Mississippi Primary Predictions
The focus of the Democratic presidential race turns today to Mississippi where Sens. Hillary Rodham Clinton (N.Y.) and Barack Obama (Ill.) square off for the last time before a long six week hiatus from votes.
The Magnolia State should be fertile territory for Obama due to its sizable (36 percent) black population and his past successes in southern state primaries, including Georgia, Alabama, Louisiana and South Carolina.
Polling in the state is scarce but Obama seems to be the favorite; Pollster.com shows Obama with an average of 54 percent to Clinton's 38 percent in Mississippi.
As regular Fix readers know, if there's a primary vote, there's a prediction contest going on here. We're changing things up a bit from our recent contests though. We still want the order of finish (with percentages) for Obama and Clinton but instead of predicting a storyline, which will almost assuredly be some variation of "On to Pennsylvania," we want your guess on what percentage of today's electorate African American voters will be.
Offer your predictions on both the order of finish and the black percentage of the vote in the comments section below. Any predictions e-mailed directly to me will not be counted. And, since polls close in Mississippi at 8 p.m. EDT, no predictions sent in after that time will be considered.
The winners will receive the official Fix T-shirt. Due to the extended primary (and caucus) season, The Fix had to order more t-shirts. But, the good news is that the shirts have been ordered and are on their way now. A past winner of the predictions contest? Soon you'll be the envy of your neighbors, friends and (most importantly) enemies as you sport your Fix t-shirt around town.
By Chris Cillizza |
March 11, 2008; 2:14 PM ET
| Category:
Eye on 2008
Previous: Assessing the Spitzer Fallout |
Next: Obama, Clinton Tangle Over Ferraro

Get This Widget >>

Posted by: crodolfa | March 11, 2008 9:01 PM
Obama 63
Clinton 36
Storyline: All eyes turn to Pennsylvania and NC
Posted by: gabemeister | March 11, 2008 8:59 PM
Miss:
Obama: 61
Clinton: 38
% African American: 65%
Posted by: buster2 | March 11, 2008 8:56 PM
Obama 58%
Clinton 41%
African American vote 47%
Posted by: dhg1 | March 11, 2008 8:53 PM
Obama - 61%
Clinton - 38%
AF-AM - 43%
Posted by: johnmccormack1 | March 11, 2008 8:51 PM
Obama 62
Clinton 38
Split: 89/11
Posted by: john | March 11, 2008 8:51 PM
Obama 57%
Clinton 41%
aa vote of total--37%
aa vote for obama 89%
aa vote for clinton 11%
Posted by: noshecant | March 11, 2008 8:22 PM
Clinton: 78%
Obama: 21%
Other: 1%
Headline: Clinton upset victory in Mississippi after Spitzer confesses to having paid Obama for sex.
Posted by: ashafer_usa | March 11, 2008 8:22 PM
Obama 61.5%
Clinton 37.2%
45.4% of Democratic voters will be African American
Posted by: aestival | March 11, 2008 8:10 PM
Obama: 64%
Clinton: 32%
Posted by: MikeReynard | March 11, 2008 8:07 PM
Obama: 69%
Clinton: 29%
70% of Democratic voters will be African American.
Posted by: 44west | March 11, 2008 8:01 PM
Obama 59%
Clinton 39%
AA vote- 72%
Posted by: noshecant | March 11, 2008 8:01 PM
Obama: 60%
Clinton: 38%
AA Turnout: 54%
Posted by: EricLopez1067 | March 11, 2008 7:41 PM
Obama: 58
Clinton: 42
Black vote: 39%
Fix T-Shirt turnout in my mailbox: hopeful.
Posted by: Boutan | March 11, 2008 7:40 PM
BO: 64%
HRC: 35%
African-American vote, total: 41%
African-American vote, BO: 91%
African-American vote, HRC: 9%
Posted by: muaddib_7 | March 11, 2008 7:34 PM
From Northern California:
FINAL RESULTS
Obama 63%
Clinton 38%
Percentage of African-American registered voters, voting: 71%
Some super delegates and party-influentials will observe the 25 point spread and quietly suggest that Hillary be positioned for Secretary of State. Weeks before she would have lost Pennsylvania, this is postulated as a sharp new strategy for a credible Democratic win in November.
Posted by: rmnagel | March 11, 2008 7:32 PM
Obama 58%
Clinton 41%
Black vote Obama 77.7%
Clinton 22.2%
"Obama's delegate win forces Clinton to activate Plan B - go for the VP slot while claiming a victory."
Posted by: isart | March 11, 2008 7:12 PM
Jacksmith, give it up. You post the same propaganda bull on every news article. Hilary is just not electable and Bush's cronies are waiting for her to be nominated so they can prosecute her for the Peter Paul campaign fraud. She is culpable and would take the Democratic party down with her on the way to prison if nominated.
72% Obama
26% Clinton
76% Black voter turnout
Posted by: mbshults | March 11, 2008 7:10 PM
MS
Obama- 58
Clinton- 40
African American turnout is 53%.
Posted by: jthemann | March 11, 2008 7:06 PM
Never mind -- when I posted it displayed the correct time (it posted the wrong time in the preview pane, weird!)
Posted by: zagrossadjadi | March 11, 2008 7:05 PM
Prediction:
Remembering that 36% of the TOTAL population is African-American, that means that FAR MORE than half of the voters are African-American. HOWEVER, the Mississippi primary is open (so Republicans can go into the mix as well). In 2004, 56% of the Democratic voters were African-American. I would like to think they will come out in greater numbers in 2008 but they didn't in Texas, so I will predict 56% of the electorate will be African-American and I see them breaking 85%-15% for Obama (like other states). The other 44% (white) vote, I think will go 2-1 for Hillary as Obama has consistently been able to take at least a third of that vote (usually a lot more) in every state where there has been a 2 person contest. Realistically, the only way Obama gets less than 60% is if there is a collapse of the African-American vote (highly unlikely) or Republicans start voting in the Mississippi Democratic primary in droves for Clinton (equally unlikely, despite Rush Limbaugh):
My Predictions:
Obama 62.3%
Clinton 37.7%
African-American Percentage: 56%
Obama 85% of AA turnout
Clinton 15%
White/Other Percentage: 44%
Obama 33.3% of White/Other turnout
Clinton 66.7% of White/Other turnout
BTW, your timer is wrong. Since daylight savings time adjusted the time but your website did not adjust. It is now 7:03 PM EST, not 8:03 PM EST.
Posted by: zagrossadjadi | March 11, 2008 7:04 PM
Obama - 60%
Clinton - 36%
A/A Percentage - 48%
Posted by: cferry3124 | March 11, 2008 7:01 PM
BHO 62
HRC 37
A-A 55
Posted by: mark_in_austin | March 11, 2008 7:01 PM
Obama 65%
Hillary 35%
AA vote - 60%
Posted by: goodwater1 | March 11, 2008 6:58 PM
Obama: 57
Clinton: 43
A-A Vote:
Obama: 92
Clinton 8
Posted by: sean.kelly | March 11, 2008 6:56 PM
Obama 64%
Clinton 35%
Afr.-Amer. Vote 58%
Bonus Snarky Headlines: "Obama campaign continues its slide to utter failure with another big win," or "Obama wins big in Mississippi . . . but, like duh . . . of course it doesn't count. Get real!"
Posted by: murawski | March 11, 2008 6:56 PM
Obama: 61%
Clinton: 39%
AA turn out 65%
AA vote:
Obama: 79%
Clinton: 21%
White voters:
Obama 40%
Clinton 60%
Posted by: xijinliu | March 11, 2008 6:52 PM
Order of finish:-
Obama: 58%
Clinton: 42%
what percentage of today's electorate African American voters will be:-
Out of the total electorate 36% are African Americans, and if 90% vote then it would be 32%
Posted by: Naveen.Sattaru | March 11, 2008 6:51 PM
To those whom aren't aware that racism still exists, please enroll yourself into Sociology.
If racism didn't still exist, we'd have no reason to count White % votes, Black % votes, Hispanic % votes, Asian % votes...etc etc etc...how much more evidence do we need?
Who cares about which "category" of people voted for whom? Isn't the most important piece of information is the general percentage of people as a whole that voted for either candidate? The division by the category can have negative effects. This is not a "race" election, or battle of the races. People truly see a vision through Obama and that's solely what that is. It's a good thing that people recognize a wonderful candidate whom no doubt will do this country good. I'm not saying that Hillary won't, but McCain has already said he'll continue Bush's nonsense that got us nowhere but down really fast. Anyone with common sense will not vote for that.
