Fear of a Front-runner

As Peru prepares to vote in Sunday's presidential, it seems the campaign has been transformed from a three-way race into a referendum on front-runner Ollanta Humala.

"Hurricane Ollanta is the center of attention in Peru," declared, Argentina's Pagina 12 (in Spanish).

While Humala touts his determination to bring Peru into "the Latin American family" of liberal and left-wing Latin American governments, his leading rival, pro-business lawyer Lourdes Flores, talked openly of joining forces with a third candidate, the populist former president Alan Garcia, to ensure his defeat.

And the race is tight. Polls give Humala a slight lead over Lourdes with Garcia a close third. If no candidate wins 50 percent of the vote, there will be a runoff within a month.

Humala edged ahead of Lourdes in the final weeks of the campaign, winning a large following among Peru's poor with a simple message.

"We are the victims of an unbridled capitalism, a global economic imperialism," he told Spiegel Online, the German newsweekly. "The competition from multinational companies is destroying our industries, exploiting our resources and forcing us into an export-oriented economy. I am running against this."

He has also gained notoriety for his family's extremism. His father has advocated releasing imprisoned Shining Path guerrillas who terrorized the country in the 1990s. His mother suggested that homosexuals should be shot dead. And his brother (who is running for Congress from jail) proposed the same fate for President Alejandro Toledo 120 members of Congress for allegedly selling out the country.

Humala's background as a military officer has gained him a reputation as authoritarian. When he said that Flores, if elected, "would not last a year" in office, she charged he was threatening a military coup. Humala denied it, saying his point was that Flores' neo-liberal economic policies guaranteed failure.

Though he has tried to distance himself from his family and smooth his image, his challengers insist: "Humala is a danger."

"He represents the deception of a certain sector of the population that is against democracy," Garcia told El Universal of Mexico. "This sector, desperate, deprived and furious, is being channeled behind his candidacy. His style of vertical dictatorial orders, threats and firing squads and cutting off of heads, has a certain appeal."

I asked Gustavo Gorriti, co-director of La Republica, Peru's leading daily newspaper, for his take on the race.

WOR: For a long time, Lourdes Flores ran first in the polls. Why?

Gorriti: She is a social-Christian politician who has managed, through more than five years of weekly traveling to the Peruvian provinces and a lot of low-key campaigning, to enlarge her center-right party's influence (traditionally limited to middle-class Lima) to most of Peru. Under relentless attack in recent weeks, she lost the comfortable lead she once had.

WOR: Why has Humala passed her in the polls?

Gorriti: His simplistic, black and white message and his being seen as a tough soldier in a country that asks for authoritarian individuals during democracy, and for democracy during authoritarianism. Humala also offers the image of an outsider, presumably untainted by the corruption and frivolity associated with politicians.

WOR: What was the impact in Peru of Evo Morales's victory in Bolivia?

Gorriti: It hasn't had a lot of impact. But in the Andean south of Peru, neighboring with Bolivia, Humala leads comfortably.

WOR: Is his popularity a sign that Peruvians are growing more hostile to the United States?

Gorriti: Not at this point. Were Humala to be elected President, then I think that the dynamics of his cooperation with Hugo Chavez could lead to a worsening of relations with the United States.

WOR: Washington wants to know: Is Humala 'another Chavez?'

Gorriti: There are many points in common between these two caudillos. The crucial difference is that Humala doesn't have petrodollars. He's probably more pragmatic and a tad less messianic than Chavez. But similarities are stronger than differences. Both are enemies of democracy.

By Jefferson Morley |  April 7, 2006; 9:23 AM ET  | Category:  Americas
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Peruvians demand extradition of ex-president Fujimori
By Cesar Uco
26 November 2005
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Thousands of angry workers, students and human rights advocates marched in Lima last week demanding the extradition of former president Alberto Fujimori from Chile. If returned to Perú, Fujimori would face trial on 22 criminal charges of corruption and human rights abuses. The charges carry sentences of up to 30 years in jail and $29 million in fines.

Fujimori arrived in Santiago, Chile on November 7 and was arrested soon after as the Chilean courts yielded to the Peruvian government’s demands for his detention.

