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Archive: Friday Line

The Friday Line: U.S. House Races

The silly season is upon us. Television ads are hitting the airwaves, mailboxes are stuffed with direct mail appeals and average voters are beginning to pay attention to the campaign. Volatility is the rule in these finals two months as...

By Chris Cillizza | September 1, 2006; 06:01 AM ET | Comments (124) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Governors Line: And Then There were 15

With 36 governor's races on the ballot this November, we've struggled with limiting ourselves to naming just the top 10. So, with less than 80 days before the 2006 election, we are expanding our Friday Governors Line to 15 races...

By Chris Cillizza | August 25, 2006; 06:11 AM ET | Comments (122) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Line: U.S. Senate

The closer we get to the election (82 days but who's counting), the more volatile the bottom half of our Senate Line becomes. Two races dropped precipitously over the last month: Tennessee and Minnesota. In Tennessee, Rep. Harold Ford Jr.'s...

By Chris Cillizza | August 18, 2006; 06:30 AM ET | Comments (152) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Presidential Line: The Next 5

Every time we put together a list of the five Democrats and five Republican most likely to win the 2008 presidential nomination, a number of commenters and emailers ask why a certain candidate didn't make the cut. So, since regular...

By Chris Cillizza | July 28, 2006; 06:00 AM ET | Comments (158) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Line: Dems Firm Up House Target List

For those of us who spend too much time trying to figure out how the battle for control the House of Representatives will play out this fall, Democrats offered a major clue earlier this week. Interactive Campaign Map: More Election...

By washingtonpost.com Editors | July 21, 2006; 06:00 AM ET | Comments (141) | TrackBack (1)

The Friday Line: Md. Jumps 4 Spots on Govs. Rankings

Since The Fix last ranked the governors races most likely to switch parties in the fall, two of our top 10 experienced significant changes. Interactive Campaign Map: More Election Data and Analysis. In both Maryland and Colorado, major candidates dropped...

By Chris Cillizza | July 14, 2006; 06:00 AM ET | Comments (103) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Line: Dems Eye Possible Senate Pickups

By now any loyal Fix reader knows the state of play in the fight for control of the Senate. Democrats need six seats to regain the majority and have five possible pickup opportunities -- Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Missouri, Montana and...

By Chris Cillizza | July 7, 2006; 07:30 AM ET | Comments (100) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Line: Gingrich, Gore and Another Early Look at 2008

Since The Fix started listing the five Democrats and five Republicans most likely to win their party's presidential nomination in 2008, we've struggled with how to handle two potential candidates -- former vice president Al Gore and former House speaker...

By Chris Cillizza | June 30, 2006; 07:20 AM ET | Comments (88) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Line: Corruption and the House Race Rankings

Corruption could well re-emerge as a central issue in the battle for the House this year, but The Fix has grown more skeptical about the issue's ability to influence the defeat of incumbent lawmakers by itself. Interactive Campaign Map: More...

By washingtonpost.com Editors | June 23, 2006; 06:00 AM ET | Comments (87) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Line: Signs of Hope for GOP in Governors Races

Political analyst (and Fix friend) Stu Rothenberg has made the point that with the national environment so favorable to Democrats, Republicans will only win races in states where there are special circumstances that trump the national dynamic. Interactive Campaign Map:...

By Chris Cillizza | June 16, 2006; 06:00 AM ET | Comments (136) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Line: Arizona Cracks the Senate Rankings

The Fix wrote this week's Friday Line while traveling from D.C. to the gambling mecca of the United States, where I'll spend the weekend at the Yearly Kos convention and poking around Nevada's very interesting political scene. Interactive Campaign Map:...

By Chris Cillizza | June 9, 2006; 06:00 AM ET | Comments (109) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Line: Listening to the 2008 Buzz

Of all the considerations that go into composing the Friday Line's ranking of potential 2008 presidential candidates, the biggest intangible is buzz. What does buzz mean? Different things to different people. The Fix's definition: A sense of excitement and optimism...

By Chris Cillizza | June 2, 2006; 06:00 AM ET | Comments (145) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Line: House Playing Field Expands for Dems

When the 2006 cycle started, talk of a Democratic takeover of the House of Representatives was dismissed by most political professionals. With Republicans sitting on a 15-seat majority, there simply didn't appear to be enough seats that would be truly...

By Chris Cillizza | May 26, 2006; 05:45 AM ET | Comments (78) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Line: Will Dems Sweep GOP in Govs. Series?

For the last few months Republican strategists have struggled to find the words to describe the difficulties their party could face this November. This week we heard an analogy that helps explain the political landscape on which a slew of...

By Chris Cillizza | May 19, 2006; 06:00 AM ET | Comments (180) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Line: Static Senate Rankings Still Favors Dems

Since January 2005, political insiders and journalists have focused largely on the same set of Senate races that are expected to be competitive this fall. So when one party starts talking about a race that, to date, hasn't been included...