Posted by: lilofoxlet | March 11, 2008 6:50 PM
Whoops i goofed, you were looking for the percentage of the black vote not how much Obama would receive...
so again the total vote will be
obama 52
clinton 48
and the Black vote will total 41%
Posted by: caribookidca | March 11, 2008 6:47 PM
Obama - 54%
Clinton - 46%
African American Percentage: 53%
Posted by: rex.xox | March 11, 2008 6:45 PM
obama 52
clinton 48
black vote
obama 72
clinton 28
Posted by: caribookidca | March 11, 2008 6:44 PM
Obama 71
Clinton 29
I think telling Obama he should move on back to VP for Mrs. Clinton will really piss off Mississippi voters!
Posted by: zst | March 11, 2008 6:43 PM
oops, forgot the AA vote-37%
Once again...57/42 in favor of Barack
Posted by: jjsoffer | March 11, 2008 6:42 PM
Obama 59%
Clinton 40%
African American voter %
44%
Posted by: lmeert | March 11, 2008 6:42 PM
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rDHsHM0laT8
Why is this covered up?
Clinton should apologize!!
Posted by: hhkeller | March 11, 2008 6:40 PM
Obama's camp will continue to place the race card???? I have no reason to believe why that would be considering Obama's half white and so is his entire family. He has the best of both worlds and that would be a disgrace to his family to get up here in front of the nation with that nonsense. It's the media and specific individuals whom are noticing these racial characteristics, basically saying he is where he is because the black people, with all of their vote turnouts? He could not get where he is with them alone, and like it or not, people of various backgrounds and ages are voting for him altogether; I suppose many like Obama's vision and they're ready to step out of the old politics and favor his sincerity and common sense. Many people want that, that's what they're going for. All the more I like his attempt to unify people. That is important. He's already begun to do that.
I have heard of people mentioning of their discomfort of Obama due to his race. If those people don't catch up with the times, they're gonna be left twisting in the wind while everyone else is moving forward. Other people from other countries would love to have the opportunity to vote for Obama and they're foreigners!! I just didn't think that race is a required presidential qualification. Sometimes you have to step out of comfort zone to make further progress and we're frankly tired of the "same ol." I don't want anymore prepared speeches for the crowd, I want to be told exactly how it is with focus on this country and for the better of the people here and honesty, integrity, and transparency in that White House.
Obama, a man of the HUMAN RACE (as all of us belongs to), '08!!
Posted by: lilofoxlet | March 11, 2008 6:40 PM
Obama: 72%
Clinton: 27%
African-American Voters: 72%
Posted by: bscottup | March 11, 2008 6:40 PM
Barack 57
Hillary 42
Posted by: jjsoffer | March 11, 2008 6:40 PM
Can't say i've ever seen thes enames before. clinton meat puppets?
dig your holes clinton supporters. What will you say when she drops out? Who will you back then? Let's not pretend your democrats. Let's cut through the facade shall we. the game is up now
Posted by: JKrishnamurti | March 11, 2008 6:39 PM
Who do you predict will win the Mississippi Democratic Presidential Primary?
http://www.youpolls.com/details.asp?pid=1857
.
Posted by: PollM | March 11, 2008 6:39 PM
Obama 70%
Clinton 29%
African-American 49%
Posted by: wallyjrii | March 11, 2008 6:38 PM
if the shoe fits proud. If only you fascists/racists had the courage to really express your true beleifs. If only you had the courage.
don't let me stop the racial battle your wagin gher eon the fix. Continue.
how far this site has digrests since I used to blog here. :)
Posted by: JKrishnamurti | March 11, 2008 6:37 PM
Clinton 50.5%
Obama 49.5%
Black turnout: 47%
Posted by: aestern | March 11, 2008 6:37 PM
Obama 62%
Clinton 37%
Black vote = 56% of turnout
Posted by: dballagher | March 11, 2008 6:24 PM
"My prediction: The Obama camp will continue to play the race card every chance they get. "
Until November, when it plays its adulterer-hypocrite-corruption card on McCain.
Posted by: bondjedi | March 11, 2008 6:24 PM
This polls for this primary are closer than they "should" be. This means that the margin of victory should be small for Obama and a great get out the vote campaign for Clinton could put her in striking range but I don't think she can do it because she did not put the resources needed to win this one.
Obama 52
Clinton 48
8 in 10 African American voters turn out. Record turn out for both African Americans and Whites. Clinton receives 30 % of the African American vote.
"Obama wins a surprisingly close Mississippi primary."
Posted by: mcfield | March 11, 2008 6:20 PM
Obama: 63%
Clinton: 35%
AA turnout: 51%
Posted by: celticfan332 | March 11, 2008 6:20 PM
This is my son, "Uncle" Paulie's prediction:
Obama 64%
Clinton 36%
AA = 57% of the electorate; 95%
Obama Shoves More Dirt into the Grave!
Posted by: johng1 | March 11, 2008 6:15 PM
Obama 67%
Clinton 32%
African-American percentage of turnout 60%
Posted by: kahndo | March 11, 2008 6:14 PM
Ferraro said "I'm sorry that people thought it was racist." But she quickly turned the tables on Obama, claiming his supporters are too eager to cry race when faced with criticism.
"What I find is offensive is every time anybody says something about the campaign, you're accused of being racist," she said.
My prediction: The Obama camp will continue to play the race card every chance they get.
Posted by: proudtobeGOP | March 11, 2008 6:14 PM
Obama 57%
Clinton 43%
Black % of vote 40%
Storyline:
"Obama cruises to victory in Mississippi, extends delegate lead over Clinton."
Posted by: Digital_Voter | March 11, 2008 6:13 PM
Obama: 60
Clinton: 39
African-American percentage of turnout: 48%
Posted by: jumpin_bob | March 11, 2008 6:10 PM
WHO INVENTED THE "KITCHEN SINK" ?? DAVID AXELROD, MR. OBAMA'S SPIN SALESMAN.
MR. OBAMA IS RESPONSIBLE FOR EVERYTHING IN THAT SINK.
IT WOULD BE NICE IF HE TOOK RESPONSIBILITY
IT WOULD BE NICE IF HE WOULD ANSWER QUESTIONS DURING THIS INTERVIEW RATHER THAN WALKING OUT ON REPORTERS
WE'RE JUST GETTING RID OF A GUY WHO DOESN'T THINK HE HAS TO ANSWER FOR ANYTHING.
WRONG!!
NOT HIRED MR. OBAMA
Posted by: Thinker | March 11, 2008 6:03 PM
Obama - 61%
Clinton - 38%
African-American percentage: 44%
African-American vote:
Obama - 86%
Clinton - 14%
Posted by: Paula_Green | March 11, 2008 6:02 PM
Mr. Obama might want to beging
1) taking responsibility for the kitchen sink
2) being answering questions on this application rather than walking out on the press(ure)
MISSISSIPPI
Obama 55
Clinton 45
Closer than anyone would think. Hillary has the momentum
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rDHsHM0laT8&feature=related
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YuB_W8o_UsU
Posted by: Thinker | March 11, 2008 6:00 PM
Obama 66%
Clinton 33%
AA turnout 56%
Does anyone know if the results from the Ohio-Texas primaries predictions have been published? CC?
Posted by: jimoneill50 | March 11, 2008 6:00 PM
Obama - 59%
Clinton - 40%
African American percentage - 55%
Posted by: 06csg | March 11, 2008 6:00 PM
Obama 62
Clinton 38
African American percentage = 43%
Go Barack! Let's take Hillary down!
Posted by: GoHuskies2004 | March 11, 2008 5:59 PM
Obama 61
Clinton 39
%64
"Mississippi Burns for Obama"
Posted by: rjv3f | March 11, 2008 5:54 PM
Obama - 62%
Clinton - 38%
A-A in favor of Obama - 84%
btw:
It's ludicrous for Sen. Clinton to claim that she has passed the test to be Commander-in-Chief. Which test is she referring to and where can I sign up to take the test? Is it standardized? Multiple choice or free response?
Sens. Obama and McCain have also not demonstrated an ability to be Commander-in-Chief. Neither of them has been a commanding general in the U.S. Army such as Presidents Eisenhower, Grant, Hayes, Garfield, Pierce, Taylor, Jackson, Washington, etc.
