconsin: Obama: 53%
Clinton: 45:
Other: 2%
Hawaii: Obama: 72%
Clinton: 25%
Other: 3%
Storyline: Obama hurt by missteps; Clinton close enough to be in the race. On to Texas!
Posted by: joewmaine | February 19, 2008 8:06 PM
Clinton 53
Obama 45
The media led us astray once again.
McCain 56
Huckabee 38
Ron Paul 5
Huckabee in tow for another couple of weeks.
Posted by: shannons1 | February 19, 2008 8:04 PM
Clinton 52.5%
Obama 47%
No Mo Moo
McCain- 53%
The Huckabee 44%
Ron Paul 3%
Headline:White guy wins
Posted by: mul | February 19, 2008 8:03 PM
Wisconsin Primary Forecast:
Democrats:
Obama 55
Clinton 42
Other 3
Republicans:
McCain 53
Huckabee 38
Other 9
Storyline: Going negative doesn't help Clinton; McCain continues to roll.
Posted by: hackett | February 19, 2008 8:02 PM
Wisconsin primary prediction:
Obama: 59 %
Clinton: 41 %
McCain: 58%
Huckabee: 37%
Paul: 5%
Posted by: pooler | February 19, 2008 8:01 PM
Wiconsin: Obama: 53%
Clinton: 45%
Posted by: joewmaine | February 19, 2008 8:00 PM
Wiconsin: Obama: 53%
Clinton: 45%
Posted by: joewmaine | February 19, 2008 8:00 PM
Obama 50.5%
Clinton 49.5%
Headline-still a dog fight..
McCain- 51%
The Huckabee 44%
Ron Paul 5%
Headline:It's almost over
Posted by: neale0407 | February 19, 2008 7:57 PM
Clinton 48%
Obama 46%
McCain 63%
Huckabee 33%
Posted by: krnewman | February 19, 2008 7:55 PM
Obama 54%
Clinton 46%
Storyline: Cheesed-off HRC begs Carville to join campaign. He declines on grounds he will not participate in negative campaign vs. Obama.
McCain 58%
Huckabee 42%
Storyline: Cindy McCain questions Huckabee's patriotism for visiting the Cayman Islands during WI primary.
Size small please, and long-sleeved if possible.
Posted by: jbutterfield1 | February 19, 2008 7:55 PM
Obama 55%
Clinton 44%
Obama continues to build momentum as the campaign heads to Texas and Ohio.
McCain 52%
Huckabee 42%
Paul 5%
McCain closes in on the nomination--starting to win conservatives.
Posted by: PastorGene | February 19, 2008 7:55 PM
Obama: 60%
clinton 39%
McCain: 56%
Huckabee 40%
Posted by: leftofcenter | February 19, 2008 7:54 PM
Wisconsin-Dem.
Obama 56%
Clinton 42%
Wisconsin-Rep.
McCain 64%
Huckabee 30%
Paul 6%
Hawaii
Obama 72%
Clinton 27%
Headline: "Clinton Claims Victory, Everyone Else Claims She's Getting Desperate"
Weekly Headline: "Edwards Endorses Obama!"
Posted by: murawski | February 19, 2008 7:52 PM
Obama 59
HRC 40
McCain 46
Huck 45
Paul 8
Dem Headline - "K.O.-Bama! Clinton Campaign on Life Support After Dairyland Drubbing, Donors and Supporters Ready to Pull the Plug"
GOP Headline - "Huckabee is History: McCain Puts Field Away and Readies for November Date with Destiny"
Posted by: bondjedi | February 19, 2008 7:51 PM
Obama 54.5
Clinton 43.8
McCain 55.1
40.3
Republican turnout low
Percent of Wisconsin Voters wishing for an early Spring 97%. Percent of Wisconsin voters who state that they hope to be wintering in Florida during the 2012 Presiderntal Primary 79%
Posted by: dennis20d | February 19, 2008 7:49 PM
Clinton 53
Obama 47
"Clinton Negative Ads Propel Her to Upset in Wisconsin"
McCain 60
Huckabee 34
Paul 6
"McCain Moves Closer to Nomination; Huckabee Losing Relevance"
Posted by: justmanj | February 19, 2008 7:49 PM
Clinton 54%
Obama 45%
McCain 55%
Huckabee 43%
Paul 2%
Storyline: Clintons Scores Upset In State She Was Bound To Win
"Clinton won a state everyone knew she would, given all known information on how Democrats have voted in the primaries. Obama's winning 8 states in a row rose expectations improbably high, allowing the media to project a state he never would won in the first place.
"The high turnout of women, working-class voters and older voters made Wisconsin a virtual shoe-in for Clinton, but she managed to lower expectations by seeming to write off the state, campaigning in Texas for most of the week."
Posted by: atomculture | February 19, 2008 7:47 PM
The Disreputable REPS:
Huckabee - 51
McCain - 48
HEADLINE:
Midwest Hails Southern Charm,
(offers Mike support... and money for new teeth)
The young and the "rested" DEMS:
Obama - 58
Clinton - 41
HEADLINE:
Words take flight, Independents catch a ride
(leaving JMac in the dust to chuckle with old Bushes "honoring" "conservative" "patriotic" fear-mongering)
Posted by: surenza | February 19, 2008 7:44 PM
Obama 55
Clinton 44
storyline: after another defeat the gloves are off, clinton conceding nothing goes after obama in speech
Posted by: smmalonso | February 19, 2008 7:44 PM
Storyline Republicans-
McCain wins. Wow.
Democrats-
Obama wins tenth in a row, but Clinton keeps it close enough to stay viable.
Posted by: anthonyjbrady | February 19, 2008 7:43 PM
Democrats:
Obama 54%
Clinton 45%
Republicans:
McCain 53%
Huckabee 41%
Storylines: McCain nabs Wisconsin win, but Huckabee hangs on, denying McCain full bragging rights. Obama surges in Wisconsin. Combined with his Hawaii victory, Obama makes TX and OH must wins for Clinton.
Posted by: sofiamj | February 19, 2008 7:41 PM
Obama 48
Clinton 43
The future of the party depends on a clear winner in Texas, Ohio
McCain 57
Huckabee 35
Ron Paul 5
Will Huckabee finally quit?
Posted by: Xerxes501 | February 19, 2008 7:40 PM
Democrats:
50% Obama
49% Clinton
1% Other
Republicans:
52% McCain
42% Huckabee
6% Paul
Storyline:
"Clinton is the Comeback Kid again! Facing elimination, she's back to challenge Obama in Texas and Ohio. With Obama's star fading a little after "borrowing" lines from Deval's speech, can he hang on?"