By Chris Cillizza | May 12, 2006; 06:02 AM ET | Comments (150) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Line: Another Early Look at the 2008 Race

For weeks The Fix has been waiting for the chance to get on the record again about the state of the 2008 presidential field. Why the excitement? Since the last time this blog rated the five presidential candidates from each...

By Chris Cillizza | May 5, 2006; 06:00 AM ET | Comments (147) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Line: A Few Bright Spots For GOP in House Rankings

Regular readers of past House rankings in the Friday Line will immediately notice one major change in the latest list: Texas's 22nd District, currently held by Rep. Tom DeLay (R), has dropped out of the top 20 altogether. Why? DeLay's...

By Chris Cillizza | April 28, 2006; 06:00 AM ET | Comments (42) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Line: Fla. Drops Off List of Top Govs. Races

All gubernatorial races are -- theoretically -- created equal, but in reality there are a handful that matter more than the others due to the size of the states and the resultant national influence those chief executives enjoy. So, while...

By Chris Cillizza | April 21, 2006; 08:30 AM ET | Comments (62) | TrackBack (1)

The Friday Line: Senate Gains Still Looking Certain For Dems

Sitting down to write this week's Friday Line on the top Senate races, one thing immediately became clear: There are two tiers of Senate races right now -- the top four contests and everything else. The top four (Ohio, Pennsylvania,...

By Chris Cillizza | April 14, 2006; 06:00 AM ET | Comments (74) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Line: 21 Months to Iowa...

In the last month we've seen Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) make nice with conservative preacher Jerry Falwell, Sen. Russ Feingold (D-Wisc.) call for the censure of President Bush and Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney (R) lead an effort to provide health...

By Chris Cillizza | April 7, 2006; 07:22 AM ET | Comments (149) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Line: Dems Hold Edge in Top 20 House Races

Democrats are growing increasingly confident of their chances of making major gains in the House in this year's elections -- and perhaps even seizing control of the chamber. Republicans privately acknowledge that they are likely to lose seats but believe...

By Chris Cillizza | March 31, 2006; 06:00 AM ET | Comments (96) | TrackBack (1)

The Friday Line: Ten More Govs. Races to Watch

With 36 gubernatorial contests on the ballot this November, it's been difficult to choose just 10 "top" races for the Friday Line. Since we make up the rules as we go, this month's governors rankings will take a closer look...

By Chris Cillizza | March 17, 2006; 06:00 AM ET | Comments (22) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Line: GOP's Worrisome Senate Landscape

Democrats should be optimistic -- if not yet elated -- about their prospects for gaining Senate seats this fall as takeover opportunities for their party continue to dominate The Fix's Friday Line. Republican incumbents hold the top five slots this...

By Chris Cillizza | March 10, 2006; 08:32 AM ET | Comments (81) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Line: Hillary, McCain in a Class of Their Own

The last time we dedicated the Friday Line to the raw horse race politics of Campaign 2008 was way back in December. Much has changed since, most notably the solidifying of Sen. John McCain (Ariz.) as the clear frontrunner for...

By Chris Cillizza | March 3, 2006; 08:25 AM ET | Comments (116) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Line: Good News For Both Parties in Latest House Rankings

As filing deadlines continue to pass in key states around the country, political pros are starting to get a better picture of the 2006 House playing field. Democrats scored a last-minute victory in Kentucky by convincing former Rep. Ken Lucas...

By washingtonpost.com Editors | February 24, 2006; 08:05 AM ET | Comments (24) | TrackBack (1)

The Friday Governors Line

The fight for the 36 governorships up for grabs in November continues to be the most entertaining campaign story line this year. Picking just the top 10 best gubernatorial takeover chances for the two parties is extremely difficult since we...

By Chris Cillizza | February 17, 2006; 07:12 AM ET | Comments (75) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Line: Can Democrats Get to 6?

The Fix hasn't focused on Senate races in the Friday Line for more than a month, so we're back at it with a vengeance this week. As Dan Balz and I wrote in The Post earlier this week, the question...

By Chris Cillizza | February 10, 2006; 08:33 AM ET | Comments (99) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Line: Winning the 2008 Money Primary

It's time for the most hotly debated of Friday Line topics -- the early standings in the 2008 presidential sweepstakes. With year-end fundraising reports flooding into the Federal Election Commission over the past few days, money is the focus of...

By Chris Cillizza | February 3, 2006; 06:55 AM ET | Comments (42) | TrackBack (1)

The Friday Line: Scandals Put a Few "Safe" House Seats in Play

Changes are afoot in The Fix's first Friday Line ranking of competitive House races in the new year. Disgraced lobbyist Jack Abramoff's plea deal with federal investigators could seriously endanger several Republican incumbents. The the scope of the scandal seems...

By Chris Cillizza | January 27, 2006; 08:26 AM ET | Comments (26) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Line: GOP's Statehouse Challenge

After a brief break from pure campaign politics in last week's Friday Line, we're back with a vengeance to look at the most competitive gubernatorial races on the ballot in November. While the Washington parlor game is debating whether Democrats...