In recent history, successful Presidents such as Reagen and Roosevelt have not been experienced military commanders. However, both proved to be extraordinary Commanders-in-Chief and Chief Executives. Thus, it's not a matter of experience. It's a matter of fortitude, communication, intelligence, and iconoclastic vision.
The latest Ferraro comment just serves to remind people that we need to leave the Bush and Clinton years of partisan rancor to history.
Posted by: patel | March 11, 2008 5:54 PM
OBAMA 57
CLINTON 38
AFRICAN AMERICAN 82%
Posted by: latinles1 | March 11, 2008 5:52 PM
Obama 60%
Clinton 40%
I decline to make a bet on the African-American vote.
Posted by: pbarnett52 | March 11, 2008 5:51 PM
Obama - 67%
Clinton - 33%
African American voter percentage 75%
Of those 80% Obama, Clinton 20%
Next state to win for Obama Pennsylvania!
Posted by: jordy1 | March 11, 2008 5:48 PM
Obama: 56%
Clinton 39%
Mickey Mouse: <1%
Voters that identify as African American: 40%
Posted by: JasonL_in_MD | March 11, 2008 5:46 PM
Can I write this in all caps?
Just kidding.
Okay, Obama over Clinton:
67% Obama
33% Clinton
He gets a majority of the AA vote plus a slight+ (enough and more) majority of the caucasian vote.
I think the story will be about how many southern whites go for BHO. Especially among men. The south has more experience with competent black politicians than the north is my 2ยข.
Spitzer may not be a factor, but he is a New York Democrat, just like Hill.
Posted by: tony_in_Durham_NC | March 11, 2008 5:46 PM
Obama - 64
Clinton - 35
Voters: 56 pct. black
NCAA's
Miss. St. - in, 10 seed
Ole Miss. - in with a SEC tourney win...
Posted by: faberman.jason | March 11, 2008 5:45 PM
Obama: 68
Clinton: 30
AA: 50
Posted by: soodus | March 11, 2008 5:45 PM
Obama 49%
Clinton 48%
Other: 3%
Black vote: 24%
Hillary surges in Mississippi, claims momentum-reversing victory. But some exit polls, as well as the relatively low proportion of African-American votes, suggest that her high vote tally reflects whites heeding Rush Limbaugh's exhortation to "swamp" the Democratic primaries with Clinton votes to help her win the nomination.
Posted by: jm917 | March 11, 2008 5:44 PM
Ok:
Considering that I may be the only Mississippian that lives in DC that would dare post a prediction, here are my thoughts about how the primary will turnout.
Obama:55%
Clinton:45%
African-Americans voting for Obama: 98%
Overall voting turnout for the primaries: 34%
I may not get the exact numbers, but I think I will be pretty darn close!
Posted by: dcplanner2002 | March 11, 2008 5:42 PM
Obama 54%
Clinton 44%
African American Vote: 45%
Posted by: jbuchsba | March 11, 2008 5:41 PM
Obama: 56.5
Clinton: 43.5
African-American vote: 72% for Obama
Posted by: hua_elrod | March 11, 2008 5:40 PM
Obama 64%
Clinton 35%
AA % of total vote: 54%
AA tilts 82% Obama, 17% Clinton
Posted by: slanochka | March 11, 2008 5:40 PM
Obama - 62%
Clinton - 35%
AA - 59%
Posted by: comtrevor | March 11, 2008 5:39 PM
Obama: 62%
Clinton: 38%
African-American vote share: 53%
Posted by: palas | March 11, 2008 5:39 PM
Obama:62%
Billary:37%
AA turn out:57%
Obama:88%
Billary:12%
Storylines for tomorrow: Obama-the new comback kid? also-high class@$$-gate slows hil-mentumn, is bill also a member too?
Posted by: jaymills1124 | March 11, 2008 5:39 PM
Ok:
Considering I might be the only real Mississippian that lives in DC and posting a prediction, here's my guess:
Obama: 55%
Clinton: 45%
African-American vote: 98%
Posted by: dcplanner2002 | March 11, 2008 5:38 PM
Obama 60
Clinton 38
AA% 55
Posted by: jdmcleodjr | March 11, 2008 5:37 PM
Obama - 60
Clinton - 39
AA% - 47
Posted by: lovell.bill | March 11, 2008 5:36 PM
Obama had 1,578 delegates to Clinton's 1,468 on Monday, according to the AP, a 110 delegate lead. By tomorrow morning, it will probably be 117 or 119.
Proportional allocation of delegates makes for one hard slog.
"UPDATE: Ben, a self-described obsessive delegate-counter, thinks it will turn out much closer because the districts are effectively racially gerrymandered:
CD2 is the district that is African-American and Obama could very well run up the margin to 5-2 there. But CD1 (rural district next to Arkansas) and CD4 (that the Clintons have targeted in their few appearances in the state) will definitely go 3-2 for Clinton. CD3 should be more interesting to watch but the final margin there will be 3-2 one way or another anyway.
So at best he would get 11-11 or maybe 12-10, with the extra delegate won statewide on top.
Wow. A 60-40 win in Wyoming added two delegates to his lead, and a similar lead tonight could possibly result in a tie."
http://campaignspot.nationalreview.com/post/?q=ZTY4NWY1Mzk3MmZlYzI4ODQwNjUxMWUwODNhY2Q3MzQ=
The long and winding road continues...on to Guam, indeed!
Posted by: proudtobeGOP | March 11, 2008 5:36 PM
Obama - 60%
Clinton - 35%
Storyline: Obama gains huge black momentum as he prepares for the DNC.
Posted by: darwinek | March 11, 2008 5:33 PM
Obama 32%
Rezko $100M
Posted by: svreader | March 11, 2008 5:33 PM
Obama: 58.5
Clinton: 31.5
African American split
Obama: 110%
Hillary: -9%
Just kidding!
Obama: 80.5%
Hillary: 19.5%
Posted by: judgeccrater | March 11, 2008 5:25 PM
Obama 59%
Clinton 41%
African-American Percentage of electorate:73%
Posted by: CurtLader | March 11, 2008 5:20 PM
Obama: 66%
Clinton: 33%
AA %: 46, 91% for Obama
Posted by: larry.handerhan | March 11, 2008 5:16 PM
Obama - 66%
Clinton - 32%
African-American - 71% of electorate.
Posted by: ksullivan | March 11, 2008 5:14 PM
Obama 55
Clinton 45
Storyline: On to Pennsylvania!
Posted by: jh1062 | March 11, 2008 5:14 PM
Total
Obama 61%
Clinton 38%
African American
Obama 92%
Clinton 8%
Posted by: maw55 | March 11, 2008 5:13 PM
Obama 67
Clinton 32
others 1
Posted by: rsudupa | March 11, 2008 5:12 PM
OBAMA 89%
Clinton 11%
AA: 96%
Miss Diss for Clinton!
Posted by: johng1 | March 11, 2008 5:12 PM
Obama 61%
Clinton 36%
Black vote = 47% of turnout
Posted by: msheik | March 11, 2008 5:09 PM
Obama 64%
Clinton 35%
African American vote - 52%
Posted by: trmasonic | March 11, 2008 5:07 PM
Obama---61%
Clinton 38%
African-American Percentage of Total Vote--42%
Posted by: cassidy918 | March 11, 2008 5:06 PM
Obama 75%
Clinton 25%
AA 98%
Senator Dodd has the right idea split the Michigan and Florida delgates in half, and save the country some money.
Posted by: bea_spencer | March 11, 2008 5:06 PM
Obama 58 Clinton 41 others 1
African Americans making up about 41% of voters who vote.
Posted by: peter.zimmerman | March 11, 2008 5:02 PM
The Florida and Michigan delegates should be seated. However, since the Florida and Michigan Democratic Party leaders knew the consequence of defying the DNC rules, they should be stripped of their superdelegate status.
Obama 62%
Clinton 34%
AA 85% Obama/9% Clinton
Posted by: walaalkiin01 | March 11, 2008 5:01 PM
Obama: 57
Clinton: 42
AA%: 62
Posted by: ryan.crowley | March 11, 2008 5:00 PM
leichtman - "Sam Walmart when he was alive didn't run Walmart the way it is run today, they 'were socially responsible then' but that was a reference to Walmart 25 years ago so its apples and oranges."
Really? How?
From Wiki - (On his first store) Walton made sure the shelves were consistently stocked with a wide range of goods at low prices. His store also stayed open later than most other stores, especially during the Christmas season. He also pioneered the practice of discount merchandising by buying wholesale goods from the lowest priced supplier. This allowed him to pass on savings to his customers, which drove up his sales volume. Higher volumes allowed him to negotiate even lower purchase prices with the wholesaler on subsequent purchases.