Posted by: mustafa.hirji | February 19, 2008 7:37 PM
Obama 54
Clinton 44
Edwards 1.5
HILLARY GIVES IT UP AND ENDORSES OBAMA
;)
Posted by: SMARTINSEN | February 19, 2008 7:37 PM
Obama 58
Clinton 40
McCain 72
Huckabee 25
Storyline: Big win for Obama; is it over for Hillary?
Posted by: novamatt | February 19, 2008 7:37 PM
Obama 55%
Clinton 42%
Headline: Obama train rolls on
McCain 49%
Huckabee 42%
Headline: McCain Winning, Still Not Reaching Conservative Base
Posted by: jimmydur | February 19, 2008 7:37 PM
Deomcrats:
Obama - 50 %
Clinton - 47%
Republicans:
McCain - 58%
Huckabee - 37%
Posted by: whatthefruckisgoingon | February 19, 2008 7:36 PM
Wisconsin:
Obama 54
Clinton 44
Others 2
HEADLINE: 10-0 FOR THE O, CLINTON SEES THE ALAMO!
Posted by: meldupree | February 19, 2008 7:35 PM
Wis.-D
Clinton: 49%
Obama: 48%
Others: 3%
Storyline: Clinton Slows Obama's Surge
Wis.-R
McCain: 60%
Huckabee: 38%
Others: 2%
Storyline: Huckabee Drops Out of Race
Wash.-R
McCain: 57%
Huckabee: 31%
Others: 11%
Hawaii.-D
Obama: 67%
Clinton: 32%
Others: 1%
Posted by: juliancasal | February 19, 2008 7:35 PM
Deomcrats:
Obama - 50 %
Clinton - 47%
Republicans:
McCain - 58%
Huckabee - 37%
Posted by: whatthefruckisgoingon | February 19, 2008 7:35 PM
Obama 54
Clinton 42
McCain 58
Huckabee 37
Is it over for Clinton and did the negative campaigning back fire?
Posted by: flwilliams87 | February 19, 2008 7:35 PM
Obama 66%
Clinton 33%
"Cheeseheads board the O-train. Next stop Texas and Ohio. ALL ABOARD!"
McCain 50%
Huckabee 49%
"McCain just scrapes by the hair of his chinny-chin chin."
Posted by: chopperoni | February 19, 2008 7:34 PM
Dang it, I meant to say 2012, not 2021 !!
Posted by: cferry3124 | February 19, 2008 7:34 PM
Obama - 59.5
Clinton - 39.5
Huckabee - 50
McCain - 49
McCain embarrased as Huckabee takes giant stride towards 2021 GOP Nomination
Obama's now 10 in-a-row but still playing whac-a-mole with Hillary.
Chris C wins 32nd annual T-shirt design contest
Posted by: cferry3124 | February 19, 2008 7:33 PM
Obama 54%
Clinton 45%
Storyline: Obama Prevails! Is Texas Next?
McCain 58%
Huckabee 32%
Storyline: McCain One Step Closer
Posted by: bleon2000 | February 19, 2008 7:32 PM
Clinton 49
Obama 49
Wisconsin freezes the race. Ohio the next big contest.
McCain 52
Huckabee 38
McCain storms through Wisconsin. Huckabee is left out in the cold.
Posted by: goldersgreen | February 19, 2008 7:31 PM
Obama 58
Clinton 42
Storyline: Edwards endorses Obama
McCain 51
Huckabee 45
Paul 4
Storyline: Limbaugh repents (maybe...not)
Posted by: blueinva | February 19, 2008 7:29 PM
Obama 56
Clinton 43
The double-guessing begins: should Hillary have run negative ads? Should she have competed in Wisconsin sooner? Is she losing her grip on her demographic bases?
McCain 50
Huckabee 46
Paul 4
Comparably high turnout among Huckabee supporters keeps this race tight; like Virginia, the race takes longer than expected to call.
Posted by: gezi | February 19, 2008 7:28 PM
Obama 52
Clinton 46
Storyline: "When you go 10-0, you're either really winning or really losing"
McCain 51
Huckabee 44
Storyline: "While Huckabee's continued search for the miracle is too cute, it's not fooling anybody - he wants to stay on TV so he can get a paying job after the primaries and lay claim to front-runner status next time."
Posted by: shepherc | February 19, 2008 7:28 PM
Obama- 57
Clinton- 41
McCain- 52
Huckabee- 40
Obama has huge momentum boost with larger than expected victory. More stories about Clinton's demise and backlash from negative ads.
McCain wins again but still loses among very conservative voters. He still has a lot of reaching out to do as the presumptive nominee. Lots of questions heading into Texas.
Posted by: jthemann | February 19, 2008 7:28 PM
Obama 58
Clinton 42
McCain 57
Huckabee 38
Paul 5
It's now clear to Dem superdelegates that Obama is stronger than Clinton against Rep opponent. Likewise, it's clear to Republicans that McCain is strongest against Dem opponent. Barring any dramatic unexpected tragedy, the races are settled: it's Obama vs. McCain
Posted by: patrican | February 19, 2008 7:28 PM
Obama 52
Clinton 46
Storyline: "When you go 10-0, you're either really winning or really losing"
McCain 51
Huckabee 44
Storyline: "While Huckabee's continued search for the miracle is too cute, it's not fooling anybody - he wants to stay on TV so he can get a paying job after the primaries and lay claim to front-runner status next time."
Posted by: shepherc | February 19, 2008 7:27 PM
Obama 49%
Clinton 50%
McCain 50%
Huckabee 45%
Story: Clinton's back, Huckabee's gone.
Posted by: morr2630 | February 19, 2008 7:27 PM
Obama 53
Clinton 46
McCain 58
Huckabee 41
Posted by: BENDIKC | February 19, 2008 7:26 PM
Obama 52
Clinton 46
Storyline: "When you go 10-0, you're either really winning or really losing"
McCain 51
Huckabee 44
Storyline: "While Huckabee's continued search for the miracle is still cute, it's not fooling anybody - he wants to stay on TV so he can get a good paying job after the primaries and have a decent argument that he is the front-runner next time."
Posted by: shepherc | February 19, 2008 7:26 PM
Obama 52
Clinton 46
Storyline: "When you go 10-0, you're either really winning or really losing"
McCain 51
Huckabee 44
Storyline: "While Huckabee's continued search for the miracle is still cute, it's not fooling anybody - he wants to stay on TV so he can get a good paying job after the primaries and have a decent argument that he is the front-runner next time."