After a decade in power, Fujimori deserted the Peruvian presidency in October 2000 amid accusations of corruption and abuse of power. He fled to Japan, where he was granted citizenship and lived under the protection of right-wing politicians.

In March 2003, Interpol issued an international warrant for his arrest on charges of murder and kidnapping in Perú. Included in the charges were the ex-president’s leading role in the activities of the death squad known as Grupo Colina, responsible for the massacres of La Cantuta and Barrios Altos at the beginning of his presidency in 1991-92.

Relatives of death squad victims have traveled to Chile to pressure the Chilean government to extradite Fujimori to Perú. “We want the victims’ voice to be heard,” said Alejandro Silva, a representative of the Lima-based National Coordinator of Human Rights, which organized the trip.


Some, however, think Japan pressured him to

FOR THE REST GO TO:
http://www.wsws.org/articles/2005/nov2005/fuji-n26.shtml

WWW.WSWS.ORG

Posted by: che | April 7, 2006 10:22 AM


Once listening Radio France International I heard something that may please those against democracy. The political and economic structures of democracy in general around Latin America, said the RFI program, were in bad shape, and that was leading our countries to authoritian leaders.The idea was "caudillos" will come back in a battered South America to impose discipline

The lack of organization and corruption at almost every level, is pushing our countries to reject democracy and ask for "strong hand" leaders.

That's what we are witnessing today the only problem is these leaders are doing it even worse.

The people who voted for Chavez and all the others leftist presidents in South America may regret their vote,things have not improved.

A mature population must know how to vote. The phrase may say Business YES!, Authoritian governments, NO!

Sincerely


Julio dadetraffic@bellsouth.net

Phone 305-226-0909

8356 SW 40th Street, Suite L, Miami,FL 33155

Posted by: Julio R Gonzalez Jr | April 7, 2006 11:24 AM

Julio,
In the statement at the end of your posting, you show the "lack of maturity" and "ingenuidad" that you criticize in Latin American voters.
Throughtout the history of Latin America "business" has not a better record than the "caudillos." Either through extractive industries or protected by ISI-type policies, local business elites and foreign companies have benefited from authoritarianism and democratic governments alike through corruption. Hence, the wealth created has not trickled down to the majority of the population. A public-private partnership is key key to guarantee greater opportunities for people to improve their living standards. However, the government has to represent the interest of the country. You think that the Latin American presidents of the nineties (Menem, Salinas, Fujimori, Perez, Sanchez de Lozada) had that in their minds?

Posted by: FromMacondo | April 7, 2006 01:53 PM

I do not know anything about Humala, but his economic analysis is correct. While the companies that went to China orginally operated out of Western, developed countries, they have now found a new home in China with it's cheap labor. China is now dumping their goods on the Western Hemisphere including the United States. We are seeing the underdevelopement of the entire Western Hemisphere and, for that matter the the world as a goal for the multinational corporations. The so-called anti-immmigration legislation being proposed in the House of Representatives is a push back against the Bush Administrations support of the outsourcing of jobs and industries to other countries for cheap labor, and the in sourcing of temporary legal and illegal immigrants to further drive down the wages and standard of living of the American people. Conservatives are now attacking Social Security and other social programs that benefit middle cclass. The student riots in France are another aspect of the same problem.
While they may not the yet know the labels, it is a revolt against "Free Trade" Economic Imperialism of the Neoliberals and Neoconservatives. Economically there is no difference.
As Alexander Hamilton taught us, there is no, I repeat no, development without trade barriers to protects jobs and local industries from being washed away in the tide of chaep goods from more developed industrial countries.

Posted by: P. J. Casey | April 7, 2006 02:10 PM

Hey che, you got the wrong forum dude, this is about peruvian politics

Posted by: Jimbo | April 7, 2006 02:23 PM

A wild card is Humala's child-wife Nadine, who strides a line in her Nikes somewhere between Chuck Berry and Evita. Will Humala nationalize her feet?

Posted by: Reynolds | April 8, 2006 07:43 AM

THE IRAN PLANS
Would President Bush go to war to stop Tehran from getting the bomb?