Sam Waltons's strategy was to put stores far away from the big competition in the cities and build in the cheap real estate sections near the little towns in order to compete with the Mom and Pop's instead. He looked to extract the maximum efficiencies from the process, just like they do now. He may have not imported as much from China back then but the Chinese market was not what it is now. One can easily argue that it is because of Sam's hardballing of suppliers on delivering the lowest price (something they have attempted to do since day one), they have forced jobs overseas and created that strategy for others to imitate. Don't get me wrong, I love WalMart. Always have. But the only thing they have done differently in the last 25 years is improve upon the foundation and ideals of Sam Walton.
Posted by: dave | March 11, 2008 4:56 PM
Obama 75%
Clinton 24%
Only die hard Clinton supporters will vote for her. I've lived in MS for 5 years and no one likes her. If Rep do cross over it would be for Obama since most are not excited about Mac
Posted by: rex | March 11, 2008 4:55 PM
oh, percentage of african american vote, not who wins how much. African Americans will make up 48%; Obama wins 62-38, takes the black vote 91-9
Posted by: ippolit | March 11, 2008 4:52 PM
OBAMA 62; clinton 38
OBAMA 91; clinton 9
Posted by: ippolit | March 11, 2008 4:51 PM
Obama 58%
Clinton 40%
storyline: nobody cares, it's pennsylvania that matter
african-american percentage of voters 55%
Posted by: smmalonso | March 11, 2008 4:48 PM
Someone mentioned her "hometown" of Scranton, PA. Just how many homes does this carpetbagging harpy have?!?!?!
Posted by: al_jal | March 11, 2008 4:46 PM
62% Obama
37% Clinton
65% of democratic voters are AA
44% of voters regardless of party are AA
Posted by: lynchbr1 | March 11, 2008 4:44 PM
Obama - 56%
Clinton - 41%
African American percentage of today's total number of voters - 48%
Posted by: mihnea1 | March 11, 2008 4:44 PM
Obama 69
Clinton 31
Pct: 48%
Posted by: fourhourelection | March 11, 2008 4:44 PM
Clinton: 51%
Obama: 45%
AA vote: 52%
*If I win, I hope I get TWO shirts, since I'm bucking the trend.*
Posted by: swoods65 | March 11, 2008 4:41 PM
your right leichtman. I, as an omaba supporter, needs to make up excuses why YOUR candiate did not do as she said. Like bush she makes excues and points the finger.
I know I know. He not meeting her goals and losing jobs rather than giaing them is all my fault. Or is it obama's?
I have to make excuses for hillary so enlighten me. HAHAHHAHA
Posted by: JKrishnamurti | March 11, 2008 4:40 PM
Look at bryant_flier2006 posting teh same predictions over and over. Who are you trying to convince? Yourself?
Why so many posts with the same thing
Posted by: JKrishnamurti | March 11, 2008 4:37 PM
Obama: 58%
Clinton: 39%
AA turnout: 46%
Posted by: kbnfox | March 11, 2008 4:36 PM
leichtman, you are so right.
During the 80s when Sam Walton ran Wal-mart, it was a great testimony to American business. It was after Sam died and the family parsed the control of the company to outside forced, did it change.
There was good growth in NYS until 9/11/01. People forget how devastating that attack was on the economy. And yet Hillary and Chuck Schumer fought hard against the Bush administration to make sure the money promised to the state. Hillary is straight up in my book.
Posted by: swoods65 | March 11, 2008 4:36 PM
Obama: 62%
Monster: 37%
African-American vote: 56%
Posted by: shawn.howard | March 11, 2008 4:36 PM
Lets talk about this:
After tonight, the number of states where Obama has carried the contest 60/40 or better:
16
And the same for CLinton:
1
(and that was Arkansas)
Posted by: zachrosenau | March 11, 2008 4:32 PM
African American Vote will be 59%.
Obama: 62%
Clinton: 38%
Posted by: bryant_flier2006 | March 11, 2008 4:31 PM
Obama-58
Clinton- 42
Percent Black- 63%
Posted by: viola061985 | March 11, 2008 4:31 PM
"Biloxi newspaper reports big REP crossover vote...Could be good news for Hillary if Rush effect is in effect.
Posted by: wpost4112 | March 11, 2008 03:58 PM
"
HAHAHHAHAHAHAHA
Rush is destroying himself for the inside out. :)
But by all means. Link clinton and rush. they are all the same. gop sabotuers. Only care about money, screw the country. Screw the parties. As long as they are good.
We'll see who sides with both. I'm betting both careers are over soon. Who wants to take that bet?
"CALLER: Hi, Rush. Listen, I'm going to get right to the point, and I hope I'll get my minute-and-a-half because you aren't going to like it. I am a Republican. I've listened to your show since '88. I will be voting for Mr. John McCain, and I'll be voting for him not because I agree with everything that he does or says but because he has absolute integrity. And I'll leave that comment there and tell you why I'm disgusted with you. The reason I'm disgusted with you completely, "integrity" is the key word here. I've been a Republican all my life, I'm 60 years old, we're better than that. By that, I mean just because somebody or the other party wrongs me or wrongs the Republican Party, the Republican Party has always been better than that. And just because they do it doesn't mean we -- it means we lose our integrity for having done what you had people do in Texas. I think you lost about 80 points of integrity with me.
RUSH: Out of how many?
CALLER: Out of I'd say about a hundred --
RUSH: Wow.
CALLER: -- because I've always looked up to you and thought you were great. This one issue -- I've never called before, I love listening -- but it has absolutely disgusted me because we are better than that. That's why I'm a Republican. That's why I'll never vote Democratic. They're not better than that.
RUSH: Do you like losing?
CALLER: I like integrity -- listen, here's the key. You, sir, and I, sir, have only three or four things in our entire life that we have absolute 100% control of, and nobody else can control it for us. And one of those two or three things is integrity. Get the picture?
RUSH: Do you like losing?
"
Does rush sound to anyone else like what clinton would say if asked the same questions?
Either you are fighting the fascists or enabling them. If you are enabling them, what does that make you?
They are the same. Clinton, coulter, rush, fox, cc. The american people reject them. Let's see how long they keep it up without the rest of america.
Posted by: JKrishnamurti | March 11, 2008 4:30 PM
Obama: 62%
Clinton: 38%
Headline: Obama wins big & dances to Dixie tonight! Clinton & Obama move forward to Pa.
Now, we can see if Obama can be the candidate of those flying the Dixie flag on their pick-up trucks. Remember that from Howard Dean 4 years ago? Classic!
Posted by: bryant_flier2006 | March 11, 2008 4:29 PM
Obama: 68%
Clinton: 30%
AA %age of voting electorate: 56%
Posted by: mpcombs16 | March 11, 2008 4:28 PM
so, you always got excuses..right JK, 911 was no big deal to New York job creation. She should have forseen that..
Posted by: leichtman | March 11, 2008 4:25 PM
Obama = 63%
Clinton = 36%
AA% = 68%
Posted by: dflips | March 11, 2008 4:24 PM
Obama: 68%
Clinton: 32%
African-American Voters: 62%
Posted by: nmalik | March 11, 2008 4:24 PM
"crabapples
Gold Member
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 1,859 Clinton called out on Jobs promise
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Buffalo native Tim Russert asked Hillary point blank if her 5 million job promise to America was a little bit of a stretch considering she promised New Yorkers 200,000 jobs in 2000 when she ran for Senate and the State has lost many jobs. Here is the exchange from the debate:
http://eod.liquidviewer.com/wben-od/..._russert-1.wma
Now my question: Will she be able to fulfill her promise of 200,000 jobs for New York if Obama wins the Presidency? Because under her logic, the only reason she couldnt follow through on her promise was because a Republican was elected to the White House. So say Obama gets elected, what will her excuse be then? She also doesnt address the fact that almost every state in the union saw an increase in the number of jobs under Bush. Now I am not saying he is a great President by any means, but that is a fact. She has run out of excuses. "
I didn't expect an answer. Clinton propogandists don't do credibility or accountability. that's why you are republcains
Posted by: JKrishnamurti | March 11, 2008 4:23 PM
"Job creation in New York was actually going up after Hillary won election but 2 unexpected things happened: 911 and George Bush happened.