Posted by: shepherc | February 19, 2008 7:26 PM
Obama 52
Clinton 46
Storyline: "When you go 10-0, you're either really winning or really losing"
McCain 51
Huckabee 44
Storyline: "While Huckabee's continued search for the miracle is still cute, it's not fooling anybody - he wants to stay on TV so he can get a good paying job after the primaries and have a decent argument that he is the front-runner next time."
Posted by: shepherc | February 19, 2008 7:26 PM
Obama 56%
Clinton 44%
McCain 62%
Huckabee 33%
Paul 5%
Twice as many people will vote democratic as republican
Posted by: jjjparks | February 19, 2008 7:26 PM
Obama momentum carries the day larger than anyone thought...
Obama - 62%
Clinton - 38%
McCain - 61
Huckabee - 37
Paul - 2%
Posted by: greenphd | February 19, 2008 7:26 PM
Obama momentum carries the day larger than anyone thought...
Obama - 62%
Clinton - 38%
McCain - 61
Huckabee - 37
Paul - 2%
Posted by: greenphd | February 19, 2008 7:26 PM
Obama momentum carries the day larger than anyone thought...
Obama - 62%
Clinton - 38%
McCain - 61
Huckabee - 37
Paul - 2%
Posted by: greenphd | February 19, 2008 7:26 PM
Obama 49%
Clinton 50%
McCain 50%
Huckabee 45%
Story: Clinton's back, Huckabee's gone.
Posted by: morr2630 | February 19, 2008 7:26 PM
Obama 49%
Clinton 50%
McCain 50%
Huckabee 45%
Story: Clinton's back, Huckabee's gone.
Posted by: morr2630 | February 19, 2008 7:26 PM
Obama 49%
Clinton 50%
McCain 50%
Huckabee 45%
Story: Clinton's back, Huckabee's gone.
Posted by: morr2630 | February 19, 2008 7:26 PM
Obama 66%
Clinton 33%
"Cheeseheads board the O-train. Next stop Texas and Ohio. ALL ABOARD!"
McCain 50%
Huckabee 49%
"McCain just scrapes by the hair of his chinny-chin chin."
Posted by: chopperoni | February 19, 2008 7:26 PM
Democrats
Obama 49%
Clinton 47%
GOP
McCain 59%
Huckabee 35%
Paul 4%
Means absolutly nothing for the upcoming ones :)
Posted by: rabja | February 19, 2008 7:26 PM
Wow - looks like Hillary is really going to be cream cheese in WI today - women are even breaking for Obama:
http://politicalwire.com/archives/2008/02/19/exit_polls.html
Exit Polls
Fox News, CBS News and the Associated Press have released preliminary exit poll information from the Wisconsin Democratic primary.
Key highlights:
* Women: Obama 51%, Clinton 49%
* Change vs. experience, 52% to 24%.
* Just 17% are first time voters
* Families with income under 50,000: Obama 51%, Clinton 49%
* Independents: Obama 63%, Clinton 34%
* Seniors: Clinton 60%, Obama 39%
* Top quality - experience: Clinton 95%, Obama 5%
* Union households: Clinton 50%, Obama 49%
Update: Mike Allen has more: "Democratic officials with access to exit polls say Sen. Obama looks like he's headed for a huge win in today's Wisconsin primary. The polls could turn out to be off, as they have in the past. But the officials' revelation reflects the chatter in the campaigns in advance of the 9 p.m. Eastern poll closing... Obama encroached deeply into three of Clinton's core groups of voters -- women, those with no college degree and those with lower incomes -- while giving up none of his own."
Posted by: joemetro | February 19, 2008 7:19 PM
Obama 60%
Clinton 40%
Storyline- Texas and Ohio absolute must wins for the Clinton camp.
McCain 58%
Clinton 42%
Storyline- McCain virtually ensures the nomination, campaign turns toward the general.
Posted by: whitty | February 19, 2008 7:18 PM
Obama 57% , Clinton 42%
McCain 55% , Huckabee 44%
Storylines: Obama nets another solid win, McCain very close to magic number..
Posted by: aestern | February 19, 2008 7:17 PM
Obama 57
Clinton 43
McCain 52
Huckabee 43
Paul 5
Obama wins with women, McCain makes lousy victory speech
Posted by: dciandy | February 19, 2008 7:15 PM
obama 51.5%
Clinton 48%
McCain 58%
Huck 25%
Paul 17%
Posted by: spears404 | February 19, 2008 7:15 PM
Wisconsin Predictions:
Obama 54
Clinton 46
Storyline: Obama Wins Wisconsin-Eyes Of Texas And America Turn To Texas And Ohio.
McCain: 58
Huckabee: 42
Storyline: In Wisconsin, Straight Talk Express Is Not Derailed.
Posted by: vicsilver | February 19, 2008 7:14 PM
DEM:
Wis:
Obama: 55.7%
Clinton: 43.4%
Edwards: 0.9%
Hawaii:
Obama: 68%
Clinton: 32%
Story: "Just Votes??"
GOP:
Wis:
McCain: 56%
Huckabee: 38%
Story: McCain Really Proud of Wisconsin, Cilizza Wondering Why Votes Don't Add to 100%
Posted by: regand | February 19, 2008 7:14 PM
Democrats
Obama 49%
Clinton 47%
GOP
McCain 59%
Huckabee 35%
Paul 4%
Means absolutly nothing for the upcoming ones :)
Posted by: rabja | February 19, 2008 7:14 PM
Clinton 49
Obama 49
Other 2
Storyline: Clinton revives campaign with a razor thin victory winning a plurality in the cheese state.
McCain 56
Huckabee 42
McCain consolidates his base
Posted by: richardlab2 | February 19, 2008 7:14 PM
Democrats:
WI
Obama 54.7%
Clinton 45.3%
HI
Obama 71%
Clinton 29%
Obama continues to be buoyed by youth vote. Clinton unveils sharp new attacks against Obama.
Republicans:
WI
McCain 49.6%
Huckabee 42.2%
Paul 8.2%
McCain virtually inevitable despite reservations within party.
Posted by: sonjunk | February 19, 2008 7:14 PM
Wisconsin Predictions
Obama 50
Clinton 48
Storyline: Clinton wins among Demos; independents give Obama the win
McCain 50
Huckabee 48
Storyline: Huckabee wins hearts with Green Bay Packer story
Posted by: jdana | February 19, 2008 7:07 PM
Dems: Obama Inevitable?
Obama 55
Clinton 45
Reps: God Continues To Ignore Huckabee's Prayers.
McCain 66.6
Huckabee: 29.3
Others: 4.1
Posted by: BrawleyHall | February 19, 2008 7:07 PM
Obama - 55
Clinton - 45
McCain - 60
Huck - 40
Wisconsin voters can smell bad cheese a mile away. Clinton's divisive attacks on Obama cause voters to send her Packing.