By Chris Cillizza | January 20, 2006; 08:30 AM ET | Comments (31) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Line: Spending Big to Influence Campaign '06

The 2004 election saw an unprecedented level of involvement from third-party groups seeking to influence the outcome of the presidential race and key Senate and House races. On the Democratic side, America Coming Together and the Media Fund raised nearly...

By Chris Cillizza | January 13, 2006; 08:51 AM ET | Comments (11) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Line: Momentum for Senate Democrats

The election year is finally here, and the first Friday Line of 2006 looks at key Senate races.  Democrats continue to be well-positioned to pick up seats in November (though not necessarily to regain the majority, which would require a...

By Chris Cillizza | January 6, 2006; 09:08 AM ET | Comments (36) | TrackBack (2)

The Friday Line: Grading the White House Hopefuls' 2005

It's time for the final Friday Line of the year, a perfect time to look again at The Fix's favorite topic -- the budding 2008 presidential race. Rather than simply run through the five Democrats and five Republicans with the...

By Chris Cillizza | December 30, 2005; 06:30 AM ET | Comments (131) | TrackBack (3)

Shaking Up The Fix's House Line

The Fix loves dessert before dinner and opening presents on Christmas Eve instead of waiting for Christmas morning. Embracing this impatient spirit, here is the Friday Line a day early. With most people hitting the road tomorrow for their holiday...

By Chris Cillizza | December 22, 2005; 09:38 AM ET | Comments (64) | TrackBack (1)

The Friday Line: Romney News Shakes Up Governors Rankings

Editor's Note: Due to techical problems with our blog vendor, The Friday Line didn't get posted last week.  Apologies for the delay. The biggest piece of news so far this year on the gubernatorial front came Wednesday when Massachusetts Gov....

By Chris Cillizza | December 19, 2005; 06:30 AM ET | Comments (17) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Line: Prospects for a Narrower GOP Senate Majority

With the political environment nationally still looking generally dismal for Republicans, the top three races in The Fix's latest Friday Line are each pick-up opportunities for Democrats. That same national mood could complicate Republican chances in the Democratic seats listed...

By Chris Cillizza | December 9, 2005; 08:25 AM ET | Comments (60) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Line: Handicapping the White House Hopefuls

It's been a month since The Fix last ranked the five Democrats and five Republicans most likely to wind up as the presidential nominees in 2008. The original post generated a slew of comments and suggestions that have been factored...

By Chris Cillizza | December 2, 2005; 08:33 AM ET | Comments (23) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Line: Ten House Races to Watch

What better way to recover from a Thanksgiving gorging than to settle down in front of the computer and check out the latest Friday line?  This week The Fix tackles the top 10 House races; the contests are ranked from...

By Chris Cillizza | November 25, 2005; 10:00 AM ET | Comments (57) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Line: Ranking the '06 Gov. Races

We have a new No. 1 on The Fix's Friday line, but you'll have to scroll down to find out which statehouse is now rated as the most likely to change parties next year (see the last rankings here).  Governors...

By Chris Cillizza | November 18, 2005; 08:10 AM ET | Comments (33) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Line: White House Hopefuls

After a month of ranking House, Senate, and governors races in this space on Friday mornings, The Fix decided to tackle the granddaddy of them all -- the 2008 presidential contest. Political junkies know that even though the race is...

By Chris Cillizza | November 11, 2005; 05:00 PM ET | Comments (148) | TrackBack (2)

The Friday Line: Senate Races to Watch

The Senate playing field hasn't seen any major shakeups since our last rankings on Oct. 14.  The big mover is Ohio where things seem to be getting even worse for Republicans.  New Jersey joins the list at #10 as Sen....

By Chris Cillizza | November 4, 2005; 08:37 AM ET | Comments (14) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Line: Governors' Races to Watch

Governors' races take center stage in this week's Friday Line. With 38 seats -- 22 Republican and 16 Democrats -- up for grabs this November and next, narrowing it down to just 10 races to watch is a tough task....

By Chris Cillizza | October 28, 2005; 09:35 AM ET | Comments (32) | TrackBack (1)

The Friday Line: The Battle for the House

If it's Friday, it's time for The Fix's latest Line. This week it's time to assess the 2006 battle for the House, where Republicans look likely to retain the majority given the (still) relatively small number of competitive seats. Democrats...

By Chris Cillizza | October 21, 2005; 09:23 AM ET | Comments (35) | TrackBack (0)

The Friday Line: Senate Races to Watch

Beginning today, The Fix unveils a weekly feature: the Friday Line. Each Friday this blog will look at  the 2006 Senate, House or gubernatorial playing field. The top 10 races will be listed with No. 1 being the seat most...

By Chris Cillizza | October 14, 2005; 12:05 PM ET | Comments (28) | TrackBack (0)

 

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