Posted by: leichtman | March 11, 2008 04:15 PM
"
so, you always got excuses. You always got someone to blame.
Enlighten. how many jobs did she promise? How many did she lose as senator. to the smart people out there. To lose jobs is the opposite of to gain jobs.
Posted by: JKrishnamurti | March 11, 2008 4:19 PM
Obama 61%
Clinton 38%
African American vote 47%
Posted by: rlampe | March 11, 2008 4:19 PM
Obama 71%
Clinton 29%
African American percentage of total voters today: 48%
Posted by: baileywick | March 11, 2008 4:17 PM
Obama-60
Hillary-39
Black vote%: 62
Posted by: lucciihs | March 11, 2008 4:15 PM
mark: Hillary's husband was governor of Arkansas in the 80s guess who is and was their largest employer in the state? Sam Walmart when he was alive didn't run Walmart the way it is run today, they 'were socially responsible then' but that was a reference to Walmart 25 years ago so its apples and oranges.
Job creation in New York was actually going up after Hillary won election but 2 unexpected things happened: 911 and George Bush happened.
Posted by: leichtman | March 11, 2008 4:15 PM
There are no exit polls as of now. Expect heavier voting this PM due to earlier rain.
Posted by: wpost4112 | March 11, 2008 4:14 PM
So sorry cc.
you were all voer this one YESTERDAY. Weren't ya.
"The fallout at the presidential level is likely to be minor. Yes, Spitzer was supporter of Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (N.Y.), but he was far from an active advocate. In retrospect, it won't even be this sex scandal that Spitzer is most remembered for in the Democratic presidential fight. Remember: It was Spitzer's proposal to grant driver's licenses to illegal immigrants that tripped up Clinton in a debate in Philadelphia last fall -- a moment seen as the beginning of a long slide for her campaign."
cc
WOW.
how much does the clinton campaign chip into the cc propoganda fund? The wa po can't possbily pay you enough for sacraficing your profession and your credibility can they?
If you are not a journalist, what do you now call yourself? Opinion news? Gossip journalism?
When you stop reporting facts and start being a propopgandists (a la russian and nazi propogandists), what do you get paid for that? And who pays it? Wa po can't be flipping the whole bill. What do they get out of what you do, other than a loss of credibility? I guess they are not worried about that. Lost it years ago with the build up to the war in iraq.
so you and the wa po sold us out with the rest of the moderates. But to who? And at what cost? Just so I know. Just between you me and the hicthing post. :)
Clinton's paying isn't she? or is it your boy milbanks people?
Posted by: JKrishnamurti | March 11, 2008 4:14 PM
Obama: 62%
Clinton: 38%
African American: 58%
Posted by: mschmidt73 | March 11, 2008 4:12 PM
Obama: 52
Clinton: 45
African American vote: 47% (breaking 81% for Obama and 18% for Clinton)
Storyline: Obama regains some of his momentum; political journalists start trying to figure out what to cover for the next 42 days.
Posted by: xiibaro | March 11, 2008 4:12 PM
Obama 59%
Clinton 40%
African Americans: 54% of Democratic voters
Posted by: JSnapper | March 11, 2008 4:09 PM
Obama 65%
Clinton 35%
AA Vote 43.5%
Story Line: Clinton Announces Before the End of the Week That She is placing her campaign on hold as polls from Pennsylvania show tightening of the race and polls from North Carolina show another Obama Tidal Wave.
Posted by: dcraven925 | March 11, 2008 4:07 PM
obama--57%
clinton--41%
black % of total vote---46%
Posted by: jwwertz | March 11, 2008 4:07 PM
Obama 69%
Clinton 30%
AA % of vote: 62%
PS - Exits pols are showing GOP and independent voters breaking heavily towards Obama!
Posted by: joemetro | March 11, 2008 4:05 PM
Obama 59%
Clinton 38%
Black Voters, as a percent of total: 32%
Posted by: weagz | March 11, 2008 4:01 PM
I haven't seen much that spitzer was a clinton backer. Haven't seen that much on the internet the last two days.
What is this cc? An attempt at misdirection?
"I know you are but what am I"
Clintons out. She dropping out eventually. there's noting you racists and gop saboturs can do to stop that now. You made yoru choices. You choose the gop, clinton moderates. America did not. Now enjoy irrelevance WITH them. you made your choice. you made your beds. Now sleep for 30 years.
Posted by: JKrishnamurti | March 11, 2008 4:00 PM
Obama 64%
Clinton 36%
Black Percentage: 66%
Posted by: Schoone | March 11, 2008 4:00 PM
66% Obama
34% Hillary
AA vote: 58%
Posted by: soonerthought | March 11, 2008 3:58 PM
Obama 65
Clinton 35
African American voters % 63
Posted by: psfiske | March 11, 2008 3:58 PM
Biloxi newspaper reports big REP crossover vote...Could be good news for Hillary if Rush effect is in effect.
Posted by: wpost4112 | March 11, 2008 3:58 PM
Looks like Bush wants to bomb Iran. What will that do to elections? Will Bush try to impose military law and retain the power??:
--------------
(AP) Adm. William Fallon, the top U.S. military commander for the Middle East, is resigning, Defense Secretary Robert Gates said Tuesday.
Gates said Fallon had asked him Tuesday morning for permission to retire and Gates agreed. Gates said the decision was entirely Fallon's and that Gates believed it was "the right thing to do."
Fallon was the subject of an article published last week in Esquire magazine that portrayed him as opposed to President Bush's Iran policy. It described Fallon as a lone voice against taking military action to stop the Iranian nuclear program.
Posted by: wpost4112 | March 11, 2008 3:53 PM
Obama: 59%
Clinton: 41%
African-American vote: 68%
Posted by: ach.vandenbergh | March 11, 2008 3:52 PM
Obama: 68%
Clinton: 31%
At the end Obama will get back momentum to his side
Posted by: henraf4 | March 11, 2008 3:52 PM
Empowered by Hillary's absence and Spitzer's transgressions, Bubba cuts loose in a Biloxi Hooters, eating 57 hot wings in one sitting and wiping his mouth on the shirt of a waitress. After chugging a pitcher of beer and groping several waitresses, Bubba confesses he has been an Obama fan all along while denying he has any knowledge of who "Client 12" might be.
Posted by: bondjedi | March 11, 2008 3:51 PM
Frikcin racists.
I guess cc got to take the attention of him and his paper huh. You got to blame someone.
http://www.salon.com/books/excerpt/2008/03/11/greg_mitchell/index1.html
How the press failed on Iraq
"Thomas Ricks, the military reporter for The Washington Post (and author of a fine book about the war, aptly titled "Fiasco"), spoke volumes when he explained his paper's failures in the ramp-up to the war in 2003 by saying, "There was an attitude among editors: Look, we're going to war, why do we even worry about all the contrary stuff?" His colleague Karen DeYoung put it in even more appalling terms: "We are inevitably the mouthpiece for whatever administration is in power." Walter Isaacson, who headed CNN when the war began, later informed Bill Moyers that "big people in corporations were calling up" when the network showed civilian casualties, declaring, "You're being anti-American here." Bob Simon, the CBS correspondent, told Moyers that covering the marketing of the war was so "explosive" that he felt he should "keep it, in a way, almost light -- if that doesn't seem ridiculous."
While most of the reporters in Iraq recovered from their early rah-rah "we are taking Baghdad" coverage to produce years of tough-minded and valuable work (to the extent that it was possible amid the horrid violence), their counterparts on the home front often fell down on the job. At times, it seemed that they, not their colleagues traveling with our armed forces in Iraq, were the "embedded" reporters operating under fear of censorship or sanctions for stepping out of line. Declarations from the White House or the military about "progress" in Iraq, or assertions that Iran or al-Qaeda were the true villains there, were reported widely, with contrasting evidence often buried.
Few if any journalists were brave enough to nakedly declare, at any of the many apt opportunities since 2003, that a scheme is not a vision (to borrow the Leonard Cohen lyric). When Chris Matthews, after the U.S. took Baghdad, declared on MSNBC that "We're all neo-cons now," he acted as if that "all" included the press and that this was somehow a good thing. Blindfolding our democracy rarely strengthens us on the battlefield. No lesson for the future could be more clear than the need to take with a huge grain of salt every statement by any official who just might be pushing a cause or covering his ass. Even an emperor -- or a Colin Powell -- sometimes wears no clothes.