Posted by: BentKerg | February 19, 2008 7:04 PM
Dems:
Obama 55
Clinton 44
GOP:
McCain 64
Huckabee 31
Paul 5
Storylines:
Obama rides working class whites to victory, Clinton fears chances in Ohio
GOP nomination all but sealed up
Posted by: gabemeister | February 19, 2008 7:04 PM
****** PRIMARY PREDICTION: THE CLINTONS WILL HAVE LOAN THE CAMPAIGN $10 MILLION DOLLARS TO STAY LIVE OR ****** FOR TEXAS & OHIO
Posted by: FutureJumps | February 19, 2008 7:02 PM
Wisconsin results:
Obama 54%
Clinton 43%
McCain 50%
Huckabee 42%
Paul 6%
Clinton Loses Again, Continues to Tout Victory Strategy
Posted by: jchaney | February 19, 2008 6:57 PM
Clinton 52
Obama 48
He ain't the bomb no more.
McCain 64
Huck 36
Time for Huck to float home.
Posted by: earlmorriss | February 19, 2008 6:56 PM
Obama 52
Clinton 47
Clinton not done yet
Mccain 65
Huckabee 30
McCain comments on the national rase.
Posted by: lovell.bill | February 19, 2008 6:55 PM
Clinton: 0%
Obama: 0%
Gravel: 100%
McCain: 0%
Huckabee: 0%
Gravel: 100%
Headline: A bizzare software failure in Wisconsin primary causes every vote cast to be for Mike Gravel
Gravel calls a recount "Unconstitutional'
Posted by: ewrules | February 19, 2008 6:54 PM
Obama - 60%
Clinton - 39%
Other - 1%
Will Clinton survive until March 4th?.
McCain - 64%
Huckabee - 35%
Other - 1%
How much longer will Huckabee stay in the race?
Posted by: 17platt | February 19, 2008 6:54 PM
Obama 57
Clinton 42
Others 1
Clinton Super Delegates Grow Uneasy as "do or die" March 4th looms.
McCain 62
Huckabe 34
Others 4
Conservatives Still Not onboard straight talk express
Posted by: bobnsri | February 19, 2008 6:51 PM
WI:
Obama 69%
Clinton 29%
Headline: Hillary drops out after huge losses in WI & HI
McCain 51%
Huckabee 44%
HEadline: High independent support for Obama and low Republican turnout hurt McCain
Posted by: joemetro | February 19, 2008 6:51 PM
Obama 56% Clinton 43%
McCain 47% Huckabee 42% Paul 7%
Obama seals the deal, only straws left for Clinton. Time for Huckabee to quit
Posted by: mttrevan | February 19, 2008 6:50 PM
Clinton 49%
Obama 48%
Edwards 2%
McCain 61%
Huchabee 30%
Paul 9%
Clinton in Wisconsin surprise, stalls Obama momentum.
McCain solidifies lead position
Posted by: kitbritton | February 19, 2008 6:49 PM
Dem:
Obama 49%
Clinton: 46%
Rep:
McCain 64%
Huckabee 28%
Paul 6%
Posted by: jforauer | February 19, 2008 6:49 PM
Clinton 51%
Obama 49%
McCain 60%
Second Coming 40%
I do like the Huckleberry Hound reference.
Posted by: mikedooley | February 19, 2008 6:48 PM
Obama: 53
Clinton: 47
McCain: 54
Huckabee: 43
Paul: 3
Headlines:
Clinton spins 6 point loss as a "win". Tony spins around to model his Fix T-Shirt.
Posted by: Boutan | February 19, 2008 6:48 PM
Obama: 51%
Clinton: 48%
story: Silk out of a sow's ear for the Clinton campaign, a state they should have won is somehow seen as an accomplishment in a loss.
McCain: 55%
Huckabee: 40%
Paul: 4%
story: Noone really cares anymore, Huckabee seals a show on Fox News.
Posted by: arlee1 | February 19, 2008 6:45 PM
Obama 57
Clinton 42
Others 1
McCain 62
Huckabe 34
Others 4
Posted by: bobnsri | February 19, 2008 6:44 PM
Clinton: 49%
Obama: 48%
Storyline: The Comeback Kid.
Posted by: jburke | February 19, 2008 6:44 PM
Obama 49
Clinton 48
Race too close to call for several hours, another Comeback Kid day for Clinton as Obama fails to seal the deal! Superdelegates getting very nervous.
McCain 52
Huckabee 37
Paul 7
Oh, and McCain won again. Now, back to more analysis of the Democratic slugfest...
Posted by: billmcg | February 19, 2008 6:43 PM
Obama 58%, Clinton 41%
McCain 49%, Huckabee 41%, Others 10%
Headline: Independents push Obama to big win
Kit Taylor
Posted by: kitaylor | February 19, 2008 6:41 PM
Obama 50%
Clinton 49%
Obama Momentum Stopped
McCain 54%
Huckabee 42%
Paul 3%
McCain extends leads
Posted by: mutanttoasterfiend | February 19, 2008 6:40 PM
Clinton 48
Obama 46
McCain 56
Huckabee 40
Another surge of women voting
Posted by: donaldmatson1 | February 19, 2008 6:39 PM
Obama 63%
Clinton 37%
Dam breaks and smothers Clinton.
McCain 89%
Huckabee 8%
Paul 3%
McCain Wins, kooky Huckabee brakes own record with "Huckabee!" book sales.
Posted by: johng1 | February 19, 2008 6:39 PM
Obama 56
Clinton 39
Storyline: Obama stronger going into Texas Ohio. Obama surprises with blue-collar voters.
McCain 54
Huckabee 45
Storyline: Huckabee still attracting hard-line conservatives and evangelicals.
Posted by: jh1062 | February 19, 2008 6:39 PM
Obama 54
Clinton 43
McCain 55
Huckabee 38
Paul 6
Status Quo Reigns: Obama still chugging along, McCain still struggling to close the deal
Posted by: comtrevor | February 19, 2008 6:39 PM
Clinton 49%
Obama 48%
Hillary got her groove back!
McCain 58%
Huckabee 37%
McCain crushes Huckabee but the Huckster pledges to keep rolling on.
Posted by: LadyEagle | February 19, 2008 6:38 PM
thecrisis:
Sorry, my sarcasm doesn't work as well in print. I'm predicting that the all-hype, oversensationalized MSM will explode with "Obama is Finished"-type blather stories if he fails to win WI today.
Naturally, that is completely ridiculous, but still I predict we'll be reading a lot of those storis in the next 48 hours.