The Bush Administration, while publicl advocating diplomacy in order to stop Iran fro pursuing a nuclear weapon, has increase clandestine activities inside Iran and intensifie planning for a possible major air attack. Curren and former American military and intelligenc officials said that Air Force planning groups ar drawing up lists of targets, and teams o American combat troops have been ordered int Iran, under cover, to collect targeting data and t establish contact with anti-government ethnic-minority groups. The officials say that Presiden Bush is determined to deny the Iranian regim the opportunity to begin a pilot program planned for this spring, to enrich urani

http://www.newyorker.com/fact/content/articles/060417fa_fact

Posted by: God of Gods | April 8, 2006 07:08 PM

I would not normally support a man like Humala, but the strong stand he has taken against George W. Bush makes him more appealing to me. I plan to vote for him in our upcoming presidential elections. George W. Bush is a menace to world peace. Anyone who takes a firm stand against him has my vote.

Posted by: Ernesto Villares | April 8, 2006 08:11 PM

Good for those Venezuelans! It may not be the most sophisticated form of protest, but throwing eggs at the U.S. ambassador communicates our feelings well. Pelting eggs at U.S. envoys is the least we can do to show our disgust with Bush and the nation stupid enough to have elected him.

"Supporters of left-wing President Hugo Chavez pelted the U.S. ambassador's car with eggs and vegetables and chased his convoy on a motorbike after he was forced to leave a charity event, U.S. officials said. Local municipal officials denied they had sanctioned the protest."

Posted by: Francisco | April 8, 2006 08:15 PM

Ernesto -

Let me see if I understand you correctly...you would vote for anyone who stands up to George W? So I suppose that it wouldn't matter if that leader impoverishes his people, closes down newspapers, jails or kills dissenters, or even encourages drug use or pedophilia? As a fellow latino your attitude is embarassing and proof positive that we as a people probably aren't mature enough to handle democracy. No wonder Peru is so messed up.

Posted by: theCardinal | April 9, 2006 11:08 AM

Hola Cardinal, No, I wouldn't vote for an anti-Bush candidate under every circumstance. But I would under most circumstances. Pro-U.S. candidates have, after all, generally been the most corrupt, and the least respectful of human and democratic rights, throughout Latin American history. We need to carve out a strong independent national and foreign policy, and stop cowering before Uncle Sam. Bush is a bigger menace to humanity than any other national leader I can think of, and the U.S. has usually treated us with contempt -- especially these days with Bush in office. So it's time here for a new approach. I'm only advocating that Peru take the same route that most of the rest of Latin America has already taken: elect a strong left-leaning president who will stand up to Washington, not bow and scrape before it. The current president does that, and it has gotten us Peruvians nowhere.
We need to join with the Venezuelans, Brazilians, Argentines, Cubans, Uruguayans, Chileans and Bolivians in saying NO to George W. Bush, NO to Washington and NO to the U.S.A.

Posted by: Ernesto | April 9, 2006 07:15 PM

Populism is farce. It keeps the people poor and stupid just waiting for the government to give them everything. Trade protectionism is just corporate welfare in disguise.

"Stand up to Washington"? Give me a break, Ernesto. What good have Chavez's demagogic rants done Venezuela? A pack of his thugs pelted the U.S. Ambassador's car because the Ambassador had the temerity to give out free baseballs. That isn't "standing up to Washington", that is juvenile idiocy.

Posted by: jomama | April 10, 2006 02:46 PM

Hey Fransico, yeah, throw some eggs at the Ambassador's car! Go back to high school!

Posted by: jomama | April 10, 2006 02:48 PM

You know what? Chavez has delivered for Venezuela in whole orders of magnitude more than all of the corrupt U.S.-backed elitists who preceded him put together. It's just that it's hard to notice this if you live in a gated community at the top of a hill and rely on servants to do everything for you, as so many of the anti-Chavistas do.
Keep ingratiating yourself to Uncle Sam, Jomama. It hasn't paid off for us Latin Americans yet but, hey, maybe one day it will.
Meantime, I'm sticking with Chavez and the other democratically elected heads of state representing the vast majority of Latin Americans who today are saying NO to Bush, NO to Washington and NO to that ugly global bully, the U.S.A.

Posted by: Ernesto | April 10, 2006 10:05 PM

Hi! Very interesting! pcvvkqvz

Posted by: John S | July 2, 2006 09:37 AM

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