Then there was the failure to visually reveal the true horror of what was transpiring in the war. It was bad enough that the Pentagon banned photos of returning coffins; but then TV producers and newspaper editors on their own chose to display few images of the carnage, sanitizing a bloody landscape. Some photographers complained, and Pim Van Hemmen, assistant managing editor for photography at The Star-Ledger in Newark, N.J., said in 2005, "We in the news business are not doing a very good job of showing our readers what has really happened over there." The U.S. media provided few images of the human cost of war while news outlets in Europe did show photos of dead or wounded.
The past five years of death, destruction and global setback for America's security and image reveal some of the consequences of the media failure to ask more questions, and too often accept weak or misleading answers. Who can forget the Greatest Hits: "Mission Accomplished," "Judy Miller's Turn to Cry," "The Friedman Unit," "It's All in the Plame," "The Armor We Went to War With," "Surging USA," and all the rest.
Will the lessons be heeded? Certainly, few of those who promoted the war based on false information have lost any standing in the media, even if they did lose respect from some in the audience. The Washington Post, for example, not only continued to carry columns by several regulars who had repeatedly misfired on the war -- and mocked anti-war critics -- but it even went out and hired Michael Gerson, President Bush's main speechwriter during the run-up to the invasion. William Kristol, one of the war's intellectual architects, kept his Time column, contributed Op-Eds to the Post, and didn't seem to lose any face time on TV -- then got a plum Op-Ed spot at The New York Times. The Post's editorial page, meanwhile, remained hawkish on the war through thick and thin, often contrary to virtually everything emerging in the paper's own news pages.
Will Rogers once said that the first thing you do when you find yourself in a hole is quit digging. In regard to the Iraq catastrophe, the media not only helped excavate the hole, it did not do nearly enough to help America dig out.
"
By Greg Mitchell
first you moderate blamed US progressives for fighting bush and for this country. Then you silnced and mocked us. Now you blame us.
WOW.
We'll see who buys it gop. You bush lawyering destroyed your irrelevance. Your cowardance destroyed your chance at accountability.
After Obama wins who will you blame then? yourselves? Bush? Obama? Black people? Young people?
I'm sure you nazi's will find someone to point the finger to. you always do. Facing your own actions with end your careers. good, I say. think about the future.Let's open up your profession to real professionals. Not cowards and propogandists for profit. Let's get people who care about the profession or journalism AND america and it's values.
I say it's time to clean the media's house.Starting at the top (FOX). Hopefully the wa pogoes the way of the do do. what is a news outfit with zero cred? Propoganda? If youa re professing fascist principles Like you are? fascist propogandists?
Enjoy your last few months of gossip and us weekly as news. You can't do this forever cc/wa po. Evevtually you will have to face the consequences for your actions. I hope that consequence is irrelevance. I hope they take the only thing you nazi's care about. you money power and relevance. You'll have no one to blame but yourselves. Try as you might.
Posted by: JKrishnamurti | March 11, 2008 3:50 PM
Obama 66%
Clinton 32%
AA Turnout 52%
Posted by: jallenba | March 11, 2008 3:50 PM
Obama: 58
Clinton: 41
AA Vote: 48%
Posted by: mch42 | March 11, 2008 3:49 PM
You should all do some reading about John Adams, subject of the upcoming HBO series.
Although he was the Federalist's candidate for President, the Federalists' were divided about him, since he was not "Federalist enough"...so Hamilton, a leading Federalist, campaigned against him....hoping the VP choice would win.
In the end, the Democrat T Jefferson won.
Nothing new in American politics at all.
Sounds like it will be an excellent series.
Posted by: wpost4112 | March 11, 2008 3:48 PM
Amend that entry:
Obama 61
Clinton 38
African-Americans = 54%
Posted by: gezi | March 11, 2008 3:44 PM
Obama: 59
Clinton: 40
African-Americans = 45% of the primary electorate
Posted by: gezi | March 11, 2008 3:42 PM
Obama: 63%
Clinton: 36%
AA Turnout: 57%
Posted by: bstraw | March 11, 2008 3:42 PM
Obama: 61
Clinton: 37
Black vote: 53% of total vote
Storyline: Clinton shrugs off Mississippi and reminds voters that Pennsylvania is what matters.
Posted by: theseventen | March 11, 2008 3:42 PM
Obama 70%
Clinton 30%
AA turnout: 45%
Senator Clinton begins to feel backlash from voters against her negative campaign strikes.
Posted by: LiveFree | March 11, 2008 3:41 PM
How about old white ladies vote. How about the white male vote? How abotu the latino vote.
If your going to create bogus false narratives and try and divide america, gop, why not just go the whole 9?
Posted by: JKrishnamurti | March 11, 2008 3:40 PM
Obama 62%
Clinton 37%
Other - 1% (Gravel lives!!!)
87% AA vote..
37% White vote
Hillary/Sinbad 08
Ready to eat from Day One
Posted by: TennGurl | March 11, 2008 3:40 PM
Obama 56%
Clinton 44%
The margin is somewhat narrower than expected because once again, as in Ohio and Texas, large numbers of Rush Limbaugh-inspired Republicans and conservative Independents come out and vote for Clinton in order to prolong the Democratic bloodletting. Texas Limbaugh crossovers delivered a narrow 98,000 vote victory to Clinton, with some 950,000 Republicans and Independents (out of 2.8 million votes cast) splitting their vote evenly between Clinton and Obama, in contrast to earlier contests where these groups went for Obama by a 70-30 margin. In Mississippi, however, the black vote is large enough to allow Obama to prevail.
Posted by: bradk1 | March 11, 2008 3:40 PM
you are not responsible for your parties downfall not black people.
"
you are responsible that is.
I know yoru scare gop (clinton included). Who are you trying to convince backing bush and having no credibility is NOT to blame for your downfall. I have an idea. How about stop destroying the nation. How about stop propogating. How about not creating bogus racial narratives.
You elementary school kids always have someone to blame. Reminds me of my 7 year old. Nothing is ever his fault.
The american people see you now gop. they see the moderate sell-outs. Enjoy your irrelevance. Blame whoever you must for your small ignorant worlds to not come down around you.
I recommend joining reality and taking accountability of past misdeeds. Or don't. Enjoy your irrelevance gop (and the moderate clinon di fi sell-outs.)
Just for the independant thinkers here to NOT fall into the irrelevant sabotuers game.
Posted by: JKrishnamurti | March 11, 2008 3:37 PM
Obama: 61%
Clinton: 38%
African-American voters: 51% of all voters in MS
AA vote: 88% Obama | 12% Clinton
Storylines (not that you asked):
1) Clinton camp alleges voting irregularities in MS, threatens lawsuit(s)
2) Clinton still leads in PA, but Obama widening his lead in North Carolina
Posted by: mrmatttt | March 11, 2008 3:37 PM
Oh snap i f-ed up.
AA turn-out: 53% of voters.
Posted by: schencks84 | March 11, 2008 3:36 PM
Oops--forgot to post the total African American turnout % -- 59% (see previous comment).
Posted by: asacks | March 11, 2008 3:36 PM
JackSmith1,
Where to begin. Having been a conservative that had the opportunity to vote for anyone in an open primary, I can tell you the urge to vote for one of the Dems was not too great. If I did, however, I would have voted for Obama - not because I thought he would be the easier candidate to defeat but because he is the better person (despite the fact that he is farthest away from me politically). What conservatives ARE hoping for is a ticket with both of them. Then we get a 2 for one sale - Clinton to draw out the R base and sway independents towards McCain and Obama then losing the "change we can believe in" meaning behind his motto since he has spent the last 8 months or so making Clinton the poster child for what we need to change from. A combined ticket brings out the R voters and takes away the one leg that Obama has over every other candidate right now.
And why is it cheating for R's to crossover and vote for a D if the rules allow it?
And finally, in response to "They want to be able to continue to rip you off, and kill you and your children by continuing to deny you life saving medical care. So they can make more profit for them-self."
While I might not be a healthcare expert, I firmly believe that doctors and insurance companies make more money off of live people than dead people.
Posted by: dave | March 11, 2008 3:36 PM
Obama 65%
Clinton 33%
Black vote will be 58% of the turnout in whole.
Posted by: rabja | March 11, 2008 3:36 PM
Reichman...what about all those jobs Hillary said she was going to bring to NY...same thing she told folks in OH...and now PA. Obama was helping people who lost there jobs while Hillary was on the board of Wal-Mart...um...I think he knows a bit more about the real plight of the worker. He also has his own experience to tout...not the experience of his wife.