Posted by: ablackstormy | February 19, 2008 6:37 PM
Obama:61%
Clinton: 38%
Cheeseheads love Obama! Obama cuts into Hillary's base, turns out independents and Obamacans. Hillary will make her last stand at the Alamo.
McCain: 49%
Huck: 44%
Huck comes close in Badger State, heads deep into the heart of Texas. Conservatives still lukewarm about McCain, will they ever come around to him?
P.S. The Fix shirt is the stuff, I'm hoping for brokered conventions so I can keep guessing all the way to Puerto Rico.
Posted by: EricLopez1067 | February 19, 2008 6:36 PM
Obama 52
Clinton 44
Obama still has the mo', but fails to knock out Hillary.
McCain 55
Huckabee 37
He was going to be veep, but now he's just being annoying.
Posted by: fxsj | February 19, 2008 6:36 PM
Obama: 56%
Clinton: 39%
McCain: 61%
Huckabee: 32%
Posted by: MikeReynard | February 19, 2008 6:35 PM
Obama 54%
Clinton 45%
Big turnout in Madison, same-day registrations by young voters statewide, heavy voting by independents and Republicans in Dem primary carry Obama to decisive victory, but Clinton maintains narrow edge among working class and older white voters, especially women. Another win for Obama, but no knockout punch.
McCain 52%
Huckabee 41%
Paul 6%
McCain vote held down by Republicans crossing over to vote in Dem primary, pesky Huckabee can't win but won't go away.
Posted by: bclintonk | February 19, 2008 6:34 PM
Obama 57%
Clinton 42%
Ten in row! Hillary downplays WI loss, too many Obama-crazed students.
McCain 49%
Huckabee 47%
Paul 4%
McCain squeaks out a winner but Huckabee vows to fight on!
Posted by: zb95 | February 19, 2008 6:33 PM
Obama: 58%
Clinton: 40%
Spin: Strong showing for Obama because it was (1) a primary, (2) he cut into her demo groups.
McCain: 49%
Huckster: 40%
Paul: 9%
Spin: McCain can't win a majority even though he's annointed? Why is Huckabee still in it (ignoring the fact that he's winning huge shares of the votes)? No substantial comment on Ron Paul.
Posted by: shc | February 19, 2008 6:33 PM
Obama 52%
Clinton 48%
McCain 54%
Huckabee 39%
Paul 7%
Story line: Huckabee stands firm on staying in, but campaign insiders predict a coming bow out and endorsement of McCain.
Obama eeks out a big win as Clinton prepares for a last stand in Texas and Ohio.
Posted by: cubgac | February 19, 2008 6:33 PM
cheeseheads 55%
hula girls 45%
Posted by: octavio | February 19, 2008 6:32 PM
Obama 51%
Clinton 46%
McCain 56%
Huckleberry Hound 36%
Paul 6%
Posted by: collins | February 19, 2008 6:32 PM
Democrats
Obama: 51%
Clinton: 44%
Storyline: Same again - Obama keeps the momentum; Clinton still in contention.
Republicans
McCain: 50%
Huckabee: 40%
Paul: 2%
Storyline: McCain almost over the line; Huckabee firms as potential VP candidate.
Posted by: aegisal | February 19, 2008 6:32 PM
Obama 52%
Clinton 48%
Huge youth vote BUT the approx 30% of WI college/uni students, who are out-of-state, can't vote.
Also, HRC swamps Obama in the Fox Valley industrial corridor from Green Bay to Kenosha.
Posted by: garth | February 19, 2008 6:30 PM
Obama 56%
Clinton 43%
McCain 48%
Huckabee 46%
Dems: Clinton's negative attacks and her campaign reshuffle back-fire, Obama wins on strength of young and indpendents, the elderly vote is almost evenly split. Ohio and TX are the Last Stand for Clinton.
GOP: Huckabee hails the evening as a victory and looks to TX as his greatest chance to swing the fate of the primary. McCain, unfazed by the narrow margin, keeps plodding through trying to rally conservatives.
Posted by: joseph.urso | February 19, 2008 6:30 PM
Obama: 54%
Clinton: 46%
McCain: 58%
Huckabee: 42%
Posted by: sethmarc | February 19, 2008 6:30 PM
Dems: Obama 51
Clinton 39
GOP: McCain 52
Huckabee 40
Storyline:
Clinton camp's going negative fails to pay off, Straight-talk express continues straight toward the nomination.
Posted by: MrWallace | February 19, 2008 6:29 PM
Clinton - 52
Obama - 48
Storyline: It's the Economy, Stupid!
McCain - 64%
Huckabee - 31%
Paul - 5%
Storyline - Huck Fans Fade. McCain Moves On.
Posted by: jeffreyraymond | February 19, 2008 6:29 PM
DEMS
Clinton 53%
Obama 46%
Storyline: Clinton's new populist tone pays off.
REPS
McCain 56%
Huck 40%
Storyline: McCain begins to win over conservatives.
Posted by: dmoralestx | February 19, 2008 6:28 PM
I hope I'm wrong but I'll guess:
Obama - Clinton are to all intents and purposes tied in Wisconsin (both 49.x%). Obama only hundreds ahead and Clinton saying this is a huge victory for her (whilst querying the result with lawyers).
The storyline (with the result less than clear the following morning) being, "Whoever out of Obama and Clinton clinches the state, the real victor is the nagative campaigning tactic as the Democrats brace themselves for a messy and long fight."
Posted by: dballagher | February 19, 2008 6:27 PM
I predict
Obama 56%
Hillary 43%
1% Other
McCain 45%
Huckalberry 39%
Ron Paul 12%
Posted by: janswan | February 19, 2008 6:26 PM
Obama and Hillary are spending a lot of time and money just for the honor of being the answer in a triva game in 20 years, when the question is, "Who ran against President McCain in '08?".
Posted by: aolondon | February 19, 2008 6:26 PM
ablackstormy -
If you think a 2% loss in Wisconsin would mean it's over for Obama, you clearly haven't been paying attention.
Posted by: thecrisis | February 19, 2008 6:24 PM
Obama 99%
Peter Griffin .09%
Chris Cillizaa .01%
Clinton -100%
Storyline: Are you an Obama mama?
Huckabee 100%
McCain turns out to be Hillary Clinton in disguise trying to rig an election!
Storyline: America Deceived?
Just curious what happens if Obama wins pledged delegates but Clinton wins super delegates. Seems pretty non-democratic to me!
Posted by: ThoughtfulMonk | February 19, 2008 6:23 PM
Obama: 56%
Clinton: 44%
McCain: 48%
Huckabee: 39%
Paul: 5%
Storyline: Obama scores another win, adding more momentum to campaign. Clinton slams brakes on negative ads. McCain still on his merry way to the GOP nomination. Renewed calls for Huckabee to exit.