Posted by: brian | March 11, 2008 3:36 PM
Obama 62
Clinton 35
Black % 63
Posted by: steveboyington | March 11, 2008 3:35 PM
Obama 61%
Clinton 38%
African American vote: 46%
Posted by: edalcope5 | March 11, 2008 3:35 PM
Don't forget Miss is a deep red state. Some of the prediction here add up to make democrats more than repulicans in that state. If that is true, then it is real change.
Posted by: work2play | March 11, 2008 3:35 PM
Barack Obama -- 64%
Hillary Clinton -- 36%
African Americans:
Barack Obama -- 88%
Hillary Clinton -- 12%
Posted by: asacks | March 11, 2008 3:34 PM
Here are my predictions:
Obama: 69%
Clinton: 29%
Posted by: jforauer | March 11, 2008 3:34 PM
Obama: 62
Clinton: 38
African Americans: 56%
Posted by: perkins.nathaniel | March 11, 2008 3:34 PM
African American turout 54%
See earlier post for predictions, split
Posted by: billbolducinmaine | March 11, 2008 3:34 PM
"You fascist's will never learn. Continue to dig yoru holes. I don't know who in the heck you are trying to convince you are not responsible for your parties downfall and black people are."
You fascist's will never learn. Continue to dig yoru holes. I don't know who in the heck you are trying to convince. you are not responsible for your parties downfall not black people.
Posted by: JKrishnamurti | March 11, 2008 3:33 PM
Obama 62%
Hillary 37%
Other 1%
African American vote
Obama 79%
Clinton 21%
Posted by: billbolducinmaine | March 11, 2008 3:32 PM
It's easy. Just put all the blacks in the Obama column, and white democrats in Clinton basket. Independents and rebulicans 50-50, you get about the right answer, then allow 5% uncertainty.
Posted by: work2play | March 11, 2008 3:31 PM
Obama - 64%
Clinton - 35%
AA% - 55%
Posted by: jps78 | March 11, 2008 3:31 PM
Some folks think whites will vote against Obama, but I'm going to be hopeful:
Obama: 61%
Clinton: 39%
African American Vote: 36%
"Obama steams into PA with the momentum, Cuts clinton's lead in the polls by half"
Posted by: brian | March 11, 2008 3:30 PM
Obama: 64
Clinton: 36
black: 56% (O91/C9)
whites/other 44% (O30/C70)
Delegates: 1st CD: O2/C3, 2nd CD: O5/C2, 3D: O3/C2, 4D: O3/C2, at-large: O7/C4, total = Obama 20, Clinton 13.
Posted by: novamatt | March 11, 2008 3:30 PM
Frickin gop racists.
Make whatever excuses you want. You dug your own fascist holes. you made you rown beds. It's not obama's fault. It's not african americans that are "taking" the presidency.
you had your chance gop (and their moderate democratic sell-outs). You wasted it making money for the few and screwing the country. make whatever excuses you want. Blame whoever you wish. Create whatever bogus narratives you want.
You destroyed your party gop. Even with your moderate sell-outs coverng your backsides you STILL couldn't strong arm america and use terrorism to enforce your fascist agenda.
you made your bed gop (clinton included0. Quit trying to start a race war. If you handled yoru business you would not be in the position your now in.
NO ACCOUNTABILITY AND CREDIBILITY DESTROYED YOUR PARTY. I see you have not learned your lesson. As a result you will toil in irrelevance as a group, as the borg you are, until you die. Why? You refuse to acknowledge reality. You refuse to take accountability for your actions. You continue to propogate blindly and throw any and all credibility down the drain.
OBAMA IS NOT WINNIG BECAUSE OF THE BLACK VOTE. WHERE WAS THE BLACK VOTE A YEAR AGO?
You fascist's will never learn. Continue to dig yoru holes. I don't know who in the heck you are trying to convince you are not responsible for your parties downfall and black people are.
Unbelievable.
Posted by: JKrishnamurti | March 11, 2008 3:29 PM
AA percentage will be 79% pro Obama.
Posted by: barakobahamas | March 11, 2008 3:28 PM
Obama 61%
Clinton 37%
Black vote: 64% of electorate.
Posted by: pbreddy90404 | March 11, 2008 3:28 PM
Obama 59%
Clinton 39%
AAs % of total vote: 53.7%
Posted by: LarryMason1 | March 11, 2008 3:27 PM
Obama: 60%
Clinton: 38%
African-American vote: 60%
Posted by: paulalgire | March 11, 2008 3:27 PM
Obama 63%
Clinton 36%
48% of the electorate will be African-American.
Posted by: mrassam60 | March 11, 2008 3:26 PM
Obama 61
Clinton 37
Afr Am Vtr Turnout 57
Afr Am Distribution
Obama 89
Clinton 11
Storyline: Clinton continues to evade Spitzergate, cavil Obama's success, and pander to her 'hometown' of Scranton, PA.
Posted by: RightWingHawk83 | March 11, 2008 3:26 PM
Seems there is a computer bug which mess up my previous input.
Obama greater than 67\%
Hillary less than 33\%
African A split
Obama greater than 90\%
Hillary less than 10 \%
Posted by: work2play | March 11, 2008 3:26 PM
Obama: 59%
Clinton: 38%
Storyline:
Momentum shifts back (ever slightly) to Obama as Clinton camp ignores result and talks about Pennsylvania. Fate of Michigan begins to dwarf remaining primary schedule.
Posted by: cooper | March 11, 2008 3:24 PM
Hillary 67%
African American split
Hillary 99%
Posted by: work2play | March 11, 2008 3:23 PM
Obama: 59%
Clinton: 40%
African American Vote - 46%
Posted by: WriteKing | March 11, 2008 3:21 PM
Obama 66
Clinton 33
58% of turnout African American, Obama gets 91% of these voters.
Democrats need to realize that, in November, with a 36% African American share of population voting 90% for Obama and a big GOTV effort, Obama could win the state with only 28% of the white vote. Is it a sad truth that White Southerners will not vote for a black man?
Posted by: Renu1 | March 11, 2008 3:20 PM
Mississippi Primary vote:
Obama 62%
Clinton 38%
% of Democrats voting of Afro-American origin 47%
Posted by: companydoctor01431 | March 11, 2008 3:17 PM
Obama 63%
Clinton 34%
Black voters 37% of total primary voters and break 15-1 for Obama.
Posted by: AndyR3 | March 11, 2008 3:13 PM
Obama: 64%
Clinton: 36%
African-American voters as % of all voters: 56%
African-Americans voting for Obama: 88%
Storyline (Day After):
1. "Clinton stumbles badly as NY's Spitzer falls precipitously."
or
2. "Clinton offering VP spot to Obama is non-starter - must now plead for the spot for herself."
Posted by: jyandoh | March 11, 2008 3:12 PM
Obama 56%
Clinton 46%
Black vote 37%
Posted by: proudtobeGOP | March 11, 2008 02:47 PM
If this comes true, I'm asking some questions...
-ProudtobeGiving110%
Posted by: minorthread | March 11, 2008 3:11 PM
Jacksmith,
You sound like a raving lunatic on the street corner. Step back and think about what the screed you wrote looks like to other people. With your ridiculous conspiracy theory about Republicans and Obama.
Posted by: JacksonLanders | March 11, 2008 3:11 PM
68% Obama
32% Hillary
Obama reportedly lobbied for Air Bus. that's what I call his fighting to protect US jobs.
Posted by: leichtman | March 11, 2008 3:09 PM
Obama 99
Clinton 0
Mickey Mouse 1
Posted by: michaelfairbanks | March 11, 2008 3:08 PM
Obama - 64%
Clinton - 35%
African Americans
Obama - 85%
Clinton - 15%
Clinton ignores Mississippi results, keeping Pennsylvania in her sights, barely congratulates Obama. Ferraro forced to resign position due to increased pressure regarding her remarks.
Posted by: schencks84 | March 11, 2008 3:08 PM
Obama 69%
Clinton 30%
Black voters - 70% of total turnout.
Posted by: JacksonLanders | March 11, 2008 3:07 PM
DON'T BE DUPED!!!
Large numbers of Republicans have been voting for Barack Obama in the DEMOCRATIC primaries, and caucuses. Because they feel he would be a weaker opponent against John McCain. And because they feel that a Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama ticket would be unbeatable. And also because with a Clinton and Obama ticket you are almost 100% certain to get quality, affordable universal health care very fast.
You see, the medical and insurance industry mostly support the republicans with the money they ripped off from you. And they don't want you to have quality, affordable universal health care. They want to be able to continue to rip you off, and kill you and your children by continuing to deny you life saving medical care. So they can make more profit for them-self.
Hillary Clinton has actually won by much larger margins than the vote totals showed. And lost by much smaller vote margins than the vote totals showed. Her delegate count is actually much higher than it shows. And higher than Obama's. HILLARY CLINTON IS ALREADY THE TRUE DEMOCRATIC NOMINEE!
As much as 30% of Obama's primary, and caucus votes are Republicans trying to choose the weakest democratic candidate for McCain to run against. These Republicans have been gaming the caucuses where it is easier to vote cheat. This is why Obama has not been able to win the BIG! states primaries. Even with Republican vote cheating help.
If Obama is the democratic nominee for the national election in November he will be slaughtered. Because the vote cheating help will suddenly evaporate. All of this vote fraud and republican manipulation has made Obama falsely look like a much stronger candidate than he really is. YOUNG PEOPLE. DON'T BE DUPED! Think about it. You have the most to lose.
The democratic party needs to fix this outrage. I suggest a Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama ticket now! All democrats need to throw all your support to Hillary Clinton. So you can end this outrage against YOU the voter, and against democracy.
Fortunately the Clinton's have been able to hold on against this fraudulent outrage with those repeated dramatic comebacks of Hillary Clinton's. Only the Clinton's are that resourceful, and strong. Hillary Clinton is your NOMINEE. They are the best I have ever seen.
You should be angry America. "This is not a game" (Hillary Clinton)
Sincerely
jacksmith...
Posted by: JackSmith1 | March 11, 2008 3:06 PM
Obama 60%
Clinton 40%
African American
Obama 70%
Clinton 30%
Posted by: davep2 | March 11, 2008 3:06 PM
64 Obama, 34 Clinton, 44 AA
Posted by: sammyhagar19 | March 11, 2008 3:03 PM
CC - "54 percent to Clinton's 38 percent in Mississippi."
And 8% undecided? I have not heard if Rush is pushing the get out the vote drive in this open primary. So my prediction is:
BHO 58%
HRC 42%
African-American vote: 51%
Posted by: dave | March 11, 2008 3:02 PM
Obama: 58%
Clinton: 41%
AA vote: 56%
Posted by: Ireland2 | March 11, 2008 3:01 PM
Obama: 68%
Clinton: 32%
African-American % of Dem. Electorate: 72%
Posted by: psears2 | March 11, 2008 3:01 PM
Does anyone know if Barack Obama has released his medical records yet? I notice his campaign was attacking John McCain for not releasing his. As Barack is a lifelong smoker, it would be interesting if he will be as forthcoming. Or if the press with ask, or just look the other way like with JFK.
Posted by: Cornell1984 | March 11, 2008 3:01 PM
Hillary loses to her VP pick; monstrous turnout.
63/36/1
Posted by: wpost4112 | March 11, 2008 3:01 PM
I'll say Obama 71%, Clinton 28%.
Posted by: ShorinBJ | March 11, 2008 2:56 PM
Obama 76%
Clinton 24%
African American: 73% of voters
Obama proves he can land a hard punch with facts and humor based on common sense.
That is all he needs to do; shine light on the "old politics" she is using, point out the facts, and laugh at it.
Posted by: tonycastaldo | March 11, 2008 2:55 PM
Clinton: 42%
Obama: 58%
AA%: 50
Posted by: kdingman | March 11, 2008 2:54 PM
Obama - 62%
Clinton - 38%
African-American - 58%
As violence starts to increase in Iraq, Obama will get another unexpected boost by the Spitzer scandal. How does Hillary and Bill answer the questions about it?
Should he resign? Should she stand by her man? Is it better for the party for him to step down? Does it do any harm to the office?
Right-wing radio has a field day with parodies of Bill and Elliot hanging out.
Posted by: mcmahon10 | March 11, 2008 2:52 PM
Obama: 64
Clinton: 35
African-American voters: 58%
Posted by: meanwilliegrind | March 11, 2008 2:51 PM
Obama: 58%
Clinton: 42%
Percentage of turnout that is African American: 42%
Posted by: hwfam | March 11, 2008 2:50 PM
Obama: 57%
Clinton: 42%
AA make up 46% of voters.
Posted by: acasilaco | March 11, 2008 2:50 PM
Obama: 66%
Clinton: 34%
AA % 62
Posted by: pwtrue | March 11, 2008 2:50 PM
Here are my predictions for tonight:
Turnout
African-American - 51%
White - 47%
Obama gets 88% of the African-American vote and 33% of the White vote.
Final Results
Barack Obama - 61%
Hillary Clinton - 38%
Delegates
Barack Obama - 19
Hillary Clinton - 14
Posted by: mjerzyk1 | March 11, 2008 2:49 PM
Obama 63%
Clinton 37%
African-American Vote 61%
Bonus Headline "Clinton camp cites being blown-out by 24% as mandate for experience over change"
Special Bonus Headline "In Hillary's transformation to Richard Nixon, has a few too many on campaign jet and dismisses importance of colored vote"
Extra Special Bonus Headline "On to Guam: HRC promises citizens there a bridge to San Francisco if elected"
Posted by: bondjedi | March 11, 2008 2:48 PM
Obama 56%
Clinton 46%
Black vote 37%
Posted by: proudtobeGOP | March 11, 2008 2:47 PM
Obama: 62%
Clinton: 37%
Percentage of electorate that are African American: 51%
Posted by: ManUnitdFan | March 11, 2008 2:46 PM
OBAMA = 63
CLINTON = 36
AA =57 %
Posted by: supradeep | March 11, 2008 2:44 PM
Obama 57
Clinton 41
AA% of Primary Voters: 59 %
Posted by: peter.boger | March 11, 2008 2:43 PM
Obama - 67
Clinton - 32
AA % - 62
Posted by: jpsherer | March 11, 2008 2:41 PM
Obama 62%
Clinton 37%
African American vote 48%
See above post for comment. I forgot to post AA vote numbers in previous post.
Posted by: NYer | March 11, 2008 2:41 PM
Obama 62%
Clinton 37%
African-American voters 58%
Posted by: nic.roxylife | March 11, 2008 2:41 PM
Obama, once again in the South, just like everyone else is predicting, on the strength of the black vote, wins 65% to 35%.
Black vote % of total vote: 53%
White vote % of total vote: 47%
Black vote:
Obama 89%
Clinton 11%
White vote:
Clinton 63%
Obama 37%
Posted by: barrypeirson | March 11, 2008 2:40 PM
Obama 61%
Clinton 37%
Black vote = 54% of turnout
Posted by: jsperez | March 11, 2008 2:39 PM
Obama 62%
Clinton 37%
Clinton paid no attention to Mississippi other than to denigrate it for not voting for women. I don't see her catching up.
Posted by: NYer | March 11, 2008 2:39 PM
I guess all those extra T-shirts might come in handy for the FL/MI revote, if that every happens.
Posted by: vammap | March 11, 2008 2:37 PM
Obama: 62%
Clinton: 36%
% African American: 73%
Too late to get much of a "bump" from Geraldine Ferraro's inanity about how lucky Obama is to be Black...but he doesn't need it here.
Posted by: kidvidkid | March 11, 2008 2:36 PM
Obama 66
Clinton 33
Blacks, 36% of the electorate, make up 44% of the voters
Posted by: pvogel88 | March 11, 2008 2:35 PM
Obama: 68%
Clinton: 31%
African-American vote: 82%
I think Spitzer scandal brings Clintons numbers down a bit.
Posted by: AB68 | March 11, 2008 2:30 PM
Obama 59
Clinton 39
AA pct 40
Posted by: bsimon | March 11, 2008 2:27 PM
Obama: 58
Clinton: 41
African American split
Obama: 91
Hillary: 9
Posted by: matt_ahrens | March 11, 2008 2:27 PM
Obama 55
Clinton 45
Clinton loses momentum swinging her way however
Posted by: ma261988 | March 11, 2008 2:26 PM
Obama: 65%
Clinton: 34%
African-American Voters: 57%
Posted by: gordie_foote | March 11, 2008 2:26 PM
Prediction
Obama 63
Clinton 35
"Obama finds his groove in Miss with huge turnout. Could be in play in November."
Posted by: Strong24 | March 11, 2008 2:20 PM
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Obama 59%
Clinton 39%
African American Voters: 56%