Posted by: gordie_foote | February 19, 2008 6:22 PM
Wisconsin:
Obama: 55%
Clinton: 43%
Other: 2%
Headline: Clinton Retreats to Texas Alamo for Last Stand
McCain: 58%
Huchabee: 36%
Other: 6%
Headline: McCain Readies Swiftboats
Posted by: NewEra | February 19, 2008 6:21 PM
*DEM*
Obama: 55%
Clinton: 44%
Storyline: "Obama's Words Are More Than Cheese: Wins Wisconsin."
*GOP*
McCain: 51%
Huckabee: 39%
Storyline: "Badgers? Conservatives Don't Need No Stinkin' Badgers: McCain Wins Again."
Posted by: wwkayaker | February 19, 2008 6:20 PM
Obama 51%, Clinton 48% (although this race may still be too close to call based on the weather, with a projected 35% registered voter turnout and the lingering sting of the "style" versus "substance" criticism).
McCain 67%, Huckabee 20%, Paul 12% (is it time for Huckabee to step aside for the presumptive Republican nominee already?)
Posted by: dparkdon07 | February 19, 2008 6:19 PM
Clinton 56
Obama 43
Edwards 1
Headline: The Comeback Kid
Reality: Negative campaigning works... particularly with stupid people
Huck 46
McCain 44
Paul 10
Headline: Huck delays McCain for only a few weeks
Reality: Evolution loses to religion.
Posted by: dcraven925 | February 19, 2008 6:19 PM
Democrats:
- Obama - 54%
- Clinton - 45%
Republicans:
- McCain - 57%
- Huckabee - 42%
Posted by: nic.roxylife | February 19, 2008 6:17 PM
Clinton:53%
Obama: 47%
McCain 60%
Huckabee 35%
Paul 5%
Reasons: Clinton is a blue collar candidate,economy is the key, not the Obama fervor. Also there are far more whites Wisconsinettes than blacks. Obama can not play the racial game.There will be a big surprise for the Obama camp. Clinton will eventually win the momimee in the conference fight.
Posted by: johnycheng1 | February 19, 2008 6:17 PM
Dem
Clinton 49
Obama 47
Headline - Clinton start to inspires again.
Rep
McCain 62
Huckabee 30
Headline - conservative Republican vote for Clinton instead of McCain.
Posted by: j2yueh | February 19, 2008 6:17 PM
Obama 49.3
Clinton 48.8
Clinton campaign spins close result as a 'victory'
McCain 65
Huckabee 28
Paul 4
Pressure increases from party elders for Huckabee to withdraw
Posted by: jimoneill50 | February 19, 2008 6:17 PM
Dems-
Obama 51
Clinton 46
Reps-
McCain 57
Huckabee 38
Posted by: anthonyjbrady | February 19, 2008 6:16 PM
Against all odds - it's a tie!
Obama wins by 150 votes, Clinton claims victory.
Posted by: diabloquick.wa | February 19, 2008 6:16 PM
Dems-
Obama 51
Clinton 46
Reps-
McCain 57
Huckabee 38
Posted by: anthonyjbrady | February 19, 2008 6:16 PM
Democrats:
Obama 54%
Hillary 44%
Republicans:
McCain 39%
Huck 33%
Ron Paul 28%
Posted by: dogsbestfriend | February 19, 2008 6:15 PM
Obama 56
Hillary 44
Storyline---Going negative blows up in Hillary's face as Obama wins 9th and 10th in a row
Republicans---does it matter?
Posted by: samerickson | February 19, 2008 6:15 PM
Clinton: 53
Obama: 46
Story: Negativity Pays Off for Clinton
McCain: 58
Huckabee: 36
Story: McCain Rolls On
Posted by: cdavis1381 | February 19, 2008 6:14 PM
Obama 55
Clinton 43
Headline: ObamaMo!
McCain 63
Huckabee 32
Paul 5
Headline: Time for Huck to give it up?
Posted by: psfiske | February 19, 2008 6:14 PM
Obama gets a mere 51% in Hawaii?! No way ... he'll clear 70%. It's a caucus state, remember?
OK, for the WI stakes:
Obama 56, Clinton 43, other 1
McCain 52, Huckabee 42, Paul et al 6
Storyline:
Obama: Electability electability electability. Graciously thanks WI for key win, but the real story is in head-to-head national polls showing big leads over McCain (who beats HRC in swing states).
McCain: Wisconsin voters would rather have a beer with McCain, especially since the Huckster doesn't drink (at least I'm guessing that he doesn't ...).
Posted by: julie | February 19, 2008 6:13 PM
Democrats;
Obama: 57%
Clinton: 43%
storyline: When will Hilary concede?
Republicans:
McCain: 61%
Huckabee: 39%
Storyline: McCain's prayers answered.
Posted by: thebobbob | February 19, 2008 6:10 PM
Dems:
Obama:50
Clinton: 48
Storyline: 10 in a row causes worry in Clinton. She looks towards Texas to save her campaign.
Rep:
Mac: 45
Huck: 40
Paul: 15
Storyline: Establishment continues lining up behind McCain but conservatives dont care. They know a wolf in sheep's clothing when they see one.
Posted by: Normscoffee | February 19, 2008 6:10 PM
Obama: 59
Clinton: 41
Obama cuts into key Clinton demographics: whites, women. In the next few days, public signs of exasperation at the Clintons from party big-wigs who want a clean shot at McCain.
McCain: 71
Huckabee: 22
When is Huckabee outta here?
In other news: Chuck Norris attacks fellow Texan George H.W. Bush, not because of the latest endorsement, but to steal the former president's new Fix t-shirt.
Posted by: wtomasko09 | February 19, 2008 6:10 PM
Obama 54.2%
Clinton 43.8%
Other 2%
McCain 55%
The Huckster 30%
Williard Romney 10%
Paul 2%
Other 3%
Trojan
Posted by: ataridem | February 19, 2008 6:09 PM
Dems:
Obama: 53%
Clinton: 43%
Other: 4%
Storyline: "Going negative doesn't kill hope."
(I was pretty certain Clinton was going to do well, but after checking the blog @ Wispolitics.com, it looks like the huge metro student turn-out, lower-than-expected rural turn-out and related blog posts probably put Obama in better shape than I thought).
Republicans:
McCain: 69%
Huckabee: 30%
Paul: 1%
Storyline: (Do we really need one? McCain's the nominee. Game over.)
Posted by: VoiceofReason5 | February 19, 2008 6:08 PM
Obama 56.5
Clinton 48.4
McCain 58
Huckabee 32
Paul 6
Clinton Camp: Election Results "Just Words"
McCain Camp: For Whom is the Bell Tolling, Mike?
Posted by: judgeccrater | February 19, 2008 6:07 PM
Obama 54
Clinton 44
Huckabee 47
McCain 44
Paul 7%
Posted by: grassboots | February 19, 2008 6:07 PM
Obama: 56
Clinton: 43
Other: 1
McCain: 59
Huckabee: 35
Paul: 4
Other: 2
Headline: Barack's streak continues, but Texas and Ohio stand in his way of the nomination; McCain in complete control, but Republican's apathy reflected in turnout.
Posted by: GoHuskies2004 | February 19, 2008 6:07 PM
McCain's locking of his nomination and an open primary give Obama added support from independents.
Obama 54%
Clinton 45%
Posted by: BABucher | February 19, 2008 6:06 PM
Ds:
BHO 55 HRC 45
Rs:
McC 50 MDH 43 RP 7
Clinton: "I beat expectations!"
Huckabee: "This is fun!"
Posted by: mark_in_austin | February 19, 2008 6:06 PM
Wisconsin:
Clinton- 49
Obama- 47
Headline: 'WI Wants More Than Words: Clinton Surprises Pollsters, Mounts Comeback #2'
Hawaii:
Obama- 51
Clinton- 45
Headline: 'First Daughter Helps Clinton, but Hawaii Chooses Native Son'
Posted by: AC19 | February 19, 2008 6:05 PM
Democrate:
Hilary 54
Obama 45
Republican:
McCain 51
Huckabee 39
Paul 10
Posted by: fzheng501 | February 19, 2008 6:04 PM
p.s. that fix shirt design is the BOMB, as the youngsters would say. can I just buy one?
Posted by: thecrisis | February 19, 2008 6:04 PM
WI
- Obama - 64%
- Hillary 35%
Democrats uniting around Obama.
Within a week, Edwards endorses Obama.
Posted by: fourhourelection | February 19, 2008 6:03 PM
Wisconsin is an open primary with lots of independents and - with sameday registration - the young people are going to turn out in droves. Yeah NH had independents too, but that was before South Carolina when the campaigning started to go downhill and dirty for Clinton.
Obama 61%
Clinton 39%
McCain 49%
Huckabee 42%
Paul 9%
Posted by: grimmix | February 19, 2008 6:03 PM
Obama 65-68
Clinton 32-35
What the huck is wrong with Huckabee? Just cant let go of all the media attention? What a joke!
Posted by: amitavar | February 19, 2008 6:02 PM
Sen. Barrack Obama- 48%
Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton- 47%
Sen. John mcCain- 54%
Former Gov. mike Huckabee- 29%
"Clitnon not dead yet; Mccain seals the deal...again"
Posted by: AM91091 | February 19, 2008 6:02 PM
Sen. Barrack Obama- 48%
Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton- 47%
Sen. John mcCain- 54%
Former Gov. mike Huckabee- 29%
"Clitnon not dead yet; Mccain seals the deal...again"
Posted by: AM91091 | February 19, 2008 6:02 PM
Clinton 53%
Obama 45%
Other 2%
McCain 64
Huckabee 28
Romney 4
Ron Paul 4
Posted by: john_hull2004 | February 19, 2008 6:02 PM
Obama: 53
Clinton: 45
McCain: 62
Huckabee: 31
Storyline: American Eagle Outfitters, Abercrombie and Fitch simultaneously sue Chris Cillizza for design infringement over Fix logo.
Also, Clinton negative campaigning has negligible effect on voter preferences - Obama still wins fairly comfortably.
Posted by: ManUnitdFan | February 19, 2008 6:01 PM
Wisconsin
Obama-60%
Clinton-39%
Hawaii
Obama-75%
Clinton 25%
More Clinton Staff fired. Carville and Begala brought into the fold in last gasp.
Wisonsin
McCain-58%
Huckabee-35%
Paul-7%
McCain asks Huckabee "WTF". Huckabee uses last of frequent flyer points to get home. Drops out Thursday.
Posted by: kim | February 19, 2008 6:01 PM
Obama - 59
Clinton - 41
Republicans:
Huckabee - 49%
McCain - 47%
Paul - 4%
Headline 1: Huckabee Stuns McCain, Activists call for McCain to drop out (and I win the shirt as being the only reader to pick huckabee!)
Headline 2: Maggie Williams out as Clinton campaign manager afetr only one contest... Ragin Cajun calls for Clinton to drop out.
Posted by: bob | February 19, 2008 6:01 PM
Obama: 50
Clinton: 48
Other: 2
Storyline (Regardless of who wins): Ohio/Texas is now most important election since the guys with the togas in the coliseum, so be sure to tune in to our 36 hour Ohio-Texas Two-Step non-stop coverage extravaganza (and watch Wolf's beard grow on air as a bonus).
McCain: 53
Huckapower: 39
Paul: 7
Other: 1
Story: Can't McCain just challenge Laura Ingraham to a boxing match or something and get this "true conservative" storyline over with?
Posted by: pinkopatriot | February 19, 2008 6:00 PM
Obama 55
Clinton 44
Other 1
McCain 68
Huckabee 31
Other 1
Obama's In Tall Cotton Now!
Posted by: llarsen | February 19, 2008 5:59 PM
Obama 55
Clinton 47
McCain 50
Huckabee 47
Paul 2
10th time not a charm for Clinton. McCain growing more perturbed by Huckabee's prescence, behind doors push for him to drop out and endorse McCain
Posted by: davehomuth | February 19, 2008 5:59 PM
Obama 55%
Clinton 42%
Headline - Clinton Camp, "Wisconsin Doesn't Count".
Posted by: derrick | February 19, 2008 5:58 PM
Obama 52
Clinton 46
Other 2
McCain 64
Huckabee 33
Other 3
Posted by: jaclyn.dilauro | February 19, 2008 5:56 PM
Here it is ...
Obama 56%
Clinton 41%
Other 3%
McCain 55%
Huckabee 39%
Paul 4%
Other 2%
Posted by: phoenixresearch | February 19, 2008 5:55 PM
Obama 58%
Clinton 41%
Other ~1%
McCain 54%
Huckabee 42%
Other ~ 4%
Independents largely vote in the Democratic column, 66% to 34% in the GOP race.
The big story is that Independents are favoring the Democrats and Obama by a much larger percentage than either Hillary or the GOP.
Secondly, women are now trending more towards Obama than before and this trend is going to rattle the Clinton campaign a great deal even while Hillary still gets a majority of the female vote but by a lessening margin.
Lastly, white males are continuing to trend toward Obama,.
GOP turnout is only marginally higher than in prior primaries, the ones already held (this excludes caucuses). This shows a continuing lack of enthusiasm, either for the candidates or in anticipation of a lost cause in November. This is a direct effect of the GWB regime's "accomplishments" for America and for the GOP.
Posted by: can8tiv | February 19, 2008 5:55 PM
For Wisconsin:
Obama: 59%
Clinton: 40%
Storyline: Obama clinches a good margin by making inroads to Clinton's core areas of support (women, working-class) and, because of independents.
McCain: 55%
Huckabee: 44%
Storyline: McCain fails to draw independents and thus Huckabee loses, but by a smaller margin than expected, emphasizing McCain's dilemma of uniting Republican voters.
Posted by: darkestcloud | February 19, 2008 5:55 PM
clinton 52%
obama 48%
story: clinton manages to break obama momentum going to the march 4
McCain 58%
Huckabee 32%
others 10%
story: Huckabee are u going to wrap up yet?
Posted by: agrawal_roopa | February 19, 2008 5:54 PM
Dems:
Obama 59%
Clinton 39%
Other 2%
White men won't vote for Obama?
Reps:
McCain 46%
Huck 45%
Paul 7%
Other 2%
McCain thanks god that the Republicans are not using the Dems primary system otherwise he would have to admit he is the one in the closer race.
Posted by: Southeasterner | February 19, 2008 5:54 PM
Obama 52
Clinton 47
McCain 61
Huckabee 33
Paul 6
Obama keeps riding his momentum and Huckabee becomes even less relevent.
Posted by: bigrusslds | February 19, 2008 5:54 PM
D's
Obama 50
Clinton 45
Storyline: Obama picks up two more states, but Clinton closes back in. Race will get more negative as we move to Ohio and Texas...
R's
McCain: 50
Huckabee: 40
Paul: 6
Storyline: Huckabee hanging in the race, while McCain continues to go after the possible Democratic nominees...
Posted by: rpy1 | February 19, 2008 5:54 PM
McCain 52%
Huckabee 43%
Obama 54%
Clinton 46%
Obama is 10-0. Clinton do or die on March 4.
Posted by: lmeert | February 19, 2008 5:53 PM
D:
Clinton: 51%
Obama: 47%
Others (Gravel, Edwards, etc): 2%
Story: The soft negative works for Clinton, the "facts over rhetoric" line starts to stick, makes a dent in the Obama momentum movement.
R:
McCain: 52%
Huckabee: 38%
Paul: 10%
Story: Not much of one, the Straight Talk Express is chugging along.
Posted by: mtconnelly | February 19, 2008 5:51 PM
Oh yeah, the republicans vote, too:
McCain 54 Huck 40 Paul 6
Obama 55 Clinton 44
Weather from North Pole delivers gift to Obama
Posted by: optimyst | February 19, 2008 5:48 PM
Clinton = 52%
Obama = 46%
Other = 2%
McCain = 65%
Huckabee= 30%
Other = 5%
Clinton bounces back tonight.
McCain steals Obama voters.
Race for both nominations continues.
Posted by: brendanneal | February 19, 2008 5:46 PM
Clinton-49%
Obama-49%
McCain-51
Huckabee-36
Paul-10
Headline--Wisconsin too close to call on Democratic side; McCain sures up conservative voters.
Posted by: brianspak | February 19, 2008 5:46 PM
Guys/Christ?!?! Who won last week's prediction contest for the Potomac Primary?
Wisconsin
---------------------------------
Democrats
Obama - 56
Clinton - 44
Obama Roll Continues; Hillary's Negatives Prove Fail to Stunt Momentum
Republicans
McCain - 49
Huckabee - 44
Paul - 5
McCain Continues to Underperform as the Frontrunner
Posted by: jpsherer | February 19, 2008 5:45 PM
Obama 54
Clinton 45
Other 1
'With key demographics deserting her, will Clinton make it to Ohio/Texas?'
McCain 53
Huckabee 43
Paul 3
Other 1
'McCain continues to face problems uniting the GOP'
Posted by: JiffyMoo | February 19, 2008 5:44 PM
Just one question, if I get pulled over while wearing that shirt, will the police ask to search my car for drugs? :-)
Posted by: optimyst | February 19, 2008 5:44 PM
Either way, you can bet Hillary will find something to moan about! Snow is so unconstitutional!
Obama 56%
HRC 44%
For the good of the party Hillary stand down.
Posted by: pr8mrh | February 19, 2008 5:43 PM
Obama 52%
Clinton 47%
Clinton strategists remember that going negative can work and will ramp up the negativity. The question is, will Obama follow suit?
McCain: 63%
Huckabee: 30%
McCain declares victory as conservatives cry and yweissm1 laughs all the way to his fix tshirt
Posted by: yweissm1 | February 19, 2008 5:42 PM
Obama: 57%
Clinton: 43%
McCain: 52%
Huckabee: 41%
Paul: 7%
Obama notes his victory comes in spite of Clinton's apparent demographic advantage; Clinton yet again fails to acknowledge Obama in concession.
Huckabee admits he is remaining in race because McCain "is really really old."
Posted by: jallenba | February 19, 2008 5:41 PM
Democrats:
Obama: 55%
Clinton: 44%
Storyline: Obama's Winning Streak Unbroken
Republicans:
McCain: 57%
Huckabee: 34%,
Paul: 5%
Posted by: prantha | February 19, 2008 5:41 PM
Obama 58
Clinton 40
Obama maintains momentum into March 4th Junior Tuesday (aka Ohio-Texas Two-Step)
McCain 49
Huckabee 42
Paul 7
McCain continues to march to GOP nomination, but unable to unify party
Posted by: asacks | February 19, 2008 5:40 PM
Clinton 51
Obama 48
Storyline: Dems still struggling to select a nominee through Nov 5.
McCain 64
Huckabee 26
Paul 10
Storyline: Why can't you just get it through your head, it's over ...
Posted by: pjd56 | February 19, 2008 5:40 PM
Obama 59%
Clinton 41%
McCain 48%
Huckabee 44%
Paul 8%
Headline: "Obamamentum" continues, Obama picks off key Clinton demographic groups, looks strong going into March 4; Huckabee continues to be a thorn in McCain's side, McCain still looks inevitable in spite of it all
Posted by: jumpin_bob | February 19, 2008 5:40 PM
Clinton 50.5
Obama 48.7
McCain 56
Huckabee 36
Paul 7
Storyline: Obama has work to do with women. Clinton wins women by 24 points.
Posted by: steveboyington | February 1
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